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Santorini Island, Greece continues to be evacuated as the tremors continue
On Wednesday, hundreds more tourists were expected to depart the Greek island of Santorini as tremors continued for a sixth consecutive day. In recent days, about 6,000 people left the island on ferries or planes as hundreds of small earthquakes were registered around the sea. These quakes shook buildings and kicked up dust along the rocky cliffs of the island, raising fears of an earthquake of major proportions. In the summer, millions of tourists flock to the white-painted traditional villas that line Santorini's steep hillsides. Santorini has a permanent population of 15,000 according to the 2021 census. It is therefore likely that several thousands remain on Santorini, as it is off season. The authorities have taken safety measures including stopping construction and closing schools in Santorini as well as the nearby islands Ios, Amorgos, and Anafi. They also ordered residents to empty their swimming pools and hotels to do the same to ease the pressure on the ground. On Wednesday, three ferry routes between the port of Piraeus and Santorini were cancelled due to rough seas. Six Aegean Airlines scheduled flights on Wednesday, including two urgent ones, were not expected to be disrupted by bad weather. Locals and government officials reported that the shaking has subsided since Wednesday, but according to seismologists the activity will likely continue for days or even weeks. Nikos Sakorafos is the owner of a popular travel agency in Fira, a popular tourist destination. It's easy for people to leave because it's dead season on the island. Later on Wednesday, the government will hold a press conference to discuss the situation. Greece is a country that experiences frequent earthquakes due to its location at the border of the African-Eurasian tectonic plate. Santorini's current form was formed by one of the biggest volcanic eruptions ever recorded, which took place around 1600 BC. The last eruption occurred in the 1950s. Reporting by Angeliki Koutantou; Editing and Angus MacSwan by Edward McAllister
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Maguire: Europe's gas-use pace could slow down as the coal switchover kicks in.
Several of the largest economies in northern Europe have increased gas-fired electricity generation by a large amount so far in 2025. This has helped to raise regional gas prices at their highest level since early 2023. LSEG data shows that the gas-fired production in January was up by more than 10% compared to January 2024 levels, and reached its highest level for the month since at least 2012. Gas consumption may slow down as gas prices in the region have now risen above coal-fired power generation. This may cause some power companies to reduce gas production and increase coal-fired energy instead. The switch from gas to coal is most likely in Germany or Poland, where coal-fired electricity makes up a greater share of the national generation system than natural gas. Gas prices in Europe are currently up 60% from a year earlier. However, reducing gas usage and increasing coal-fired power generation will have major emissions consequences, since coal emits nearly twice as many carbon dioxide per unit of electricity generated as gas. GAS BOOM In January, gas-fired electricity production reached historic highs in Germany as well as the United Kingdom. This was the first time that the monthly totals were so high in either country since the Russian invasion of Ukraine early in 2022 disrupted regional gas markets. In both the Netherlands as well as Poland, the January 2025 total for gas-fired power was the second highest monthly total since 2022. This highlights the wide-ranging use of gas in Europe over the past few months. According to LSEG, the TTF facility, Europe's major gas pricing hub, in the Netherlands, reflects the rapid consumption. Prices in January averaged 48.36 euro per megawatt-hour. This is a 40% increase over the TTF 2024 average and 60% above where TTF was averaged in January 2024. It is also the highest price that the region has seen since February 2023. SWITCHING OUT Power producers are being forced to reduce price increases by consumers due to the steep rise in TTF prices. In 2022 and 2023 the cost of energy for consumers in Europe rose more than it did in the United States or Asia. As a result, European power providers are under heavy societal and government pressure to avoid any further increases. You can do this by switching to cheaper energy sources whenever possible. After the dramatic rise in natural gas prices over the last year, coal is now the cheaper source of power generation than gas in Germany and Poland. Since August 2024, the gas price has consistently been higher than what is called coal switching prices. The coal-switching rate is the price at which an electricity provider can generate more power economically from coal than gas, provided both fuels are available. According to LSEG, from August until the end of 2024 the TTF gas price averaged 6.20 euros per Megawatt Hour (MWh) or 18% above the coal-switching prices. By 2025, the difference has grown to almost 13 euros/MWh (or 36% above coal switching price). The spot and forward price of natural gas and thermal coke locally available is a factor for managers of complex energy networks with coal and gas power stations. The current TTF forward curve indicates that gas prices will remain higher than coal switching price until at least 2026. By then, gas costs are expected to drop again. The LSEG data on forward curves indicates that TTF will be priced at an average of 14.70 euros/MWh higher than the coal switching prices in 2025. However, the curves will still remain dynamic for gas and coal. This price outlook for power producers in Continental Europe suggests that firms who can increase output from coal while reducing gas usage may be able reduce operating costs and limit further increases in consumer energy bills. Any sharp increase in coal-fired production will undermine regional efforts to reduce emissions and could generate criticism from regional emission watchdogs. The United Kingdom's power firms have no choice but to switch back to coal-fired production after the closure of Britain’s last coal plant, in 2024. However, a sustained increase in wind energy generation in the coming months may reduce the amount of gas-fired electricity required. The steep rise in gas prices across Europe will force power companies to increase their output using non-gas sources. However, gas-fired stations will still remain an important part of the overall mix. These are the opinions of the author who is a market analyst at.
