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Asia spot LNG prices rise on South Korean demand

Asian spot liquefied gas prices rose this week, as colder weather forecasts boosted the demand in South Korea. However, weaker buying across China has led to a 34% drop since 2025.

Average LNG price for February deliveries to Northeast Asia Industry sources estimate that the price per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu) is $9.60, up from $9.50 in the previous week and at its lowest level since April 2024.

The market is still under pressure from the continued soft demand in Asia, with its weak economic indicators. There are also plenty of alternatives like coal in China. Klaas Dzeman, a market analyst with Brainchild Commodity Intelligence, said that La Nina did not bring the colder phases some were expecting.

He added that colder weather in South Korea and China over the next week could modestly increase demand.

Martin Senior, Argus' head of LNG prices, said that spot buying has been observed in South Korea. The temperatures are expected to drop to two-year lows by December 26. Five cargoes have already been diverted to South Korea from?China in the past few weeks.

EUROPEAN GAS Prices Up

Gas prices in Europe rose slightly during thin trading ahead of Christmas as forecasts for a cold snap boosted demand.

S&P Global Energy's daily Northwest Europe LNG Marker was assessed on December 23 at $9.001/mmBtu, a $0.53 reduction to the Dutch TTF Hub. Argus set the price at $9.001/mmBtu while Spark Commodities put it at $9.110/mmBtu.

Looking ahead, the key LNG gateways to Central and Eastern Europe are announcing that they will be firm buyers in early Q1 2026. They want to relieve pressure on declining Russian pipeline gas?and LNG flows. Aly Blakeway is the manager of Atlantic LNG for?S&P Global Energy. She said that Asia and North Africa are not interested in spot volumes.

Seb Kennedy, an independent analyst, reported that hedge funds have dramatically changed their position on TTF futures in the past year. They went from being net long at the beginning of February to being net short by November.

Kennedy said that 2025 would be remembered for the transition of EU gas markets as a year when a ramp-up in LNG supply ended years of scarcity pricing and crisis. With more than 450 funds actively trading TTF now, speculative money will continue to have a significant impact on EU gas prices through 2026.

According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghanistan, in LNG freight, Atlantic rates have fallen for the fourth consecutive week, to $80750/day. Pacific rates are down to $71,250/day.

The fall in Atlantic freight rates have narrowed U.S. arbitrage for the U.S. first-month to Northeast Asia via Cape of Good Hope. However, it still points towards Europe. Afghan said that the Panama route points marginally to Asia. Marwa Rashad reported. Mark Potter (Editing)

(source: Reuters)