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Alaska Air forecasts quarterly profit below estimates as jet fuel prices stay high

Alaska Air forecast third-quarter profits below Wall Street expectations on Tuesday as fuel prices rose due to renewed U.S. - Iran?fighting.

Seattle-based airline Alaska Airlines expects its third-quarter adjusted profits to be between $0 and $1 per share. According to data compiled and analyzed by LSEG, analysts had on average estimated a profit per share of $1.38.

In extended trading, shares of the airline fell 3%.

U.S. airlines will face additional fuel costs of billions of dollars this year due to the increased oil and jet-fuel price caused by the war in Iran, and the prolonged disruption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. United Airlines alone anticipates an additional $6 billion in fuel expenses for '2026 compared to its original plan.

After a fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, prices of jet fuel fell sharply from their spring highs. However, after the hostilities resumed in July, the prices rose again.

Alaska's economic fuel costs are expected to average $3.75 a gallon during the?July-to-September period. This is lower than the $4.43 it paid per gallon in the previous quarter.

About a quarter or so of airline operating costs are fuel-related. This volatility has led carriers to increase fares, reduce flying and seek additional cost savings.

Alaska is especially exposed to West?Coast markets where limited refining capacity and pipeline capacities can cause prices to be more volatile and expensive. It is trying to diversify by importing more fuels from Singapore. However, Singapore's refining margins have also risen earlier this year.

Alaska currently sources about a fifth (or a little more) of its fuel from the United States and says it will eventually increase that percentage to 30-40%. Delta ?Air Lines earlier this month gave a stronger-than-expected third-quarter outlook, ?while United Airlines' forecast fell short of Wall Street estimates. Both carriers claimed that higher fares and strong demand helped offset the 'increased fuel prices, with premium travel remaining especially robust.

Alaska's adjusted loss?of 92c per share was narrower than the analysts' average estimate, which was 99c per share. Data compiled by LSEG. (Reporting by Nandan Mandayam in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai)

(source: Reuters)