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Illinois corn farmers are worried about losing sales to Mexico because of Trump's tariffs

The tariffs imposed by U.S. president Donald Trump on Mexican imports pose a significant risk to farmers in Jacksonville. This is because Mexico's retaliation could cause corn buyers to switch to South American rivals.

Mexico is the top corn-importing country in the world. At a time when prices of grains have plummeted and chemical and seed costs for crops are on the rise, this market is crucial for U.S. producers.

Farmers in Jacksonville, a small city of 17,000 residents, are more likely to benefit from Mexican demand than other farmers. The residents live near a grain loading facility where corn is loaded onto railcars and transported more than 1,000 miles south to livestock producers.

Farmers drive up to 60 miles to sell their crops to Bartlett's facility, which is privately owned. According to growers, Bartlett pays more for the harvests of its customers than any other buyer.

Trump's new tariffs of 25% on imports from Mexico, Canada and other countries have fueled fears that Mexico could respond with duties which would reduce its demand for American products such as corn. China has already responded to the new U.S. Tariffs by increasing import duties on $21 billion of American agricultural and foodstuffs.

Reduced grain prices due to reduced shipments from Mexico would affect all U.S. Farmers, but Illinois farmers will be particularly affected. According to U.S. Government data, 60% of corn exported to Mexico last year was shipped by train, with 40% of these train movements originating in Illinois.

"We need their market and I hope they need us but it's competitive world," said Marty Marr 70, who farms near Jacksonville with his sons. He plans to plant about 2,000 acres of corn this spring.

Marr is concerned that the tit-fort-tat tariffs could cause Mexico to purchase more corn from South American producers and less from U.S.

It would be painful. According to U.S. export sales data, 36% of the total corn export commitments for the U.S. marketing year ending in August are sales to Mexico.

Marr stated that it was important to maintain good relations with the Chinese.

During his first term, Trump's tariffs and trade policies against China hurt American farm sales. U.S. soybean farmers have never recovered all the market share that they lost when China imposed tariffs on U.S. agriculture goods as a retaliation to Trump's levies.

Illinois is a major supplier of U.S. Corn to Mexico, as it is the state that produces the most corn. A rail hub in Chicago links farmers with buyers south of border.

Collin Watters is the director of logistics and exports for the Illinois Corn Growers Association. He said that about a third (33%) of corn produced in Illinois was exported. According to the Iowa Corn Growers Association, the top corn producer, Iowa, exports 15% of its crop.

Watters stated that "the direct rail access to Mexico is a real benefit for us." "But on the other hand, there is a lot uncertainty at this time."

Dale Hadden 61, a Jacksonville farmer, sells corn during the autumn harvest to Bartlett, when prices are generally influenced by growing supplies. Bartlett offers higher prices for its purchases of corn to supply Mexico via the Kansas City Southern Railway than other handlers, says Hadden.

Hadden stated, "They are the lowest bidder."

Bartlett employees refused to comment on the railcars parked in long lines along tracks at their South Jacksonville plant. According to the company's site, it is one of the largest U.S. grain exporters to Mexico.

In less than 10 minutes by car, downtown Jacksonville shoppers could hear train whistles while browsing clothing and record shops around a historical square with a towering Civil War Monument.

Residents of this 200-year old city are concerned that tariffs imposed on Mexico and Canada could increase the price of goods sold in the U.S. They still said Trump should be given time to implement his plans. In the 2024 elections, about 65% of voters from Jacksonville's County voted for Trump.

"He is trying things which are very unorthodox, but at least he is not in the rut of doing what everyone tells him to do," said Sue Fox (68), who supports Trump and runs Times Square Sewing Complex, in Jacksonville.

During his first term, Trump paid out billions in aid to farmers to compensate for lost exports to China.

Dan Newton, 64 years old, a Jacksonville farm manager, said: "That's not at all what farmers want." (Reporting and editing by Simon Webb, David Gregorio, and Tom Polansek)

(source: Reuters)