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South Korean mills purchase 50,000 T of wheat from the United States
European traders reported that a group of South Korean mills purchased an estimated 50,000 tons of milling grain to be sourced in the United States at an international auction on Wednesday. All wheat was purchased FOB for a shipment between April 15th and April 20th. They said that they believed the seller to be Bunge Trading House. Traders said that the purchase included soft white wheat with a protein content between 9.5% and 11%, bought at a low of $230 per ton FOB. Soft white wheat with 9% was also purchased in the lower $230s per ton FOB. The traders also said that hard red winter grain with 11.5% protein was bought at a price of mid-$250s per ton and dark northern spring flour with 14% protein costing high $270s per ton. The reports reflect the opinions of traders, and additional estimates may be made later. (Reporting and editing by Emelia Matarise, Emelia Sithole Matarise).
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Gas shipping prices fall due to increased vessel availability
The cost of shipping liquefied gas (LNG), cargoes, has fallen to a five-year low as the number of newly constructed carriers in the global fleet is outpacing shipping demand. Shorter average journey times and increased vessel availability have also contributed to this decline. According to Spark Commodities, on Tuesday, the Atlantic freight rates for vessels equipped with two-stroke engines and capable of transporting 174,000 cubic meters LNG, which is the most common kind of LNG in the market were $4,250 a day. Spark Commodities' data shows that prices on Friday fell to $3,500 per day, which is the lowest price ever recorded. Atlantic rates have fallen by over 90% since the beginning of the year. Spark's data shows that rates for the same ship class on Pacific routes are down by almost half this year. On Tuesday, they dropped to $11,000 per day. This is the lowest rate ever recorded for Spark's dataset, and it is down almost 80% compared to last year. The global LNG fleet grew in 2024 but LNG loadings only increased by a small amount. This has led to an oversupply as the market awaits a significant increase in LNG export capacities over the next 18-months, said Deng Xiaoyi. Deng said that shipowners and charterers are in competition to rent out their vessels. "Firms that have extra shipping capacity are willing to reduce their offers in order to partially recover their operating costs and reduce their losses, rather than idle their vessels." Atlantic rates for older vessels with tri-fuel engines and 160,000 cubic meters LNG were negative over the past seven days. They hit a record low on Monday of minus 2,750 per day before paring their losses to reach minus 1,000 per day on Tuesday. Afghan stated that the only other negative rate occurred in February 2022 just before Russia invaded Ukraine. However, this only lasted two days. He said that "negative round-trip rates" indicate that the shipowner's earnings do not fully cover fuel costs associated with ballasting the vessel back to the loading port for a return voyage in the Atlantic basin. Sources on the market predicted that LNG shipping costs could continue to decline into 2025 if new tankers are added faster than LNG production increases. The higher delivered prices in Europe also encouraged U.S. cargoes not to travel to Asia and instead remain in the Atlantic, increasing vessel availability because it results in shorter journey times. In January, at least six LNG cargoes from Asia were diverted to Europe. The Chinese tariffs on U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas and the record number of newbuild vessels that are due to enter the marketplace this year will compound the effect, said Spark’s Afghan. He added that freight rates may remain at their current levels throughout the remainder of the month. The U.S. arbitrage market to Asia will remain closed until 2025, according to current estimates. "It would take a significant change in the JKM TTF spread to move this signal from Europe to Asia," said he. He was referring to the difference between the Asia benchmark Japan-Korea Marker price for LNG compared to European gas prices on the Dutch TTF hub. The TTF price on Tuesday was $15.76 for a million British thermal unit of gas, compared to $14.41 for JKM.
