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After drone attacks, Russian oil exports from Novorossiysk will more than halve by August

According to traders and LSEG shipping data, oil exports from Russia’s Black Sea Port of Novorossiysk will halve from their July levels in 'August after Ukrainian drone strikes disrupted loadings at the Sheskharis Oil Terminal.

Two traders have said that Novorossiysk's loadings are expected to drop below 350,000 barrels a day (bpd), from about 800,000 in July.

Ukraine increased drone strikes against Russian energy infrastructure this year, including ports of export and pipelines. The aim is to reduce the revenue from oil exports.

Sheskharis Terminal at Novorossiysk, Russia's principal crude export outlet along the Black Sea handles shipments of Urals Light and Siberian Light crude. The port also loads Kazakhstan’s KEBCO mix for export markets.

Traders estimate that Russian producers will?load about 600,000 metric tonnes?of crude oil from Novorossiysk this August. The rest of the total 1.4 millions tons of oil is made up of Kazakh crude. Market participants believe that Ukraine will not target vessels carrying non-Russian crude oil. This is why Russia has diverted some Kazakh transit from the Baltic port Ust-Luga, to Novorossiysk. Financial Times reports that Ukraine has promised to stop attacking tankers transporting non-Russian oil from Black Sea ports. Drones had previously targeted cargoes "linked to Kazakhstan", including CPC Blend exports at the Caspian pipeline consortium's terminal in Yuzhnaya Ozereyevka near Sheskharis.

Traders say they expect the disruption of Russian crude loadings at?Novorossiysk will continue through September.

One trader stated that "we don't anticipate the situation to ease in Novorossiysk next month. So, it is likely we will be seeing more?Kazakh barriques."

In addition to Novorossiysk in the Far East, Russia also exports crude from its Baltic ports, Primorsk and Ust-Luga. (Editing by Elaine Hardcastle).

(source: Reuters)