Latest News

The price of oil shipping has risen due to increased exports from the Middle East and tighter vessel availability

According to industry sources, and LSEG's data, freight rates for Very Large Crude Carriers have risen to their highest level in over two years. This is due to a tightening of tanker supplies, resulting from an increase in Middle East exports, and more arbitrage supplies into Asia.

The key VLCC rate on the Middle East-China route, also known as TD3C LSEG data shows that, jumped up to W108 in the Worldscale Industry Measure, its highest level since November 20,22. According to industry sources, this is at least $6.6 Million.

Since the beginning of this year, the rate has risen by almost 150%.

A shipbroker said on Thursday that "we are seeing constant cargoes coming from ex-MEG loading (Middle East) and ex Atlantic while the vessel's tonnage list has been balanced very tightly."

Shipping industry sources told the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference, held in Singapore last week, that robust VLCC freight rates will yield attractive earnings to shipowners this coming year.

Data from Kpler, an analytics firm, showed that crude exports from the Middle East will exceed 18 million barrels a day in September, for the first since April 2023. This is after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a collective known as OPEC+ agreed to increase oil production.

The robust Asian demand will also force tankers to travel further distances due to the arbitrage supply. Indian refiners, for example, increased their U.S. crude purchase in October and November while Chinese independent refiners buy oil from Brazil and West Africa.

Sentosa Shipbrokers said that the main reason for the September surge was the arbitrage between U.S. Gulf and East Asia flows, as well as the tightness caused by the vessels' commitment to these long-haul journeys.

Anoop Singh, global director of shipping research for Oil Brokerage, says Saudi Arabia exports more oil because the demand for burning crude for electricity generation in summer has ceased, while arbitrage opportunities are wide open due to high Dubai crude prices.

He said that the short-term forecast is for the momentum in Dubai prices to continue through the end of this year and into the first quarter of next year. The strength could be amplified further if the medium-quality crude supplies, like those from Russia, are reduced due to geopolitical tensions.

U.S. president Donald Trump stated on Saturday that he was willing to impose new energy sanctions against Russia if NATO nations stopped purchasing Russian oil.

(source: Reuters)