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A train derails near northern France, injuring at least 44 people
The French railway operator and French authorities confirmed that a train derailed in Normandy in northern France between Rouen-Caen on Friday night at around 7:30 pm local time. The head of the local authority Jean-Benoit Albertini told reporters that one of the injured was in a critical condition and had to be evacuated via helicopter. A spokesperson for the French police said that the train 'derailed after hitting an unknown object. The French railway operator SNCF said an investigation was underway to determine the cause of this accident. In a post on X, French Transport Minister Philippe Tabarot revealed that the train carried 180 passengers. He added that 140 firefighters were at the scene to help the injured passengers and drivers. The local authority,?prefecture Seine-Maritime, warned the public to avoid the area. SNCF announced that the train service between Rouen, Caen,?Caen, and Le Havre has been?suspended' and a'replacement bus services will be in place.
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USDA report report fails in its attempt to reverse EU wheat's decline
European wheat prices fell on Friday after U.S. grain forecasts did not provide enough positive news to counteract a bearish mood that had pushed the price to a two-week low in earlier'session. The daily session for December wheat traded on Paris' Euronext ended with a loss of 1.6%, or EUR241.25 per metric ton. The benchmark contract fell to a 2-week low at EUR240.25 earlier in the day, from a contract peak of EUR259.25. The U.S. Department of Agriculture released its monthly "supply and Demand" forecasts for world wheat ending stocks on Friday. These were slightly higher than average estimates. Investors who had built up a large position in wheat were encouraged to take profits by the report's publication. Prices were also affected by diplomatic efforts to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. Commerzbank, which announced its forecasts on Friday, increased their year-end wheat prices, citing the ongoing attacks by Russia and Ukraine against each other's port. The CBOT wheat price at the end the year is now $7, up previously from $6.50, and the Euronext wheat price at EUR240, up previously from EUR220. The market is still bouncing between the bearish expectation of a stable shipping agreement in the Black Sea and the bullish expectation that Russia and Ukraine will continue to attack ports and shipping. Importers from Egypt and Libya showed an interest in small quantities of 11.5% protein wheat at $300-$305 per ton C&F for shipment between September/October. According to a trader, Pakistan's wheat tender of 750,000 tons next week will likely?attract mainly Romanian or Bulgarian offers and possibly include Ukrainian wheat that is transported overland to Romania. Pakistan could cancel the tender if prices are well above $300 per ton c&f. As Rhine water levels dropped, ships were only able to sail partially loaded and transport costs increased.
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Poste Italiane acquires Telecom Italia for 66.6% at the end of the offer period
Poste Italiane secured a 66.6% share in Telecom Italia (TIM)'s capital. Calculations based on stock exchange data were revealed on Friday at the conclusion of the main phase for the takeover bid by the state-backed company. Poste, who had previously acquired a 20% stake in TIM, increased its cash component by 18%, to EUR1.97 a share. It also confirmed an exchange ratio of 0.218 newly -issued Poste?shares for each TIM share. At Friday's closing price, the bid was valued at around EUR13 billion. Borsa Italiana (the Italian stock exchange) reported that the take-up of the bid for the former Italian telephone monopoly had reached 58.2%. Poste waived its initial acceptance threshold of 66.67% for this upcoming?week. The offer period will reopen between September 21 and 25.
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Tesla targets European freight market by releasing long-delayed semi truck
Tesla will bring its Semi-electric truck to Europe, expanding its reach beyond North America. It is looking to gain a foothold in the heavy-duty market where competitors already sell battery-powered models. Elon 'Musk-led 'automaker will reveal European specifications and launch information at the IAA Transportation Trade Fair in Hanover Germany next week. It said in a posting on X. The European push comes almost a decade after Tesla unveiled the Semi back in 2017. The company initially planned to produce the Semi by 2019, but this timeline was continually delayed because the company prioritized the supply of battery cells for its passenger vehicles. Tesla began limited deliveries in late 2022 to customers such as PepsiCo, including the United States. Tesla announced in April that the first "Semi" had been produced on a Nevada high-volume line. In its shareholder update for July, Tesla only stated that Semi production would start in 2026 and removed an earlier forecast of volume production this summer. Tesla's German language website lists the version of?truck that has a range up to 550km (342 miles), with a combined gross weight of 40 tonnes and an energy consumption of around 1 kilowatt hour per kilometer. The 'company' said that the truck is able to take off with electric power up to 25 kW and weighs around 9,100 kg without a cargo or trailer. The truck can recover 60% of its range within 30 minutes by using Tesla's Megacharger network, which the company claims is capable of delivering up to 800 kilowatts. Tesla also cited dedicated service centers and route-based scheduling as features that would reduce downtime.
