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FedEx shares slide as trade turbulence hits demand, profit forecast

FedEx shares fell nearly 6% on Wednesday in premarket trade after the logistics giant warned of a challenging year and predicted earnings for the current quarter below expectations. This is due to the pressures from U.S. Tariffs, which are causing global demand to be volatile.

The global demand environment is volatile, said CEO Raj Subramaniam, during an earnings webcast. However, the company did not provide revenue and earnings forecasts for the full year, citing uncertainties regarding U.S. Trade Policies, especially those relating to China.

In April, the Trump administration imposed tariffs of 145% on China, which intensified the global trade war. They were then reduced to 30% in may. FedEx has more exposure to China than UPS and the executives of the company expect that tariff policies will continue to weigh on U.S.-China transit air trade.

FedEx Chief Customer officer Brie Carere stated that the biggest impact is due to the Trump administration's decision to end duty-free status on direct-to consumer shipments valued under $800 from bargain sellers with a China connection, like Temu or Shein.

"FedEx like the Fitbit of the economy." Express tracks business demand, Ground tracks online commerce, and Freight shows industrial strength. "Right now, all three look sluggish," Michael Ashley Schulman said, a partner at Running Point Capital Advisors.

The shares of German logistics firm DHL dropped nearly 2% while UPS fell 0.8%.

FedEx and UPS are both key players in the U.S. logistics industry and economy. They have been fighting for market share, as the industrial sector slows down. Meanwhile, delivery profits have fallen as customers have switched to cheaper ground services from expensive air services.

The company's forecast overshadowed its better-than expected profit for the fourth fiscal quarter, as cost reductions and increased export volumes pushed up operating margins.

Schulman said that the U.S. manufacturing sector is still struggling with supply chain issues and concerns about recession. Global trade is not moving very much and, while FedEx manages costs well, demand is still slow.

FedEx shares are trading at 11,63 times projected 12-month earnings, while UPS is trading at 13,40. (Reporting and editing by Shailesh Kuber in Bengaluru. Rashika Sing is based in Bengaluru.

(source: Reuters)