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Petrobras suspends study for $1 billion gas pipe in Brazil amid regulatory uncertainty

Sources have told us that Brazil's Petrobras has reassessed a major investment in natural gas infrastructure in Brazil due to a lack of clarity over a government proposal which could impact Equinor's project.

Three sources said that Petrobras was prompted by the proposal to halt studies on a proposed $1 billion gas pipeline in Sergipe, a state located in northeastern Brazil.

A source in the industry said that the Raia project of Equinor in the Campos Basin could be affected if the program were to become law. The project is expected to begin operating in 2028.

In order to boost competition and lower prices, the Brazilian energy regulator ANP will be discussing the?government proposal on Friday. It would require large producers to auction off a portion of their gas to third parties.

ANP will reveal the details of its draft regulation on Friday. The regulatory body will then 'open a consultation period with stakeholders', and vote afterward. After a final version has been reached, implementation could begin as early as next year.

Who would approve a pipeline investment of $1 billion without the assurance that their rights will be protected? A source who asked to remain anonymous because the discussion is sensitive said.

Petrobras has not responded to a comment request.

Equinor stated that regulatory predictability and stability are essential to?investments which require billions of dollars, and development timelines over a decade.

Petrobras' pipeline will transport gas from the two floating production units planned in Sergipe, to the shore. Petrobras estimates that the units will process?22 millions cubic?meters per day of gas, and 240,000 barrels oil each day. First oil is expected to be produced in 2030.

Equinor’s Raia project includes a pipeline from Macae, Rio de Janeiro, to produce 16 million cubic metres of gas each day. This will meet approximately 15% of Brazilian demand.

The Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva administration has made it a priority to keep gas prices as low as possible for consumers and industries.

Sources said that the proposal wouldn't increase gas supply overall, but rather would redistribute volume among market participants and create uncertainty about project returns. Reporting by Rodrigo Viga Gaier, Marta Nogueira and Fabio Teixeira.

(source: Reuters)