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Southwest expects to exceed its 2026 profit estimates as the overhaul gains momentum

Southwest Airlines on Wednesday forecast a stronger-than-expected profit in ?2026 and signaled a solid start to the year despite U.S. winter storm disruptions, saying ?an ?overhaul of its business model was beginning to gain traction.

The airline has shifted away from its old practices, such as unassigned seats and free checked baggage, and said that it is benefiting from more customer-focused offers, reliable operations, and early positive results of the changes it implemented last year.

Southwest is expecting a profit adjusted of at least $4.00 per share. Analysts' expectations average $3.19.

Analysts had predicted a profit of 33 cents per share for the first quarter.

In after-hours trading, the company's stock gained over 5%.

Southwest Airlines said that the new assigned seat and extra legroom options on flights, which began this week, could boost earnings if customers are willing to pay for these upgrades.

The carrier stated that it would have a clearer idea of the strength of this demand within the next few months and planned to provide more detailed profit forecasts for 2026 in its "next quarterly report" due out in April or even sooner.

Southwest Airlines said that it expects unit revenue, which is a key measure of how much money it makes for each flight it performs, to increase by at least 9.5% in the current quarter. Analysts had expected a 6.53 percent rise.

TRANSFORMATION PIVOT

Dallas-based carrier, United Airlines, Delta Air Lines and American Airlines, were unable to compete with the Dallas-based carrier for many years because it sold a simpler product. This left them with fewer levers when costs increased and demand changed.

It has shifted away from its old model as investors and pressure on profits have forced it to change. The switch from open seating to assigned seating is a departure from the long-standing system. It makes 'the onboard experience? more similar to what travelers see at big legacy airlines.

It began charging customers for checked baggage last year. It also introduced a more restrictive "Basic" entry-level fare, and tightened the rules on travel credits. These are the types of add-ons that Southwest has avoided for many years, but that rivals use to increase revenue. It also aims to reduce?costs, and improve the day-today operations.

Southwest CEO Bob Jordan said the change was "the most ambitious transformation in Southwest's History" and that early execution from cost reductions to improved reliability has created "a foundation for significant earnings growth this year."

Southwest Airlines' stock outperformed both the market as a whole and the entire airline industry over the last year. Investors bet that the new look will work.

The adjusted profit for the fourth quarter was 58 cents per share, which is in line with expectations.

The company will hold a conference call on Thursday morning with analysts and investors to discuss its financial performance. (Reporting and editing by Chris Reese, Jamie Freed, and Rajesh Kumar Singh)

(source: Reuters)