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US natgas at Waha hub, Texas, falls into negative territory
The U.S. Natural Gas Prices for Monday in West Texas' Permian Shale Basin turned negative due to the fall pipeline maintenance. The financial company LSEG reported that the average gas production in the Lower 48 States has fallen to 107.6 bcfd so far in September. This is down from a monthly record of 108.3 bcfd set in August. The Waha Hub spot gas price has been boosted by traders who have noticed that the Permian Basin is flooded with gas due to the maintenance of the pipeline. The price of British thermal units (mmBtu), which was 6 cents on Friday, fell by 2,350% to a 17 week low of minus 1,26 dollars on Monday. This was the sixth time that Waha prices averaged less than zero in 2025. The previous averages were $1.66/mmBtu for 2025, 77c in 2024, and $2.91 in the five years prior (2019-2023). In 2019, the Waha price average was first below zero. This happened 17 times between 2019 and 2020, six times each in 2021, once in 2023, and 49 times on record in 2024. Analysts said that low prices are a sign that the Permian needs more gas pipelines. Some pipes are under construction including Kinder Morgan's Gulf Coast Express, Blackcomb, and Energy Transfer's Hugh Brinson. However, they will not be in service before 2026. The Permian Basin in West Texas, and Eastern New Mexico, is the largest and fastest growing oil producing shale region of the United States. With the oil, a lot of gas is also released. Energy companies are willing to accept some gas losses, even though U.S. Crude Futures have fallen about 12% in 2025. They can still compensate for the oil profits. Some energy companies are planning to cut back on the capital they spend this year on new oil drilling, as oil prices are expected to fall for a third consecutive year in 2025. This could eventually lead to less oil and gas coming out of the Permian. According to the federal outlook, U.S. oil production is expected to hit record levels in 2025, before declining in 2026. Scott DiSavino (Reporting) and David Goodman (Editing)
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Data shows that a ship carrying Russian oil with Adani banned switches to an Indian port
Ship tracking data revealed that the blacklisted vessel Noble Walker, carrying Russian oil, has changed its course and is now heading to India's Vadinar Port after Adani Group in India banned entry into Mundra port for ships on the sanctions list. According to data and shipping reports from LSEG, the Noble Walker was headed for Mundra until Friday, with about a half-million barrels of Russian crude oil bound for Indian refiner HPCL Mittal Energy Ltd. The European Union and Britain have blacklisted the vessel for violating sanctions by transporting Russian oil. HMEL didn't respond to an email seeking a comment. According to LSEG, Mancera Shipping, which owns Noble Walker has no contact information. Adani has issued an order to bar vessels sanctioned by Britain, the EU and the United States from entering its 14 ports, including Mundra, in western India. The port is used by Indian refiners HMEL, Indian Oil Corp and others to import oil from Russia. After the Western sanctions against Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, India is now the largest buyer of Russian oil by sea. India has tightened its surveillance on vessels and transactions that involve Russian supplies. The majority of Russian oil is shipped by the so-called "shadow fleet" after the United States and EU imposed sanctions on vessels, traders, and companies to reduce Moscow's oil revenues, which are its lifeline. Spartan, another sanctioned tanker carrying 1,000,000 barrels of Russian crude oil, was anchored Monday near Mundra port. Kpler data indicated that the vessel was to discharge its crude oil at the port Monday. Reporting by Nidhi verma. Beijing Bureau contributed additional reporting. Editing by Florence Tan, Mark Potter and Mark Potter
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Alaska Air's third-quarter profits are expected to be at the low end of forecasts on fuel costs
Alaska Air said that it expects to earn a profit at the lower end of its forecast due to high fuel prices and operational challenges. Fuel prices have risen due to refinery shutdowns on the U.S. West Coast. Alaska expects to spend up to $2.55 a gallon, compared to its previous projections of around $2.45. Alaska also highlighted weather and air traffic management issues that are driving costs up, such as compensation for passengers and crew overtime expenses. Storms and an overstretched air traffic control system have led to costly disruptions in the U.S. aviation industry this year. Alaska also suffered a major IT failure in July, which disrupted hundreds and thousands of flights during the busy summer travel season. Later, the airline attributed the outage to an erroneous software update. Alaska expects to achieve its adjusted third-quarter profit per share between $1 and $1.40, which was the previous forecast. However, the airline pointed out that revenue trends were improving due to a strong premium demand as well as a rebound of corporate bookings. It said that unit revenue, which is a key indicator of pricing power was moving toward the upper limit of its previous forecast. (Reporting and editing by Sahal Muhammad in Bengaluru, with Shivansh Tiwary from Bengaluru)