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South Korea's MFG bids for 140,000 t corn, traders claim
European traders reported on Wednesday that the Major Feedmill Group in South Korea (MFG) had issued an international tender for up to 140,000 tons of animal feedcorn sourced only from the United States or South America. The deadline to submit price bids in the tender is Friday, February 6. Two consignments of between 55,000 and 70,000 tons each are expected to arrive in South Korea, both in the month of May. Shipping of one consignment to arrive in South Korea on May 5, was requested between April 1-20, if it came from the U.S. Pacific Northwest Coast, between March 12-31, if it came from the U.S. Gulf coast, from March 7-26, if coming from South America, and from March 17-April 5, if coming from South Africa. The second shipment for arrival on May 15 in South Korea is to be shipped between April 11-30, if it comes from the U.S. Pacific Northwest Coast, or between March 12 and April 10 if it comes from the U.S. Gulf. The tender is seeking price offers both in terms of outright cost per ton and freight included (c&f), or at a higher premium than the Chicago May corn contract. Traders said that Asian corn purchases have been slow in the past two weeks due to the Lunar New Year holidays. However, they expect them to pick back up as soon as the holiday period is over. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Michael Hogan)
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Government advisers predict that Germany will miss its 2030 climate goal.
In a report released on Wednesday, climate advisors for the German government said that it is unlikely Germany will achieve its 2030 climate goals unless major policy changes are made. The independent Council of Experts on Climate Change (which must regularly review the country's performance on climate change) said that Germany will not meet its goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 65% by 2030, compared to 1990. This is mainly due to the transportation and construction sectors. Last year, the council said that Germany would likely miss its binding greenhouse-gas targets. The council stated that, ahead of the national elections scheduled for February 23, the report outlines the requirements of an updated climate action plan that must be presented by a new government within one year after taking office in accordance with the Climate Protection Act. According to the Council, even though greenhouse gas emission has been decreasing recently, and contributing to the achievement of the annual target, the pace must increase by 50% this year in order to reach the 2030 goal. The Council noted that there had been progress made in reducing emissions in the energy sector, and in some cases in the industry which has recently been affected by the energy crisis in Germany and the economic recession. The council said that emissions declined in 2014-2023, compared with 2010-2019. However, the outlook for construction and transportation sectors remains bleak, because too many cars powered by internal combustion engines are still being registered. (Reporting and writing by Andrey Schev, editing by Miranda Murray.)
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Neo-Nazi leader convicted in Baltimore plot to attack power grid
The U.S. Justice Department announced on Tuesday that a neo Nazi leader who was accused of planning to attack Baltimore's electricity grid had been found guilty of conspiracy to damage an energy facility. Brandon Russell, 29 of Orlando, Florida, and an associate, were arrested by the FBI in February 2023, after a confidential informant foiled their plot. The Justice Department stated that evidence presented at the trial revealed that Russell had conspired between November 2022 until that month to attack transformers in electrical substations, "in furtherance his racially- or ethnically-motivated violent extremist views." Russell posted links on open-source maps of infrastructure and explained how a few attacks against substations can cause "cascading failures," according to the Department. The department reported that he recruited a woman from Maryland, Sarah Beth Clendaniel to carry out his attacks to disrupt and damage the power grid of Baltimore, Maryland's biggest city. Clendaniel had identified five substations that she wanted to attack, and Russell tried to get a weapon to her. The department stated that the planned attacks could have caused damages of over $75 million. According to the Southern Poverty Law Center (a civil rights group that tracks hate groups in the United States), Russell is a convicted felon, and the founder of a neo Nazi group called Atomwaffen Division. The group works towards "ushering in the fall of civilization." After pleading guilty, he was sentenced to five-years in prison for possession of a destruction device that had not been registered and improper storage of explosive material. Russell's sentencing is set for June 17. Russell could be sentenced to up to 20 years of prison. Clendaniel received a sentence of 18 years imprisonment in September 2024. (Reporting and editing by Ryan Patrick Jones)
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Keppel's profit increases as demand for data centres rises
Singapore's Keppel reported a 5% increase in its underlying profit for the full year on Wednesday. Its connectivity segment saw its earnings boosted due to strong demand for digital technology required for artificial-intelligence-based services. Keppel’s connectivity segment, where its data centres are operated, saw a net profit increase of nearly 45%. Keppel’s most profitable infrastructure segment saw its profit drop 4%, to S$673m, for the year ended December 31, due to lower gains on sponsor stakes, and lower distributions by Keppel Infrastructure Trust. Net profit for the asset manager from ongoing operations increased to S$1.06 (US$784.20) billion in 2024 from S$1.02 reported a year before. Keppel is transitioning to an asset manager and has a goal of managing S$200 billion in assets by 2030. The company declared the same final dividend as last year, 19 Singapore cents for each share. ($1 = 1.3517 Singapore dollars) (Reporting by Aaditya Govind Rao & Rajasik Mukherjee in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich)
Why the Canadian freight rail halt will roil North American supply chains
Canada's two main freight rail business locked out around 10,000 of their Canadian unionized employees early on Thursday, starting an extraordinary simultaneous work stoppage that will grind practically all railway freight motion in the country to a halt.
