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Source: MD-11 grounding following UPS crash likely to end by 2026.

David Shepardson and Allison Lampert

Source: The grounding of MD-11 aircraft after the fiery crash of one plane this month is not likely to end until 2026. This will drive industry demand for alternative solutions as peak delivery season begins this week.

Boeing and the Federal Aviation Administration must complete testing following the November 4, 2014 crash of an UPS MD-11 jet in Louisville, Kentucky that resulted in the deaths of 14 people before they can agree on the inspection criteria for ungrounding the planes. The source, who spoke on condition of anonymity, stated that the FAA had grounded the jets just days after they crashed. Inspection guidelines would allow them to fly again next year. The latest sign that the air cargo workhorses of the industry will remain grounded for longer than expected is the source who spoke about the private matter under condition of anonymity.

UPS (UPS.N), the U.S. parcel giant, said that it was leasing more planes than usual. FedEx, its rival, said it was using spare aircraft to "leverage" opportunities for chartering planes.

UPS and FedEx have a combined fleet of over 100 planes, including 50 MD-11 jets. While air cargo demand will only increase slightly over the next year, delivery companies can expect to see their average daily package volume more than double during the holidays.

In general, inspections of planes are expected to be completed earlier.

FedEx CFO John Dietrich said at a conference on November 11, that the inspections of their operating fleet of MD-11 aircraft would begin in the next few days.

In a letter, an executive of U.S. cargo airline Western Global Airlines stated that it would be forced to lay off pilots as it anticipated the groundeding of the model, which makes up the majority of its fleet, to only last a short time.

Nik Fialka, a pilot and podcaster, shared the letter on social media Monday. The letter stated that Boeing had advised "more and highly intrusive inspections as well as repairs, and part replacements will be required."

Western Global did not respond to a comment request. Its website lists FedEx, UPS, and other clients.

Boeing's spokesperson confirmed that its team provides technical and instructional support to operators. The U.S. aircraft manufacturer acquired the MD-11 programme through its 1997 merger McDonnell Douglas.

The chair of the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB), which is leading an investigation into the UPS accident, said last week that there is still a lot to be done.

Jennifer Homendy, Chair of NTSB, said that the NTSB has a number of pieces in its lab and is continuing to work on them.

(source: Reuters)