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India's NSE IPO, which has been delayed for years, brings $2.6 billion to top investors

Investors ranging from India's state-owned banks to Singapore's sovereign fund to Canada's national pension manager will reap a windfall of $2.6 billion as India's National Stock Exchange moves forward with its long-awaited listing.

NSE, the largest exchange in India and "the most active derivatives market in the world", filed draft papers for a IPO late on Wednesday after years of regulatory delays.

The listing will consist of a pure sale, where existing shareholders offer to sell approximately 6% equity in the exchange. No new equity is raised.

According to trading platforms, NSE currently has over 200,000 investors, and its shares are valued at around 2,000 rupees (about 21.18 dollars) on the unlisted market. This suggests an estimated valuation of $57 billion. The bourse is now poised to be the fifth most valuable in the world after London Stock Exchange Group.

Three sources, including merchant banks, have said that the exchange could offer "shares" at a discount of 5% to 10% to private market values. They added that the valuation being discussed is about 1,900 rupees for each share. However, they declined to be identified because they were not authorized to speak with media.

One source stated that "at this valuation, NSE will attract new investors without shortchanging current ones."

Investor roadshows will help us make a final decision about pricing.

The IPO, at 1,900 rupees a share, would have a value of $3.3 billion. It is one of India's largest public offerings, along with Mukesh Ambani Reliance Jio's IPO, expected to be valued around $4 billion.

When asked about the valuation, NSE stated that it couldn't comment on anything other than having filed a prospectus for an IPO.

Winfall Gains

Based on the acquisition prices disclosed in a draft prospectus, the top 10 investors who offered shares are set to receive a windfall of $2.6 billion.

State Bank of India will earn about 497.67 millions dollars in profits, while Morgan Stanley's MS Strategic (Mauritius) fund will gain about 29,34 billion rupees. Calculations based on disclosures from prospectuses and valuation estimates were used to make the calculations.

Singapore's Temasek will make 20,67 billion rupees through its Aranda Investment division, while Canada Pension Plan Investment Board stands to gain 18,71 billion rupees.

State Bank of India, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley have not responded to requests for comment. CPPIB, Temasek and CPPIB declined to comment.

Anubhav Dayal is the founder of Hong Kong-based Soach Global Corporation. He said that its flagship fund bought NSE first in early 2016, and now sells 20% of its holdings to provide liquidity for investors.

It has been a good investment. Dayal added that NSE is a major investment for the company. "NSE will continue playing an important role in India's economy."

GROWTH PROSPECTS AND REGULATORY Risks

Sources said that the exchange will likely begin roadshows for IPOs in the next two months, and added that both domestic mutual funds as well as global funds have already shown interest.

The revenue of the exchange?has doubled from April 2019 to April 2026, reaching 187 billion rupees. This is due to a strong increase in options trading. The growth of the exchange has slowed in recent years due to a series regulatory restrictions on derivatives.

In its filing detailing regulatory risks, the exchange said that revenue could be negatively affected by government and regulator measures designed to?temper derivatives activity.

In its IPO documents, NSE stated that growth?will depend on continued expansion of first-time investors and rising trading activity. Innovation in?derivatives? products, as well as a push towards commodities.

Former NSE group president Ravi Varanasi now runs a consulting firm that advises Indian exchanges. He said NSE has a near-total hold on the cash markets, which gives it an excellent opportunity for long-term growth.

Cash trading volumes will continue to increase as India's capitalisation grows, he said.

(source: Reuters)