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QatarEnergy is seeking US LNG deals until 2031, according to sources
QatarEnergy has been in talks with several producers about securing multi-year U.S. contracts for liquefied natural gas through 2031. This is to replace the capacity that was destroyed by Iranian attacks, which will take years to fix. Two sources confirmed that discussions are underway with Venture?Global and Woodside. Sources said that the contract talks were part of QatarEnergy's effort to replace volumes lost from its Ras-Laffan facility, after Iranian strikes damaged two of its 14 gas-to liquids (GTL), and two LNG trains. QatarEnergy has also changed its approach from purchasing dozens of U.S. LNG spot cargoes in order to meet commitments made to some of their Asian clients. QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi stated in March that the repairs will sideline 12.8 millions tons of LNG capacity per year for three to fiveyears. QatarEnergy, which halted its production in March, has renewed force majeure notifications monthly. Most recently, they were extended to November. Further extensions are possible if the Strait of Hormuz is closed, according to the sources. QatarEnergy Trading - the trading arm of QatarEnergy - which managed 10 million tonnes of the company's portfolio of LNG - is looking to achieve 2-3 million metric tonnes per annum until 2031. A fourth source stated that "They'll have to buy anything they can." QatarEnergy has not responded to an immediate request for comment. Venture Global and Cheniere declined comment while Woodside LNG stated that it would not comment on speculations about the market. According to research firm Rapidan Energy, 25 million metric tonnes of LNG are available for sale in U.S. construction projects. Rapidan data shows that Venture Global has 10 mtpa of LNG uncontracted. Cheniere, Woodside Energy, and Sempra have 6 mtpa each available. Qatar's pursuit of LNG volumes to deliver to its?customers indicates that Qatar now sees a risk in their ability to export LNG over several years, said Saul Kavonic. He is the head of energy advisory and research at MST Marquee. He added that "it signals that Qatar?considers the Strait of Hormuz disruption may prove to be longer lasting and the damage to Qatari?LNG infrastructure is more extensive than originally hoped, and it may take longer to fix." Around 80% of Qatar LNG exports are usually exported to buyers in Asia. Many clients in Asia began to look for alternatives to Qatari Gas due to the uncertainty of when flows would resume through this major waterway. According to a fifth party, some market participants are testing scenarios where no Qatari gas will be available.
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QatarEnergy is seeking US LNG deals until 2031, according to sources
QatarEnergy has been in talks with several producers about securing multi-year contracts for?U.S. Three trading and industry sources said that QatarEnergy is negotiating with several producers to secure multi-year?U.S. Two of the sources cited said that discussions were held with Venture 'Global, Cheniere, and Woodside. Sources said that the contract talks were part of QatarEnergy's effort to replace volumes lost from its Ras-Laffan facility, after Iranian strikes damaged two of its 14 gas-to liquids (GTL), and two LNG trains. QatarEnergy has also changed its approach from purchasing dozens of U.S. LNG spot cargoes in order to meet commitments with some of their Asian clients. The company is now looking for longer-term solutions. QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi stated in March that repairs will sideline 12.8 millions tons of LNG capacity per year for three to five more years. QatarEnergy, which halted production back in March, has issued force majeure notifications every month. The most recent extension was to November. Further?extensions are possible, as the Strait of Hormuz is still closed, according to the sources. QatarEnergy Trading is the trading arm of QatarEnergy, which managed 10 million tons of LNG for the company. One source said that the company was looking to achieve 2-3 millions metric tons annually through 2031. A fourth source stated that "They'll have to buy anything they can." QatarEnergy has not responded to an immediate request for comment. Venture Global, Cheniere and Woodside LNG declined to comment. Saul Kavonic is the head of energy research and advisory at MST Marquee. He said that Qatar sees a risk in their ability to export LNG over several years. He added that "it signals that Qatar believes the disruption of Strait of Hormuz could be longer lasting and the damage to Qatari's LNG infrastructure has been more extensive than originally hoped and repair may take longer." Around 80% of Qatar LNG exports are usually exported to Asian buyers. Many clients in Asia began to look for alternatives to Qatari gas due to the uncertainty surrounding when flows will resume through 'the major waterway. According to a fifth party, some market participants are testing scenarios where no Qatari gas will be available.
