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DHL Group CEO: Global trade will grow despite US tariffs

Tobias Meyer, CEO of the DHL Group in Germany, said that global trade will grow, but less vigorously, due to the reaction to President Donald Trump’s tariff policies.

Meyer noted that this segment was experiencing positive growth.

According to DHL Trade Atlas 20, prepared by the delivery company and New York University’s Stern School of Business, the global goods trade will expand at a 3.1% compound annual growth rate from 2024-2029. This is a slightly faster rate than the previous decade.

DHL is the parcel shipping arm of Germany's Deutsche Post AG. It's one of the largest package delivery companies in the world. United Parcel Service, FedEx and their U.S. rivals are considered economic bellwethers as they cater to a wide range of industries in many countries.

The DHL Trade Atlas states that India, Vietnam Indonesia and the Philippines will lead the trade growth between 2024 and 2029.

They said that even if the U.S. government implements its entire proposed tariff increase and other countries retaliate in kind, the global trade will still grow over the next 5 years, but at a slower pace.

The United States is both the largest importer of goods and second largest exporter. The U.S. shares of world exports and imports are currently 13% and 9% respectively. This is enough to make a significant impact on other countries, but not to determine the future of international trade unilaterally, according to the authors. Reporting by Lisa Baertlein, Los Angeles; Editing and proofreading by Lisa Shumaker

(source: Reuters)