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Analyst: US tariffs on corn from Ukraine could be beneficial to the country's corn

Analysts at ASAP Agri said that Ukrainian corn could be a beneficiary of tariffs levied by the U.S.

Ukraine is one of the world's largest corn exporters and growers. U.S. president Donald Trump announced that he would impose a minimum 10% tariff on all U.S. imported goods, and significantly higher duties for goods from China. This is likely to lead to countermeasures which could drive up prices or reduce demand for U.S. products.

ASAP Agri stated in a press release that "if key importers end up imposing duties on U.S. Corn, this will open a large window of opportunity for other suppliers."

The Ukrainian corn market is strong: it has a competitive price, stable logistics and close links with European Union and Asian markets.

According to the consultancy, Brazil was "first in line" but that its harvest could not cover all demand. That is where Ukraine can "step in and claim their share". Ukraine will produce 32 million metric tonnes of corn in 2023, and 26 million in 2024. According to the UCAB, the country is expected to export 22 million tons of corn in 2024/25.

Corn export prices are high, so farmers are likely to increase the area planted for corn this season. Reporting by Pavel Polityuk, Editing by Chizu nomiyama

(source: Reuters)