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Las Vegas sees sharp visitor drop as leisure spending wanes

Harry Reid International is still buzzing on Fridays. There are rolling suitcases, crowded rideshare lines, and the usual churn. On Monday, the airport had quieted down considerably.

James Chrisley is the director of Clark County Aviation Department. "Our peaks remain peaks and our valleys have softer edges," he said. Hotel prices, flight schedules, and paychecks are all showing signs of softening. This is in line with the findings from the Federal Reserve survey, as well as recent airline earnings calls: higher-income travelers continue to?book, while households that feel the pinch, pull back.

Economists warn that if the market-linked, affluent spending cools, recession risks could rise.

This divide is most evident in Las Vegas. A city fueled by leisure spending, Las Vegas just experienced its largest annual decline of visitors outside the pandemic.

Las Vegas attracted about 3.1 millions fewer visitors in 2020, a 7.5% decline. This is the sharpest drop since 1970 when records began. The Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority does not separate its figures for domestic versus foreign travelers.

In 2025, passenger traffic at Harry Reid will have fallen by about 6%. This includes carriers such as American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, and Allegiant. Traffic in December, which is usually boosted by holiday travels, dropped 10.3%.

The city's lifeblood, leisure, is weakening.

Andrew Woods of the Center for Business and Economic Research at University of Nevada said, "I believe this is a better microcosm of the American consumer than a way to tell us the direction of the American economy."

Woods noted that other popular vacation destinations, such as Honolulu and Orlando, Fla., and Disneyland, are not experiencing the same decline in visitors. He added that Las Vegas' high fees and prices have made the city vulnerable to budget-conscious tourists.

Officials and executives said Las Vegas had just come off of two consecutive record-breaking years, and that the market is now more balanced.

Midweek FADE

The most noticeable shift occurs in the middle of the week.

The weekdays are the days when hotels have a steady flow of rooms. This helps to cover payrolls, and keeps restaurants and casinos busy. Hotels can fill in the gaps when demand drops, but usually by lowering prices or adding perks.

The Las Vegas Strip is different from Monday to Thursday: self-parking garages are fewer at resorts which overflow on weekends while valet lanes continue to move. Placer.ai's location data suggests that the Strip is tilting towards weekends.

Analysts, officials, workers, and visitors all cited a combination of political unease, and more cautious travel planning. Fernanda Loiza is a Guatemalan tourist who believes that some travelers are staying away due to the Trump administration's immigration crackdown. This has resulted in tourists being caught up in high-profile cases. Loiza stated that some people are afraid to "come and enjoy Las Vegas openly and without inhibition."

The importance of international visitors is disproportionately high, as they tend to stay longer and spend more.

Michael Hillman, a tour guide in Las Vegas, said that travelers are irritated by the price of Las Vegas. He said, "Ten dollars for a water bottle." "People no longer see a bargain."

HOTELS DISCOUNTS, AIRLINES PULL BACKWARD

MGM Resorts said this month that revenue and earnings for its Las Vegas resorts dropped in the fourth and 2025 quarters. The company cited a large weakness in value-oriented properties like Luxor and Excalibur. However, executives claimed that trends would improve in 2026.

Caesars Entertainment announced on Tuesday that its Las Vegas segment saw a decline in revenue and profit in the December quarter and for all of 2025. The full-year profit fell by about 20% on a year-over-year basis, with revenue down roughly 5%.

Strip?hotels rely on seasonal offers, dining credits and other incentives to keep demand up. CoStar Group data indicates that midweek revenue per room declined by 11% between 2025 and 2030.

Michael Stathokostopoulos is a senior analyst at CoStar. He said that Las Vegas remains a leisure-driven market. He said that inflation and economic uncertainty are driving travelers to cancel trips, reduce their stay or downgrade.

As demand has weakened, airlines have reduced their?schedules. Cirium data indicates that U.S. airlines have about 7% less seats scheduled to Las Vegas in the first quarter 2026 compared to a year ago. The international traffic is also showing a similar pattern, particularly from Canada, an important overseas market. The major?Canadian carriers reduced capacity by around 30% for the third quarter. This pullback is due to Canadians' increased reluctance in traveling to the U.S., including because of tariffs and immigration policies.

WORKERS FEEL FIRST

Economists claim that years of added fees and increased prices have made travelers feel like they are paying more for less. This model is harder to maintain as inflation puts pressure on budgets.

Recent Federal data highlights the squeeze. Las Vegas wages are below the national average while local inflation, unemployment and wage growth is higher.

This is reflected in the hours and tips on?the Strip. Joe Spica, the Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas's bellman and shop steward for the Culinary Workers Union, says that visitor numbers may not be down, but spending is. He said that "they're not tipping nearly as much."

Spica is a father of 3. The impact on him was immediate. He said that tips had dropped 'ridiculously. "And when I go to grocery stores, everything I buy has gone up."

The number of extra shifts in hotels and restaurants has been decreasing. Ted Pappageorge is the secretary-treasurer for Local 226 of the Culinary Workers Union. He said that slowdowns begin not with large layoffs but rather with vanishing shifts which hit part-timers and on-call workers first.

The next test, according to economists, will come this spring when households begin planning their summer vacations. Drive-in traffic in Southern California will provide an early indicator.

Some job seekers are already feeling the effects of the slowdown. Shuang Woo said that she had a difficult time landing interviews and was receiving a series of automated rejections. She has recently started training to be a casino dealer.

She said, "It has been tough." The entire city is based on tourism. (Reporting and editing by Ethan Smith; Rajesh Kumar Singh).

(source: Reuters)