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BCG report: Green jet fuel production may not meet 2030 targets

Boston Consulting Group's (BCG) report on Thursday found that the sustainable aviation fuel industry (SAF) is not meeting its 2030 targets because production hasn't ramped up fast enough.

This year, European airlines will be required to use 2% SAF in their jet fuel. By 2030, this mandate is expected to increase to 6%. Many have complained about the cost of the fuel which is usually three to five time more expensive than conventional jet fuel.

The report revealed that airports and airlines are only investing 1%-3% of their budget or revenue into SAF. High production costs and fuel price remain the main obstacles to adoption.

Pelayo Losada, Managing Director of BCG and Partner in its Aviation-related Companies Report, said that the findings were positive but not fast enough. The report was co-authored by more than 500 aviation executives.

Losada stated that "despite continuing to scale up the availability of sustainable aircraft fuel and we see this trend very clearly," there has been a slowdown of project development and gaps have become even larger to some of commitments made by some companies.

Last month, it was reported that China's SAF projects were delayed due to low consumption.

SAF is not a mandatory fuel in some countries, but it accounts for less than 0.3% of the total jet fuel produced in 2024.

BCG's report shows that while SAF supplies increased by 1,150% globally over the past three years, new production facility announcements fell from 2022-2023 by 50 to 70 percent.

BCG says that this is largely because of economic uncertainty, higher energy costs and increased operating costs.

The current forecasts indicate that the supply will fall between 30% and 45% short of the 2030 commercial aviation targets.

Losada claimed that many in the industry had the mentality "others will fix my problems", and called for collaboration across industries. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Marleen Plucinska, Joanna Plucinska)

(source: Reuters)