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CANADA-CRUDE-Discount on Western Canada Select narrows for first time since Maduro capture

Western Canada Select's discount to North American benchmark West Texas Intermediate futures has narrowed for the first time since the capture by the U.S. of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

WCS for Hardisty, Alberta delivery in February settled at $14.80 per barrel below U.S. benchmark WTI according to brokerage CalRock. This compares with $15 on Friday.

In the wake of Venezuela's crisis, the discount on heavy Canadian crude has increased by more than 12 percent. This is because an increase in Venezuelan barrels would be able to compete with Canadian heavy oil that is similar in quality in the U.S. Gulf Coast in the long term.

The WCS 'forward curve' has widened most in June, July, and December. This could indicate that the market believes Venezuelan supplies will start to increase in the second half of this year.

TD Cowen stated that 'Canada has other factors in its favor which could help to prop up WCS Prices if they are under pressure. These include low 'oil inventories' in Alberta, a depleted Strategic Petroleum Reserve in the United States, and the possibility for Chinese refiners to replace Venezuelan supplies with Canadian cargos.

Prices of oil rose by 2% in the past week due to growing supply concerns linked to protests intensifying in Iran, a major oil producer, and escalating attacks in Russia's Ukraine war. (Reporting from Amanda Stephenson, Calgary; editing by Shilpi Magumdar)

(source: Reuters)