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Air Canada shares rise after a loyalty program deal, and the airline expects a strong fall season.

Air Canada announced on Wednesday that it expects 'one of its strongest fall seasons ever, thanks to corporate travel. Despite cost pressures, the airline set its latest core profit target for this year below analyst expectations.

Air Canada's shares rose 14% during morning trading following an agreement by funds to acquire a minority stake of its loyalty program Aeroplan. Canada's largest airline restored its annual core profits target on Tuesday. However, it was at a lower level compared to its previous suspended outlook due to the volatility of the U.S./Israeli war against Iran.

Mark Galardo, Air Canada's Chief Commercial Officer, told analysts that the company was looking at "a very positive setup for the Fall, one of the strongest (ones) we've seen in recent history."

As corporate travel increases in the fall, there is less seasonality for the carrier.

RISE IN LABOR AND FUELS?COSTS

U.S. travelers and Canadians continue to travel internationally and spend on premium airline offerings. This helps North American carriers, whose balance sheets are being squeezed by higher fuel and labor costs and the war in the Middle East.

John Di Bert, Chief Financial Officer of Air Canada, told analysts that he expected the airline's cost to increase more slowly in the second half of the year. Unit costs are set to rise between 4% and 5%. The adjusted cost per available mile increased by 6.55% in the first half of this year.

The company anticipates a core adjusted profit between C$2.9 billion and C$3.2 billion in 2026. It had previously projected C$3.35 to C$3.75 Billion.

According to LSEG data, analysts expected an average of C$3.23billion.

The cost of aircraft jet fuel accounts for roughly a quarter (or more) of the operating costs of airlines, which makes them susceptible to sudden increases or swings.

Air Canada anticipates that it will offset approximately 60% of the additional jet fuel costs incurred in the third quarter compared to its initial assumptions, before the Iran War began late February. Hedging gains are included. It is expected to offset all fuel cost increases for the fourth quarter.

Air Canada announced Tuesday that funds managed Blackstone and by three Canadian funds made a C$2.5billion minority equity investment into the loyalty program Aeroplan of the carrier. The proceeds would be used to help pay down debt.

Michael Rousseau, CEO of the company, told analysts that this transaction "simply strengthens our balance sheets and creates value for all stakeholders."

Fitch Ratings changed its outlook on Air Canada's rating to positive, from stable. The deal with Aeroplan was cited as the reason for the change. They also confirmed the issuer default rating of BB.

(source: Reuters)