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Oil tanker prices reach record highs after US and Iranian shipping attacks
This week, the cost of'shipping' oil in the largest tankers reached record levels following the most intense wave of attacks against shipping since the U.S. - Iran war began late in February. According to Baltic Exchange, the shipping rate for supertankers, also known as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), loading oil in the Gulf of Oman to be shipped to China, reached around 450 on Worldscale, which is?roughly?$11.50 per barrel. The rate is at its highest level since it was introduced earlier this year after the U.S. and Israel war against Iran. The increase in rates is a sign of 'how the Middle East conflict feeds into the wider economy. The rise in shipping costs could add to inflationary pressures, and increase costs for consumers and businesses already feeling the effects of a growing conflict. Iran announced on Wednesday that it had launched 10 attacks near the Strait of Hormuz, after the U.S. destroyed five Iranian oil tanks. Four Yemeni government officials said that the Houthis, who are aligned with Iran, reached Perim, a strategic island in the Bab El-Mandeb Strait on Friday, possibly tightening their hold on one of the world's most important shipping routes. Ioannis Pandimitriou, analyst at Vortexa, said that "repeated attacks between the U.S. Navy and Iran continue to push freight rates in the Gulf up to new heights." Papadimitrou said that the higher risk of operating in the Middle East Gulf and the surrounding area is driving up the Gulf of Oman's freight rates, out of fear of Iranian reprisals. This naturally reduces the number of available tankers in the region. The recent military escalation is having a wider impact, with VLCC rates also reaching record highs on the West Africa-Asia route.
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Travel chaos caused by the protest of Polish train drivers who slow down during safety demonstrations
On Friday, Poland's railways were impacted by widespread disruption as train drivers protested safety concerns and slowed down their trains. Around two thirds of services experienced delays on what is one of the busiest weeks of the year. A train that hit a truck and derailed at a level-crossing in central Poland Wednesday killed one person and sent 10 to the hospital. This is just the latest of a series of accidents caused when road users ignore warning signs. "We do not view this as protest but as an act of desperation," said Sebastian Piernik. He added that the union's demands for safety were?ignored in the past. "The fundamental problem is to ensure that drivers are held accountable for crossing the tracks at a time when there's a red signal." Train drivers at all level crossings slowed to 20 kilometres an hour (12 mph), as part of the protest that lasted until Friday noon local time. As a consequence, train operator PKP intercity reported that as of 12 p.m. (1100 GMT), 203 of 290 services?faced delays averaging 38 minutes. Alicja Kiman, a resident of Gdansk, said that she wasn't surprised by the protest because?motorists are?often reckless. She said, "I've seen garbage trucks break the barrier twice - forcing themselves in when it was closing." The government announced that it would introduce harsher 'penalties for drivers disregarding warning signals at crossings, and it spent hundreds of millions?zlotys to improve safety. Dariusz Klimczak, Infrastructure Minister, told reporters that "these changes will result in the risk of losing a driver's licence" for drivers who enter a road/rail crossing with RED light on.
China's fast renewables rollout hits grid limitations: Kemp
China's recordbreaking release of wind and solar capacity has gotten worse regional power imbalances, forcing the country to idle increasing amounts of eco-friendly generation when it overwhelms regional intake.
Brand-new government guidelines intend to reduce the amount of renewable generation that has to be deserted by increasing long-distance transmission links and much better coordinating generation plans across provinces.
Considering that the end of 2018, China's total creating capacity has increased by 1.137 billion kilowatts (kW), compound annual development of 9%, according to information from the National Bureau of data (NBS).
Thermal capability, generally from coal-fired plants but some from gas-fired generators, rose by 257 million kW or 4% each year ( China statistical yearbook, NBS, 2023).
Many capability additions, nevertheless, have actually originated from what the government calls brand-new energy sources - wind farms (277 million kW, 19% annually) and solar generators (517 million kW, 29% per year).
Increased penetration of periodic renewables is making it harder to handle a nationwide transmission system that was currently having problem with large regional imbalances between generation and load.
The solution to variable wind and solar output is to smooth out changes throughout a bigger variety of generators spread out over much bigger areas of the nation, which will require more transmission and better scheduling.
LONG-DISTANCE TRANSMISSION
For years, the nation has been characterised by enormous west-to-east electrical energy transfers from interior locations with surplus generation to the massive load centres on the east and south coasts.