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US and Europe trade billions of dollars with Russia despite sanctions
U.S. president Donald Trump stated on Saturday that he was willing to impose new energy sanctions against Russia, provided all NATO countries stopped purchasing Russian oil. The U.S., and the European Union, import Russian energy and commodities worth billions of Euros, from liquefied gas to enriched Uranium. The main commercial ties between the EU and U.S. with Russia and their evolution in the last four-years are listed below: EU TRADE WITH RUSSIA According to Eurostat's latest data, the EU has placed various import and export restrictions upon several products. This resulted in a 61% drop in exports to Russia, and an 89% decline in imports into Russia, between the first and second quarters of 2025. In the second quarter 2025, EU imports from Russia decreased while exports increased. This resulted in a trade surplus of 0.8 billion euro. The EU continues to buy oil, nickel and natural gas from Russia, as well as fertilizer, iron, steel, and iron ore. The EU ban on the maritime import of Russian crude oil has reduced the share of Russia to just 2.01% by 2025, down from 28.74% at the end of 2021. The share of oil imports from Russia dropped from 29% in 2021's first quarter to only 2% in 2025's second quarter. NATURAL GAS The share of Russian natural gas imported by the EU in 2025 dropped from 48 percent in 2021 to 12 percent in 2025's second quarter. Algeria (+2%), the EU's biggest partner, now accounts for 27%, of its natural gas imports. TurkStream, a Turkish-built undersea pipeline that supplies gas to Russia, still reaches some EU countries like Hungary and Bulgaria. As prices rose sharply, the value of EU imports from Russia of liquefied gas increased significantly between the first and second quarters of 2022. The share of LNG imported by the EU from Russia has decreased to just 14%, down from 22% during the first quarter 2021. In the second quarter of 2010, the United States had a share of 54% of the frozen gas that was shipped to Europe. IRON AND STAINLESS STEEL In the second quarter 2025, Russia's share of non-EU imports of iron and steel dropped to 6% from 18% in 2004. FERTILIZERS As of the second quarter 2025, Russia was still the largest fertilizer exporter to the EU of 27 nations, and the share of its market increased from 28% in the previous four years to 34%. The European Parliament voted to impose prohibitive duties on Russian fertilizer exports in May. However, these tariffs will be implemented in phases. It is still too early to determine their impact on the market. U.S. Imports FROM RUSSIA According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. imports of Russian goods fell from $14.14 to $2.50 billion during the first half of 2025. Since January 2022 the United States imported $24.51billion of Russian goods. FERTILIZERS In 2017, the U.S. imported approximately $1.27 billion worth of Russian fertilizers. This is up from $1.14 in 2021. URANIUM, PLUTONIUM In 2024, the U.S. will import enriched uranium (plutonium) and uranium from Russia for around $624 millions. This is down from $646 in 2021. PALLADIUM In 2024, Russia will export palladium worth $878 million to the United States. This is down from $1.59 Billion in 2021.
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Indonesia announces economic stimulus package of almost $1 billion
Indonesia announced on Monday a new economic stimulus program worth 16,23 trillion rupiah (989.33 million dollars), which includes food assistance and a programme to build infrastructure that could provide temporary employment for over 600,000. Airlangga Hartarto, Indonesia's chief economist, told reporters that the stimulus measures would be implemented by the fourth quarter in 2025. He also said that some of the measures would be extended until 2026. Southeast Asia's biggest economy grew by 5.12% in the second quarter. This was its best rate of growth in two years. However, some policymakers have said that there are signs the economy will slow down in the third quarter. Airlangga, a reporter, said: "We hope that we can still achieve the 5.2% target for economic growth this year with this stimulus package." Airlangga announced that the government would give 10 kilograms to households in the fourth-quarter, eliminate personal income tax from workers in tourism, and allocate 5.3 trillion Rupiah in September to December for a scheme called "cash for Work" for over 600,000 people. Cash for Work schemes typically involve paying daily wages to people who are mostly from rural areas to work on infrastructure like roads and bridges. Airlangga stated that the stimulus package included a paid-internship programme for 20,000 graduates of universities and a discount of 50% on policy payments to state-provided insurance for work injury for motorcycle taxi drivers and trucks. Airlangga announced that the removal of personal income taxes for certain sectors, as well as the insurance scheme, will be extended until 2026. Airlangga stated that the government decided to keep the current tax rate in place until 2029. Airlangga stated that the government would also launch in 2026 a replanting program on 870,000 hectares of plantations, which will include commodities like sugar cane and cocoa. Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa, the Finance Minister, said that the new measures would have no impact on the budget deficit forecast for 2025. The latest forecast for the deficit was 2.78% GDP.
