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Russia blames trans-border payment issues for imports' fall in 2024

Global payment problems stemming from Western sanctions will interrupt Russian imports in 2024, the central bank stated on Wednesday in discuss its mediumterm projection, which predicts a 1% to 3% decline in imports this year.

Russian companies have actually reported delays and cancellations of payments for products imported from significant trading partners such as China and Turkey, as local banks reinforce their compliance efforts under pressure from Western regulators.

The downward revision of the projection shows the strengthening of sanctions barriers in regards to payments and logistics, said the central bank.

The decline in imports has actually been one of the elements supporting the rouble in current months, as the demand for foreign currency has actually likewise been decreasing.

According to the comments, the reserve bank sees no opportunity for sanctions relieving in the medium term. Furthermore, the potential for brand-new sanctions, or the tightening up of existing ones postures a threat to its baseline forecast.

In 2025, the regulator anticipates to see a steady healing in the physical volume of imports. Nevertheless, the growth rate of imports will drag the boost in domestic demand, partly due to efforts to substitute imported items.

(source: Reuters)