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After a bumpy flight, Lufthansa catches up with European competitors

After another year of mixed results under Carsten Spohr, the German airline group has vowed that its ambitious turnaround plan will become a reality in 2026. The group's share price has fallen by around a third since Spohr became CEO in 2014. The stock rose in 2017 but was then hit by the Covid-19 Pandemic. It has since struggled to recover, becoming a laggard among European airlines.

According to LSEG, if you had invested the day Spohr took over as CEO, you would have lost 18%, including dividends. That's 1.7% annually. LSEG data shows that although its shares have closed their gap with its rivals over the past few months, they still underperformed because Lufthansa's financial and operational performance lags behind its competitors.

Lufthansa's shares have risen 26% over the past six months. This compares to British Airways owner IAG, which has seen its share price rise by 35% and Air France-KLM up 44.6%.

LUFTHANSA TRYING to WIDEN ITS MARGINS

Investors are concerned that the struggles of Lufthansa with its cost structure and labour force is affecting their confidence and margins.

Analysts predict that the group operating margin will be 4.8% by 2025, down from 7.6% last year. This is lower than IAG or Air France-KLM.

Spohr has made changes, such as cutting 4,000 administrative positions over five years and retiring older planes in order to achieve an operating margin of 8% to 10% by 2030. This has impressed a few investors.

Lufthansa wants to simplify its complicated structure that includes six hubs, nine passenger airline 'brands' ranging from Italian flag-carrier ITA Airways up to budget offering Eurowings.

Transatlantic travel is softening, but global headwinds are increasing. Lufthansa could be slowed down by problems with the supply chain for its long-awaited Boeing planes, and also by difficult union negotiations.

(source: Reuters)