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Gulf bourses mix in early trading ahead of Fed decision
Investors expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to continue its easing cycle this week. The markets are priced at 100% for a 25 basis point easing by the Fed. This would bring its key rate down to 4.0-4.25%. Futures indicate a mere 4% chance that it will be 50 basis points. The U.S. monetary policy changes have a major impact on Gulf markets where the majority of currencies are pegged with the dollar. Dubai's benchmark index rose 0.2% thanks to gains in consumer goods, utilities and industry shares. Gulf Navigation gained 3.2%, while Tecom Group increased by 1.8%. Emirates Integrated Telecommunications, also known as du fell 1%. Mamoura Diversified Global Holding, the shareholder of telecoms firm du, sold a 7.55% share in the company through a secondary stock sale for 3,15 billion dirhams (858 million dollars). Abu Dhabi's benchmark index gained 0.3%, as the majority of its constituents also posted gains. Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank gained 1.4%, while Multiply Group increased by 2.1%. Space42's share price, on the other hand, fell by 1%. Space42, an AI-powered space tech company, and Viasat announced plans to create Equatys. This joint venture will enable global Direct-to Device (D2D). Saudi Arabia's benchmark index fell 0.2% due to pressure from healthcare and finance stocks. Al Rajhi Bank fell 1.8% after the world's biggest Islamic lender announced an interim cash dividend at SAR 0.75 per shares, down from SAR 1.25 a year earlier. Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair & Co advanced 6%. The retailer announced on Sunday that it had signed a banking facility agreement worth 1.60 billion Saudi riyals ($426.53 millions) with Emirates NBD Bank-Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for prepayment of debts. Qatar National Bank added 0.1% to the benchmark index, while Industries Qatar dropped 0.3%.
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Nigerian conservationists are fighting to protect sea turtles in Nigeria from pollution and poaching
Conservationists fighting to save the turtles say that plastic pollution, fishing nets left behind and coastal development have taken a toll. "We are seeing a dramatic decline," said Chinedu Mogbo. The founder of Greenfingers Wildlife Conservation Initiative has treated and released over 70 turtles in the past five years. Mogbo stated that at least five threatened or endangered sea turtle species live in Nigerian waters. However, the exact number is unknown and monitoring resources are inadequate. Mogbo's team has saved Olive Ridley turtles, Hawksbill turtles and Leatherbacks. Mogbo’s group, which is mostly self-funded and works with local fisherman to save animals, has worked with them since its inception. "Fishers are in need of income." "We offer net repair kit in exchange for turtles or nests that have been rescued," he said at the turtle sanctuary of the group in Lagos, Nigeria's capital. Mogbo, a conservationist, said that the lack of marine protected areas, and the shrinking nesting sites, have made the coast a trap for turtles. He called on state authorities to take more action to protect these animals. The Nigerian environmental agency has not responded to any requests for comments. In Nigeria, the demand for sea turtles' meat, eggs, and shells is increasing, for both consumption and for traditional rituals. "We eat the eggs, and give them sometimes to village elders as voodoo," says Morifat Hassan who sells seafood in the coastal region of Folu near Lagos. Hassan says sea turtles can fetch as much as 90,000 Naira ($60). Rescuers rescued a large green turtle that had been injured by a fishing net in July. He was named Moruf. Mogbo, after negotiating with the fisherman who discovered Moruf was able to deter people from trying to purchase the injured turtle. Mogbo, who was standing on the shoreline, said, "Normally, a turtle like this would be butchered, or sold. But we intervened, and will make sure it's returned to the sea safely."
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China receives fourth cargo from Arctic LNG 2 project
LSEG ship tracking data revealed that a fourth LNG tanker from Russia's Arctic LNG 2 project, sanctioned by the United Nations, discharged its cargo in a Chinese port four days after a previous LNG vessel left. LSEG data revealed that the sanctioned Russian tanker Buran, which arrived at the Beihai LNG Terminal on September 12 in China's southwest region of Guangxi with more than 166,000 cubic metres of LNG from the Arctic LNG 2, Gydan facility in northern Siberia, on August 22. Since late August, China has received more than 552,000 cubic metres of LNG from four of the first cargoes of the sanctioned Russian Project. According to LSEG ship tracking data, a fifth cargo, the U.S. sanctioned vessel Iris is currently underway, carrying more than 166,000 cu m of LNG that was loaded at Gydan, on June 28. Arctic LNG 2, owned 60% by Russia's Novatek and with a production target of 19,8 million metric tonnes per year, was expected to be one of Russia's biggest LNG plants. However, Western sanctions have hampered its progress. (Reporting and editing by Eileen Soreng in Beijing, Sam Li in Beijing, Lewis Jackson).
