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Airplane lessor Avolon sees effect of supply problems lasting a years

A longrunning production deficiency by planemakers will underpin supply and demand characteristics that are enhancing airline and lessor profits for at least another decade, the head of the world's secondlargest aircraft leasing company Avolon said on Friday.

Airplane makers and providers have struggled to keep up with a post-pandemic healing in travel due to rising costs, labour and parts scarcities, problems that have been intensified by safety issues at Boeing and a strike by its personnel last year.

Avolon's annual outlook report anticipated that airline companies' web earnings would rise by 16% to over $36 billion in 2025, driven by low fuel rates, strong profits and the truth that airplane shortages have actually enabled them to prioritise the most profitable routes.

That production deficiency underpins the supply and need balance, not just for the next 3 or 4 years, however for at least another years, Avolon President Andy Cronin informed Reuters.

Cronin stated Avolon's view that the supply and demand balance would be firmly in our favour over that time period spurred it to buy 200 aircraft in 2023. It added 118 more airplane last year through the acquisition of smaller competing Castlelake Aviation Limited, bringing its overall fleet to 1,129 aircraft.

The Dublin-based lessor said Boeing and main rival Jet will continue to have a hard time to hit their targets to ramp up production despite increasing their shipments.

Avolon, which is a subsidiary of China's Bohai Leasing Co. Ltd, likewise predicted that orders from Chinese companies. will rise dramatically to 800 aircraft in 2025, pointing out development in. travel need and a need to change an aging fleet.

While Avolon's report described the aviation outlook for. 2025 as robust, it also noted that financial cycles typically last. 4 to 6 years and that the current cycle is already in its. 4th or 5th year, with growth in Europe slowing.

We define it as a low visibility environment at the. moment. I believe there's uncertainty around foreign policy and. trade policy, and substantial effects as it pertains to the. air travel market, Cronin included.

(source: Reuters)