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Prices of oil fall on third day amid hopes for limited Saudi supply disruptions

The oil prices dropped for a third consecutive day on Friday, as easing concerns about Saudi supply disruptions overrode 'anxiety' regarding a possible escalation of the Middle East conflict in light of new fighting between Saudi Arabian forces and Yemeni Houthis.

Brent crude futures dropped 79 cents or 0.75% to $104 per barrel by 0319 GMT. US West Texas intermediate futures also fell 70 cents or 0.69% to $101.20 per barrel. Both benchmarks fell about 1% Thursday.

Brent prices are set to suffer their first weekly loss in three weeks, falling 0.5%. WTI, on the other hand, is expected to rise 1.2%.

The markets largely ignored concerns about the new threats to supply, even though Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis traded fresh strikes across their borders on Thursday, expanding Middle East 'war front.

Prices rose to near four-month-highs earlier this week as sources reported that crude loadings had been suspended at Saudi Arabia's Red Sea Export Hub of Yanbu and Riyadh had cancelled some deliveries to Europe following an attack on its East-West Pipeline last week.

Prices have fallen since reports that Saudi Arabia is aiming to return half of the capacity of the East-West pipeline in a matter of days, and it's offering to ship more crude oil to Asian refineries through the port of Sohar in Oman.

Phillip Nova's head of market insight, Priyanka Sahdeva, said that recent efforts to restore Saudi export capability have helped reduce some of the immediate anxiety about supply.

The sources that have spoken have given different estimates on how long it will be before the pipeline is reopened and crude flow returns to normal.

Analysts said that oil prices are still over $100 per barrel as markets wait for clear evidence of an improvement in supply.

The key question is whether physical flows can be normalised and what timeline could it take. Sachdeva stated that if we see sustained improvements in Hormuz trade, the geopolitical advantage can be reduced further.

Transporting oil across the region is still risky.

Iranian state media reported early Friday that the Revolutionary Guards Navy of Iran?said an oil tanker flying Togo's flag was hit while trying to make an?illegal passage? through the Strait of Hormuz.

Since the June interim agreement that was reached between the US and Iran collapsed in a matter of weeks, there have been no talks. According to the US State Department, the war will be discussed at the United Nations General Assembly in the coming week. An Iranian delegation is expected to attend.

(source: Reuters)