Mali's Barrick hardball talks are being driven by two former Barrick employees
According to sources familiar with the discussions, two former Barrick Gold executives who have inside information about the Canadian miner's operations in West Africa help drive Mali's demand for a payment from the Canadian company of approximately $200 million.
Mamou and Samba Toure were both employed by Randgold in Mali, now part of Barrick, which is a mining firm.
Mali's military government, which seized in December three metric tonnes of gold worth approximately $245 million from Barrick, has given miners until Saturday midnight to respond to their demands.
According to a source with knowledge of the situation, it wants Barrick pay back taxes totaling 125 billion CFA Francs ($199m) according to a source.
Source: If the deal is finalised Mali will return the gold seized and release the four Barrick executives who have been detained since November.
Barrick has publicly announced that he is a member of the Barrick
rejected
The charges brought against its employees are not specified. According to the court documents reviewed by, these include money laundering and funding of terrorism.
Barrick declined to answer any questions regarding the current status of the negotiations, and the Mali mines ministry also did not respond.
The dispute will have ramifications on global miners, foreign investors and others who have invested billions of dollars in West Africa. They are now being forced to follow a different set of rules because the military governments of Mali Niger and Burkina Faso want a larger share of mining revenue.
Beverly Ochieng is senior analyst at Control Risks for Francophone Africa. She said that the standoff with Barrick shows just how far governments led by military forces in the Sahel region are willing to go in order to force foreign operators to adhere to new regulations aligned with their pursuit of resource nationalism.
We spoke with more than 20 people, including mining executives and consultants, diplomats, and people who had direct knowledge of the discussions, to get a better picture of the negotiation. Sources requested anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the situation.
Nine people with knowledge of the situation say that the two Toures form part of a small group on the Malian front, including junta chief Assimi Goita and the Minister of Finance and Economy Alousseini Sanou.
They are not related, despite sharing a common surname. Samba Toure was older than the other two men by several decades and was West Africa Operations Director at Randgold. Mamou worked as underground manager at the Loulo Mine.
Sources said that Mamou is the most influential negotiator in Mali due to his close relationship with the powerful Finance Minister Sanou.
Mamou’s Iventus consultancy won the contract for auditing foreign mining companies in Mali. This led to the new mining code of 2023 and the renegotiation of the miner's contracts. Samba works now for him in the consultancy.
Mamou is the current boss, said a former co-worker. Samba's technical and managerial expertise was still crucial to decision making. "The decisions are made more by Samba than Mamou."
Mamou responded to detailed questions by saying that gold production has not benefited the Mali people as it should for many decades. Mali is Africa’s second largest gold producer.
He said, "It's only natural for the state to ask for a correction." "The state made great efforts to reach an accord, which is the reason all other companies reached an agreement with state."
Samba Toure has not responded to a comment request.
ACRIMONIOUS TALKS
Barrick's talks have been acrimonious, while other Western miners, including Canada's B2Gold, Allied Gold, and Australia's Resolute, have reached deals with Mali over the past few months.
Legal disputes, arrests, nationalisations, and threats are being used by the military governments of Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso to strengthen their ties with Russia and gain greater control over gold and uranium.
Ochieng of Control Risks, however, said that this did not mean Western operators would be unwelcome. She said that several western mining companies were allowed to expand their operations and acquire new assets, provided they met the latest taxation and regulatory demands.
The Mali junta, which will take power in 2020 has pledged to examine its mining industry so that the state can benefit from gold prices at record highs.
Some companies, such as B2Gold, were able to reach an agreement quickly. Some companies, such as Australia's Resolute whose CEO was arrested while in Mali to hold talks, took a little longer.
B2Gold said it would proceed with its planned investments at its Fekola complex this year after achieving the deal. Resolute said on Thursday that its deal with the Mali government would allow for better collaboration as the mine is developed.
