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Asian spot LNG prices flat amid weak Europe gas sentiment

The Asian spot price of liquefied gas (LNG), which is a product of liquefied gas, was flat this week. It held at a low for ten weeks amid Europe's gas price bearishness, but some spot demand from emerging markets has helped to limit losses.

Average LNG price for delivery in April to northeast Asia Industry sources estimate that the price per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu) is $13.50.

Go Katayama, analyst at Kpler, says that Asian LNG prices will decline due to the expected declines in Dutch Title Transfer Facility benchmark in Europe, and stable Pacific supplies.

He said that "Asian LNG prices will likely decline next week due to the anticipated weakness of European TTF and continued soft Asian fundamentals."

After a rapid inventory reduction by power utilities in January, warmer weather forecasts for northeast Asia are likely to curb gas-for energy demand in March.

Rystad Energy said that spot demand has been seen from Korean and Japanese importers including Korea Gas Corp., JERA Tokyo Gas, and Osaka Gas as buyers replenish their stocks following a harsh winter.

S&P Global Commodity Insights, a global commodity research firm, assessed the daily North West Europe (NWM) LNG Marker price benchmark on a basis of ex-ship (DES), for April cargoes at $11.402/mmBtu. This is based on data collected on March 6. The price was $0.55/mmBtu lower than the gas price in April at the Dutch TTF Hub.

Argus estimated the price at $11.585/mmBtu for delivery in March. Spark Commodities estimated it at $11.589/mmBtu.

Martin Senior, Argus' head of LNG pricing, said that multi-strategic funds are selling TTFs to de-risk their portfolios as equities fell.

Venture Global announced that it expected to load between 219-239 containers from its Plaquemines Project this year. This was higher than anticipated and could have loosened a tight balance for the summer.

Florence Schmit, energy strategist at Rabobank, added that a proposal by the European Commission to maintain gas storage targets and requirements for two additional years, but with more flexibility, reduced the pressure on summer demand.

The proposal stated that the goal of filling EU gas caverns up to 90% capacity by November 1 will remain binding. However, targets from earlier months would be "indicative", which is typically non-binding.

Schmit said that the sentiment has changed as a result of the gradual implementation of changes to the storage requirements and the growing expectation that Russian energy flows will be returned to the mix.

According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan, the Atlantic LNG freight rates fell to $19500/day last Friday while Pacific LNG rates increased to $17500/day.

He said the U.S. Arbitrage to Northeast Asia via Cape of Good Hope has narrowed for the sixth consecutive week. U.S. cargoes are no longer strongly encouraged to deliver to Northwest Europe over Asia. (Reporting and editing by Shreya biswas; Emily Chow)

(source: Reuters)