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Alaska Air reduces annual profit forecast due to higher fuel costs

Alaska Air Group cut its profit forecast for 2025 on Thursday due to higher fuel prices and operational challenges including adverse weather.

Analysts also expected the carrier's fourth-quarter profits to be well below analyst expectations.

Fuel prices have soared as a result of refinery outages along the U.S. West Coast. This has added pressure to airlines who are already struggling with increasing operating costs.

Alaska Air's CFO Shane Tackett said that fuel is volatile and it was difficult to estimate earnings for the fourth quarter.

Storms and an overstretched air traffic control system have led to costly disruptions in the U.S. aviation industry this year.

The company expects to achieve an adjusted annual profit per share of at least $2.40 compared to its previous forecasts of more than $3.25.

According to LSEG, it also expects a fourth-quarter profit adjusted of at least forty cents per share. Analysts had estimated 88 cents.

Alaska Air also suffered a major IT failure in July. This caused hundreds of flights to be cancelled and thousands of passengers to be stranded during the busy summer travel season.

The industry has begun to see some results from its efforts to reduce seat supply, and to counter the discounting pressures that followed a slump in demand during the first half year.

Tackett stated that "we expect positive unit revenue in the fourth quarter."

The company's yields - a key indicator of pricing power - rose by about 1.4% during the quarter ending in September. However, its unit costs, excluding fuel, increased by about 8.6%.

He added that "costs will improve meaningfully sequentially on an unit cost basis" from Q3.

The company reported a quarterly profit adjusted at $1.05 per share. This was below the analysts' average expectation of $1.13 each.

Total operating revenue for the third quarter rose by 23%, to $3.77billion from $3.76billion a year earlier. This was higher than expected. Reporting by Shivansh Tiwary, Rajesh Kum Singh and Shreya Biwas; Editing by Alan Barona and Shreya Barona

(source: Reuters)