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Vietnam's Vingroup pushes ahead with the 'world's biggest stadium' despite doubts about demand

Vingroup, a Vietnamese company, is speeding up construction of the world's biggest stadium in Hanoi. They are betting that future demand will make the 135,000-seat venue financially viable.

A Vingroup representative said during a recent site visit that thousands of workers work around the clock on the site located about 25 kilometers (15.5 miles south of the central Hanoi) to finish the venue by the end of July 2027. The completion date is a year earlier than the original plan announced in December.

Vingroup, Vietnam’s largest company by market capitalisation and working on a number of projects including a high-speed rail, urban development and wind power plants, has announced that the stadium will feature "the largest seating capacity in the world" as well as?the largest fully retractable roof.

According to the International Olympic Committee (IOC), the world's largest venue is the Rungrado Stadium, located in Pyongyang. The stadium has a capacity of 150.000 seats, but some observers have questioned this figure, and counted less than 120.000.

Vingroup says the scale of the project reflects plans for large-scale?cultural and sporting events, including concerts.

James Walton is the sports group leader for Deloitte Asia Pacific. "Football is a hugely popular sport in Vietnam. However, it's unlikely that a 135,000 seat?stadium can be justified by domestic football demand alone," he said. He pointed out that the top-tier V.League 1 in Vietnam averaged less than 6,000 spectators for each match during the 2023-24 campaign.

Vingroup did not give any financial targets but stated that it expects the facility to be financially sustainable over time.

Financial liabilities are a bigger problem for the company. They accounted for $36.7 billion in last year's figures, or more than 4% Vietnam's private debt by 2025. This figure does not include?additional private debts in affiliated companies.

DRUM-SHAPED STADIUM

The Trong Dong Stadium is named after the traditional Vietnamese bronze cymbal. It's part of a $35 billion development by Vingroup of an Olympic Sports City designed to host global events.

Being part of a larger urban development can improve a project's?financial viability in the long term, said Walton. He noted that many modern national stadiums have a seating capacity between 60,000 and 80,000.

The project is part a huge push to modernise Vietnam’s infrastructure, and?sustain an economic growth of atleast 10% annually until the year 2020. This is an explicit goal for the ruling Communist Party.

The authorities have announced hundreds large-scale projects, estimated to be worth $200 billion, by 2030. These include airports, seaports bridges and rails.

Quynh Nguyen is a finance lecturer at Hoa Sen University, in Ho Chi Minh City. He said that modernisation is necessary but caution should be exercised regarding banks' exposure to funding risks and their funding.

Tran Thi Mong Tuyen is a researcher with the Hawaii-based Pacific Forum. She also warned about risks associated with underused infrastructure, including delayed investment returns. (Reporting and editing by Ed Davies; Additional reporting by Phuong Vu, Khanh Vu)

(source: Reuters)