The relationship with Barrick deteriorated in the last year. Barrick paid 80 million dollars to release four Malians who were arrested by the authorities in September. Mali demanded more payments, as it is owed a total amount of $350 million.
Barrick generated $949m in revenue in the first nine-month period of last year from its operations in Mali.
Bristow announced in early November that it had agreed to offer Mali 55% economic benefits from the Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex, similar to the agreement struck by the miner with Tanzania five years earlier.
Mali demanded that the remaining amount be paid in one go, rather than in installments. Mali began to block Barrick's imports in early November.
Mali claims that Barrick still has 125 billion CFA Francs to pay after discounting VAT credits.
Mali issued a warrant of arrest for Barrick CEO Mark Bristow in December 5 after four Barrick employees were again detained when no payment was received.
Contacts continued in the background. On Dec. 6, a source who spoke with Barrick senior management said that Barrick was on the verge of paying a second 50 billion CFA tranche. The payment never materialized and the conversation ceased. On Tuesday, formal talks resumed.
Freddie Brooks is a metals & Mining analyst at BMI. A FitchSolutions Company. He said that Barrick, under Bristow, had the highest level of tolerance for operational risks among major miners.
He said that if they failed to negotiate a deal with Mali's junta military, it wasn't for lack of effort.
CLASHES WITH BRISTOW
Samba Toure left Randgold nine years ago, after an argument with Bristow who was the CEO at that time.
Samba's rift grew after he resigned and was denied the right to sell his Randgold shares, based in London.
Mamou Toure left Randgold after a dispute in 2015 with Bristow regarding the use of foreign contractors.
Barrick declined to comment on the circumstances surrounding the Toures departure.
Mamou's company Iventus Mining won the consulting contract when the government announced that it would audit the mines. Two sources claim that Samba Toure was the one who led the audits.
Samba became chairman of the board in 2022 after Mali established a state-owned mine, SOREM. Mamou was appointed as a member.
However, the influence of Toures cannot be denied. Last summer, junta leader Goita grew frustrated with the negotiations and brought in the director of state security, Modibo Kone, one of the five colonels-turned-generals who lead the junta, one source said. Kone's participation in the talks was confirmed by a second source.
According to a source familiar with these talks, at least once, the Finance Minister has taken over the negotiations and told Mamou to step down when he had gone too far in his requests.
Five sources claimed that the Mines Minister, a technocrat without any military ties, had been marginalized. Mamou, however, denied this, pointing out that the ministry has two members on the commission. He said that the commission receives its orders both from the Finance Ministry and the Mines Ministry.
The Mali finance ministry and the presidency have not responded to any requests for comment. The state security service could not be reached.
Special Forces Raid
Stockpiles of gold were increasing in the "gold room" located at Loulo-Gounkoto's complex, despite exports being banned.
According to a court order dated Jan. 2, Barrick had just over 3 tons of gold in its vaults as of Dec. 27.
Unannounced, a helicopter arrived at the landing strip of the mine complex in mid-morning Jan. 11. One source said that four special forces soldiers and a customs officer, along with two officers from the state mining department and other plainclothes personnel, disembarked the helicopter and handed paperwork to Barrick employees authorizing them to seize gold.
The source added that the second shipment was made in the evening.
The gold that Barrick's mines seized is currently in the vaults at the Banque Malienne de Solidarite, a state-owned bank in Bamako. The bank declined comment.
Barrick, the company that confirmed the seizure, has announced it will suspend operations at Loulo-Gounkoto.
According to the Jan. 2, order, the seizure of Bristow's and other Barrick employee's property was taken as a precautionary measure in connection with the money laundering charges and other unspecified crimes against Bristow.
Two sources claim that Barrick has resisted the government's request to migrate to the 2023 mining code due to increased taxes.
Barrick's mining license will be renewed next year. The government has indicated that it may refuse the permit.
A source who had previously consulted with the Malian government said that the government wanted leverage in the negotiation while the company was looking to secure a long-term contract renewal at favorable terms.
The person stated, "I don't think they trust each other but no one is interested in a split-up."
Some investors are predicting a difficult road for Barrick Mali. They even think the company may lose its assets.
Martin Pradier is a materials analyst with Veritas, a Toronto-based investment research firm that covers Barrick. The exchange rate is $1 = 626.7500 CFA francs. (Additional reporting from Tiemoko and Fadimata in Bamako. Writing by David Lewis, Portia Crowe and Daniel Flynn. Editing by Silvia Aloisi, Veronica Brown, and Daniel Flynn.
(source: Reuters)