HOW INTEGRATED ARE THE RAIL NETWORKS ACROSS THE United States AND CANADA?
Canadian National Railway Co and Canadian Pacific Kansas City have said their rail networks south of the border will continue to operate, however industry groups fear that a. work stoppage would have far-reaching results on the movement of. items and commodities throughout North America.
CN and CPKC's coast-to-coast rail networks in Canada link. south of the border and act as important supply chain links to. trade corridors and ports throughout The United States and Canada.
The networks intersect with those of U.S. rail operators. such as BNSF Railway, Union Pacific, Norfolk. Southern and CSX, assisting in the motion of. billions of dollars' worth of products and products through. ports and storage facilities across the continent.
CN's network stretches south to New Orleans. CPKC's network. links to the U.S. ports of Corpus Christi, New Orleans and. Gulfport, and it extends more south to the ports of Tampico. and Lázaro Cárdenas on the east and west coasts of Mexico.
HOW WOULD A CANADIAN RAIL INTERRUPTION AFFECT THE UNITED STATES?
Around a third of the traffic moved by the 2 Canadian rail. companies crosses the border with the United States.
Lots of U.S. business and producers, specifically those in the. Midwest, use Canadian ports for imports and exports, as Montreal. can be faster for shipments to and from Europe, while Vancouver. can be faster for ocean service to and from Asia.
Union Pacific, the No. 2 U.S. railroad operator, has warned. that a synchronised interruption would have devastating consequences. for the U.S. and Canadian economies.
Scores company Moody's stated the interruption could cost over. C$ 341 million ($ 251.14 million) per day.
Lots of groups representing miners, farmers, exporters,. and fertilizer producers, to name a few, have warned that their. sectors deal with debilitating supply-chain hold-ups, increased costs,. cash-flow restrictions and prospective shutdowns in a protracted. stoppage.
HOW WOULD THE U.S. AND CANADIAN FARM SECTORS BE IMPACTED?
An interruption would hit the movement of whatever from wheat. to ethanol, potash fertilizer and meat.
In particular, it would crimp deliveries of U.S. spring wheat. from Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota to the Pacific. Northwest for export. An interruption would also hit Canadian potash. and grain exports.
The U.S. exported $28.3 billion of farming products to. Canada in 2023, making it the third-largest location for U.S. farming exports behind China and Mexico. The U.S. imported. $ 40.1 billion of Canadian farming products last year,. making Canada the second-largest source of U.S. agricultural. imports.
Ethanol, potash, corn, cereals, food grains, cooking oils,. and meat are among the farming products traded in between the. 2 countries.
WILL TRADE WITH MEXICO BE AFFECTED TOO?
Mexico is Canada's third-largest single-country product. trading partner behind the U.S. and China, while Canada was. Mexico's fourth-largest merchandise trading partner in 2023.
Mexico exports trucks, automobiles and vehicle parts to Canada,. together with mangoes and avocados. Canada exports wheat, meat,. aluminum, vehicles and parts to Mexico.
Two-way trade between the two countries, much of which moves. through the rails, was almost C$ 55 billion in 2023.
CAN THE TRUCKING INDUSTRY ENTER THE BREACH?
Truckers state they are facing a rise in demand which roadway. freight rates are increasing for shippers in Canada. Nevertheless,. industry insiders say that while the trucking sector can manage. a few of the need, it can not replace rail distribution. In some. cases, the industry does not have the equipment, nor the. capacity, to manage bulk commodity cargoes such as potash, food. grains, or coal.
(source: Reuters)