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Asian spot LNG remains near greatest level this year

Asian area liquefied natural gas (LNG) costs edged down today as high stocks depressed demand, however rates stayed near their greatest level this year, tracking European gas rates which have actually risen on supply issues.

The average LNG price for January shipment into north-east Asia << LNG-AS > was at $15.00 per million British thermal units ( mmBtu), a little lower than $15.10/ mmBtu last week, market sources estimated.

Colder temperature levels in north-east Asia will keep rates in check although not anticipated to raise area demand as adequate inventory levels and high LNG rates will sideline significant purchasers, said Go Katayama, LNG and natural gas expert at Kpler.

We think Asian rates will hold steady, with some threats on drawback due to recuperating supply from the Pluto and Freeport ( centers), higher pipeline gas from Russia to China and greater nuclear accessibility in Japan, Katayama stated.

Pakistan's deferment of some Qatari LNG freights from 2025 to 2026 marks the second occasion in a month in which a country purchased more LNG ahead of time however in the end will take in less, after Egypt's downturn of freights due to logistic complexities, stated Klaas Dozeman, market analyst at Creation Product Intelligence.

This develops a slight loosening of the balance for 2025, Dozeman included.

In Europe, gas rates were firm amid cooler weather condition this week and faster gas storage withdrawal.

Europe's gas storage centers are below the levels of the previous 2 years, although they are still significantly higher than they were at the same time in 2021 ahead of the energy crisis of 2022, stated Alex Froley, senior LNG analyst at data intelligence company ICIS.

If the rest of winter is mild, costs could fall back, however if it remains cooler, storage will go into next summer season lower than last year, which has contributed to stronger costs for summer 2025, Froley said.

S&P Global Product Insights examined its day-to-day North West Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for freights delivered in January on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $14.209/ mmBtu on Nov. 14, a. $ 0.20/ mmBtu discount to the January gas rate at the Dutch TTF. center.

Argus examined the cost at $14.220/ mmBtu, while Spark. Commodities examined it at $14.20/ mmBtu.

European interest in cargoes for next year was shown this. week by 2 tenders by Poland's Orlen and Turkey's Botas, stated. Samuel Good, head of LNG prices at Argus.

Competition between the Pacific and Atlantic basis have. remained strong, with the arbitrage - moving cargoes from one. location to another - for U.S. loadings holding open for prompt. cargoes however shut for a lot of exports planned for Q1, Good stated.

The U.S. arbitrage to north-east Asia via the Panama Canal. is currently also signalling U.S. freights to north-west Europe,. stated Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan.

In LNG freight, Atlantic rates have actually increased for the 2nd week. running to $22,000/ day on Friday, while Pacific rates steadied. at $23,750/ day, the analyst added.

(source: Reuters)