Ten provincial-level areas in the east and south (Liaoning,. Hebei, Beijing, Tianjin, Shandong, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Zhejiang,. Fujian and Guangdong) accounted for 50% of nationwide consumption. but only 40% of generation in 2022.
By contrast, six remote and sparsely populated northern and. western locations (Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Shanxi, Shaanxi, Gansu. and Ningxia) accounted for 18% of usage but 25% of. generation.
Chartbook: China local electrical power transfers
In response, China's State Grid Corporation has constructed. a network of ultra-high voltage transmission lines to move power. thousands of kilometres from surplus locations in the west and north. to deficit areas in the east and south.
While doing so, China has actually ended up being the world leader in. ultra-high voltage transmission to move electrical energy over long. distances while reducing line losses, and is exporting its. proficiency around the globe.
INNER ASIA'S ENERGY ABUNDANCE
China's northern and western areas are a few of the least. inhabited and poorest parts of the nation, but rich in energy. resources, typically coal and now progressively gas and. renewables.
The north and west contains the nation's most important. coal deposits and has actually ended up being a significant centre of pit-head. generation, with some electrical power used locally by heavy. market, and the rest transferred east and south.
Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Shaanxi and Xinjiang alone accounted. for 81% of coal mine production and 25% of all thermal. generation in 2022, according to information from the NBS.
In a quirk of fate, the arid and windswept northern and. western plains and deserts are likewise the very best websites for giant. wind farms and solar parks.
Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Shaanxi and Xinjiang together with. neighbouring Gansu, Ningxia and Qinghai represented 42% of all. wind and solar generation in 2015.
But the addition of a lot wind and solar generation in a. area already filled with coal-fired power threatens to. overwhelm the transmission system.
Throughout peak periods of wind and solar generation, there is. inadequate population and market in these areas to take in all. the output, and insufficient long-distance bandwidth. to move the surplus east and south.
MORE TRANSMISSION AND PREPARATION
In 2016, the nationwide utilisation rate for brand-new energy. sources was up to a record low of 84%, prompting the main. government to release a Clean Energy Absorption Action Plan to. minimize the waste of sustainable resources.
The plan focused on enhancements in regional circulation,. long-distance inter-provincial transmission, and energy trading. to minimize the curtailment of brand-new energy generation.
By 2023, the utilisation rate for wind power had reached. a remarkable 97.3% and solar had actually reached 98%, according to the. state-run news agency Xinhua.
With quick release of eco-friendly capacity, nevertheless, the. issue of abandonment is re-emerging, with wind utilisation. down to 96.1% and solar down to 96% in the first 5 months of. 2024.
Sliding utilisation has triggered an alert from the National. New Energy Intake Monitoring and Early Warning Center. ( Fixing the pain points and troubles of brand-new energy. intake, Xinhua, July 1, 2024).
The reaction is likely to be similar, with renewed focus. on incorporating renewables at regional level and more transmission. capability to move surplus power across provincial limits.
In the last two years, central government policy declarations. have consistently focused on the need for much better coordination of. transmission and generation in between provinces.
CREATING A TRULY NATIONAL SYSTEM
In an indication of the importance connected to the concern, the. Communist Party's Politburo held a group research study session on brand-new. energy technology and energy security on Feb. 29, 2024.
The session, bringing together leading main and regional. leaders, included a discussion on increasing the grid's capacity. ability to integrate, distribute and control clean energy.
President Xi Jinping stressed requirement for coordinated. development of the energy sector ( Xi stresses top quality. advancement of brand-new energy, CPC International Department, March. 2, 2024).
In numerous ways, China's long-distance UVDC transmission system. is an amazing engineering accomplishment, most likely to be copied. in other parts of the world as more and more renewables are. linked to grids.
It has actually allowed a remarkable penetration of intermittent. renewables, as well as hydroelectric generation, into the. national power system while keeping or improving. dependability.
As a result, wind and solar producers provided 15% of all. generation in the very first 5 months of 2024, up from 7% in the. very same period in 2019.
In some ways, nevertheless, China is still having a hard time to create a. genuinely integrated nationwide system from fragmented. provincial-level energies that pursue their own top priorities.
If government strategies to attain even higher renewables. penetration are to be accomplished, there will need to be much. better links and more coordination between different kinds of. generators and throughout far wider areas.
John Kemp is a market analyst. The views revealed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.
(source: Reuters)