Latest News

United's profit in 2026 is at the high end of its forecast, despite a renewed fuel price surge

United Airlines said Wednesday that it expects a 'full-year profit to be at the upper end of its previous forecast, betting on strong travel demand, higher fares, and a renewed rise in fuel prices, despite its earnings outlook for the third quarter falling short of Wall Street's expectations. In extended trading, shares fell 5%.

The Chicago-based airline now forecasts that its fuel bill will be approximately $6 billion more than what it predicted at the beginning of the year.

The top of the range is?about 5% higher than the $10.46 expected per share by LSEG's analysts.

United expects adjusted earnings for the third quarter of $2.50-$3.50 per share, and an average fuel cost of $3.69 a gallon. According to LSEG, the $3 midpoint is compared with the average analyst estimate of $3.60 per share. The airline reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.99, which was higher than the analysts' expectation of $1.88. Revenue increased 16% to $17.7 Billion.

PRICING POWER COVERS 'FUEL HIT' Major U.S. Airlines have enjoyed strong pricing power following a series fares increases that were pushed through this year during the fuel shock. Investors are watching to see if carriers can continue recovering higher costs while maintaining capacity growth. United Airlines said that it recovered approximately 50% of its fuel cost increase during the second quarter. It expects to recover between 80% and 90% of this increase in the third. It expects to offset the cost increase in the fourth quarter. Oil prices have risen by about 15% in the last month, as a result of renewed hostilities between Iran and the U.S. United based its third-quarter forecast and full-year projections on the prices of Tuesday, 14 July. United's fuel expenses are expected to have increased by $575 million in the last two weeks due to rising costs. Fuel prices would have remained stable since the beginning of July, according to United Airlines' third-quarter earnings estimates. Fuel prices are on the rise again, and this highlights the risks that airlines who raised fares in the past face. United still expects that its total revenue per seat mile, which is closely watched as a measure of "pricing power", will grow faster than the 12.1% increase posted in the 2nd quarter. The company expects that the current schedules for the fourth quarter will be reduced. United will discuss the financial results of its company in a conference call with investors and analysts on Thursday morning. (Reporting and editing by David Gaffen, David Gregorio and Rajesh Kumar Singh)

(source: Reuters)