Latest News

IEA: Tighter carbon regulations and a slower economy will erode the growth of bunker demand.

In its annual report, published on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency stated that the demand for marine fuel will be reduced in the future due to stricter environmental regulations and a slower economic growth worldwide.

The Red Sea disruptions, which forced shipping companies to take longer routes, boosted marine fuel sales last year.

The IEA stated that the demand for these fuels (also known as bunkers) could plateau at 5 million barrels a day in 2024-2030 due to weak underlying growth of shipping and increasing costs from stricter maritime environmental standards.

In April last year, the member states of the International Maritime Organization, the United Nations shipping agency, adopted a mechanism for carbon pricing to help the shipping sector reach zero net emissions by 2050.

In the event that final approval is not granted until October 2025, ships will be required to pay a fine for exceeding their target greenhouse gas emissions starting in 2028. UN data shows that shipping transports more than 80% of all goods traded and is responsible for nearly 3% greenhouse gas emissions.

The IEA stated that tariffs would create a harsher trading environment, which could adversely affect bunkers. This could increase the disconnect between maritime trade and economic growth.

The IEA reported that attacks on ships in the Red Sea forced some to avoid using the Suez Canal, initially supporting bunker sales. Last year, international bunkering increased by 140,000 bpd, but this was still only slightly above the trend.

The IEA also noted that the sluggish economic growth, as well as the rising freight and insurance costs, were also a factor. Enes Tunagur reported, Alex Lawler edited and Tomaszjanowski wrote.

(source: Reuters)