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Maguire: Wind energy to be blown off track in 2025 and redirected for 2026.

Wind energy, like any other industry, has seen its ups and downs. But 2025 could be the worst year yet: a toxic mix of policy reversals and corporate upheaval, as well as sub-par production in key markets.

The U-turn by President Donald Trump on renewable energy is likely to be the most damaging. This prompted a freeze in offshore project work on the Atlantic, and was a major blow for both power developers and wind companies.

The disappointing auctions of new wind capacity in Europe, some with no bids at all (in Germany and Denmark), highlight that wind's problems extend far beyond the U.S.

Add mass layoffs and project withdrawals by prominent developers to months of below-normal production in key markets and 2025 will be a year that the industry will never forget.

There are some reasons to believe that wind energy will continue to grow in the coming years, as new auction incentives, changes to supply chains, and a growing demand for all forms of power, including wind, will spur its adoption around the globe.

Here is a list of major factors that affected the wind sector between 2025 and 2026.

Slowest Growth in Decades

The performance of wind farms in the current state did not help to improve the reputation of the wind sector as a reliable source of power.

In fact, the global electricity generated by wind farms is expected to grow at its slowest rate in over 20 years this year, largely due to "sustained periods of sub-par production in Europe and North America".

Data from the think tank Ember revealed that global wind-powered electric production in the first ten months of 2025 was 2,158 terawatts hours (TWh).

This is a record but only 7% more than the same period in 2024. The average annual growth rate from 2015 to 2024 was 14%.

The decline in wind power generation in Europe, the second largest wind producing region in the world after Asia, was a major factor in stifling global wind output growth at the beginning of 2025.

The mid-year drop in wind generation in North America, the world's third largest wind producing region, then added to the global wind output, as the region saw output decreases in April, may, June, august and September compared to the previous year.

Even Asia, which accounts for about 45% of the global wind power production, registered rare drops in generation year-over-year in September and in October. This further stunted global output growth.

POLICY AND COMPANY TUBULENCE

As existing wind farms struggled to meet expectations, future planned projects were being impacted by sudden and major changes to policies. In the U.S., the Trump administration's scrapping of federal support for wind power accelerated the phase-out of tax credits, tightened start-of-construction rules and imposed tougher limits on foreign-made components. These changes are expected to have a long-term impact on the growth of both onshore projects and offshore ones.

The string of disappointing wind auctions in Europe prompted key developers such as Denmark's Orsted, and Vestas to push for quicker permitting and better auction conditions to boost investment.

Some of these proposed changes will likely take effect by 2026 and could spark a greater interest in building out new wind capacity in the region.

Mitsubishi pulled out of three planned offshore projects in Japan due to rising costs estimates. The projects were scheduled to begin operations by 2030.

The Japanese government has made some changes to its wind project policies to give developers more flexibility, to provide greater financial support, and to expand the area that is eligible for offshore wind energy projects.

These changes, like those in Europe, are likely to revive interest in expanding Japan’s wind power footprint beyond 2025, despite its?tough start in 2025.

CHINA-LED

As wind developers suffered setbacks in other countries, China's wind power production - the world's largest deployer and manufacturer of wind power components - continues to grow at a rate greater than 10% for the 25th consecutive year.

China's share in global wind energy output will rise from just below 40% in 2024 to an all-time high of 41% by 2025.

China's massive wind farm expansion will continue to drive global wind production in the future, even if the U.S. economy slows down and Europe remains weak.

According to Ember data, China's constant flow of exports of wind components - up by?more than 20 percent so far in 2020 to more than $4 billion - means that supplies of wind parts in nearly every region are also increasing.

Wind power is expected to continue growing globally in 2026 despite the turbulent 2025. These are the opinions of a columnist at.

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(source: Reuters)