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CMA CGM warns of a tough year as the shipping industry faces overcapacity and falling demand

French group CMA CGM warned on Friday that the container shipping industry faces a difficult year, as new vessels increase capacity, while demand is slowing. Early orders for 2025 are being driven by trade tensions.

CMA CGM reported core EBITDA of $2.96bn for the third quarter, which is the same as the previous quarter but down 40.5% from a year ago. This was down by 40.5% compared to a year ago, but an increase from the prior quarter as volumes recovered after a stoppage in April of China-U.S. Trade due to a tariff dispute.

Ramon Fernandez said that the group, which is controlled by the Saade Family, expects its fourth-quarter results will be below those of the third quarter due to the falling freight rates. This could lead to a difficult shipping environment in 2026, Ramon Fernandez added.

He said: "We anticipate that freight rates will continue to normalise as there is less demand, and capacity increases due to new vessels being delivered. There may also be a reopening the Suez route in 2026."

Maersk and other rivals have warned about the pressure of falling freight rates.

The disruption to shipping in the Red Sea and Suez Canal due to attacks by Houthi Rebels in Yemen has reduced capacity. Ships are now taking a longer journey around southern Africa.

The Houthis' claim that they targeted vessels because of a ceasefire in Gaza, a war which the Houthis blamed on the Houthis, has raised hopes for resuming normal traffic. Fernandez stated that CMA CGM will continue to maintain limited transits through Suez as long as security permits.

The tensions between Washington, DC and Beijing have also affected the industry. Both sides announced that they would charge port fees for vessels that had ties to the other nation.

CMA CGM reorganised their fleet to avoid these fees. Fernandez stated that the company has no plans to change its fleet after the port charges were suspended for one year.

Fernandez said that the company had contributed to the rising supply of ships and, based on the current orders, will surpass Maersk by the end 2027 as the second largest container line in the world based upon capacity.

CMA CGM, along with the Saade Family, have pursued diversification in logistics, port terminals, and non-transport related activities. This includes the acquisition of Carrefour, Europe's biggest food retailer.

(source: Reuters)