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FedEx's Holiday-Quarter Adjusted Profit to Top Wall Street's View

FedEx, a global delivery company, announced on Thursday that its?adjusted? earnings for the current holiday season would exceed Wall Street's median estimate. It also set growth goals through 2029.

FedEx announced that its earnings for the third quarter, ending February 28, will surpass analysts' expectations. This announcement was made ahead of its annual Investor Day in Memphis, Tennessee where it is headquartered. FedEx compared the average FactSet estimate of $4.01 for each share. FedEx announced in December that its 'third-quarter adjusted earning per share will fall below the reported $4.82 for the second quarter. The third quarter's earnings, which are typically the highest due to holiday deliveries, include $150 million of unexpected peak-season expenses related to finding trucks and planes to transport goods that would normally have flown aboard its fleet of MD-11 cargo aircraft that was grounded after the deadly UPS crash on November 20, 2025.

FedEx has begun a multi-year restructuring which includes cutting billions in costs, merging its Ground and Express delivery options and automating certain operations. It will also spin off its Freight business in June.

Raj Subramaniam, CEO, told investors that the transformation would translate into profitable growth, increased margins, stronger cash generation, and higher returns.

FedEx Freight has not been included in the growth targets set for 2029.

On the basis of?its fiscal 2026 estimates, it anticipates a 2029 consolidated revenue of $98 billion. This represents a 4% annual compound growth rate. It expects to achieve an operating income of $8 Billion in 2029, representing a 14% CAGR. It sees a 2029 adjusted operating profit margin of 8%. This is up about 200 basis points.

John Dietrich said that the company is "religiously focused on costs" and would be better able to handle unexpected challenges.

FedEx's fiscal 2025 report shows revenue of $87.9 Billion, an adjusted operating profit of $6.12 Billion, and a 7% adjusted operating margin.

On Thursday, shares of FedEx rose 0.2% to $367.83.

(source: Reuters)