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Asian spot LNG prices dip amid tepid demand

The Asian spot price of liquefied gas (LNG), which is a product of the Atlantic basin, fell this week to its lowest level in three months as tepid regional demand persists.

Average LNG price for delivery in April to northeast Asia Industry sources estimate that the price per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu) is $13,40.

Estimated average prices for May deliveries were $13.20/mmBtu.

Martin Senior, Argus' head of LNG pricing said that the Japanese demand was muted. Some Japanese utilities sold cargoes instead of buying, he added. Martin Senior also noted that utilities had healthy stocks despite recent cold weather, as their inventories were already high heading into winter.

The data from the Industry Ministry showed that LNG inventories held in Japan by major electric utilities reached 1.79 million tons on March 9 compared to 1.48 million tonnes at end-March of last year.

Senior said that South Korean buyers have been buying cargoes in the last week to replenish their stocks following a cold spell at the end of winter.

Siamak Adibi, FGE analyst, stated that while Asian LNG demand is weak and March imports are expected to end similar to those of February, Europe has continued to import high volumes of LNG. Total imports will likely be slightly less than 12 million tonnes by the end March.

He said that the pipeline supply in Norway is almost full, and gas withdrawals have been high because of increased consumption, especially by residential, commercial and power sectors. This was mainly due to weather conditions.

The main concern on the market is Europe's low underground inventories. In order to maintain the balance of the market, LNG imports will continue to be high.

Market attention is also on the comments of Russian President Vladimir Putin who, amid talks of a possible cessation in the conflict in Ukraine mentioned a possible energy collaboration between the U.S.A. and Russia and a pipeline for Europe.

S&P Global Commodity Insights estimated its daily North West Europe (NWM) LNG Marker price benchmark on March 13 at $12.411/mmBtu, a $0.55/mmBtu reduction from the April gas prices at the Dutch TTF Hub.

Spark Commodities set the price at $12.82/mmBtu for delivery in March, while Argus put it at $12.51/mmBtu.

Qasim Afghan, an analyst at Spark Commodities, stated that the U.S. arbitrage for northeast Asia via Cape of Good Hope has widened, and this is the first time it has been widening in nearly two months. This encourages U.S. cargoes being delivered to Europe.

He added that the LNG market saw a rise in rates this week, with the Atlantic region seeing the highest rates for four months at $25,750/day. Meanwhile, Pacific rates increased to $19750/day.

(source: Reuters)