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Iraq is close to a deal that will restart oil exports to Turkey from Kurdistan, say sources
Iraq, OPEC’s second largest producer, has given its preliminary approval to a proposal to resume pipeline oil sales from its semiautonomous Kurdistan through Turkey after delays in a hoped for restart. The agreement between the federal government of Iraq, the Kurdistan Regional Government, and international oil companies may add 230,000 barrels of new supplies per day at a moment when OPEC producers increase output to regain share on the market. Iraq exports approximately 3.4 million barrels per day of oil from its southern ports. However, the Kirkuk-Ceyhan Pipeline in the north is closed since March 2023. This was after a court arbitral ruled that Turkey must pay $1.5 billion as damages for exports unauthorised between 2014 and 2018. Turkey has appealed the ruling. Ankara has said that it would like to resume exports. However, they are still suspended due to ongoing legal and politics disputes between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government of Erbil and international oil companies. Two sources familiar with these talks confirmed that the Iraqi cabinet gave preliminary approval to an export plan. International oil companies in Kurdistan also agreed to this plan. APIKUR, which represents Genel Energy, DNO, and Gulf Keystone among others, declined to comment citing ongoing discussions. "Discussions are intensifying and we're closer than ever to a trilateral agreement... as everyone is showing flexibility", said an executive of one of the multinational oil companies. According to the preliminary plan the KRG committed to deliver at least 230,000 barrels per day to Iraq's SOMO state oil marketing company, and keep an additional 50,000 barrels per day for local consumption. Ceyhan's sales would be handled by an independent trader using SOMO official prices. Each barrel sold would receive $16 in escrow and be distributed to the producers proportionately. The rest of the revenue will go to SOMO. The draft plan does not also specify when or how producers will be paid the arrears of about $1 billion, which accumulated from September 2022 to March 2023. Luke Clements (CFO of Genel Energy) told a conference held in Oslo, Norway, last week, that significant progress had been made in the drafting of agreements to restart pipelines exports. "But we still need to push it over the top," he said. Reporting by Nerijus Adomiaitis in Oslo, and Ahmed Rasheed from Baghdad. Writing by Yousef Sabah; Editing by Aidan Lewis & Jan Harvey
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Serbia's NIS Oil Company seeks 7th waiver of US sanctions
The Serbian oil company NIS, which is owned by Russia, has asked for a seventh exemption to delay U.S. sanction that could put its crude oil supplies at risk. It also wants its name removed from Washington's list of sanctions. The waiver granted last month expires September 26. NIS, a company owned by Gazprom and Gazprom in majority, operates the only oil refinery of Serbia, located outside the capital Belgrade, at Pancevo. NIS confirmed that the request was made on 18 September. The statement said that the request was also made for the removal of its name from the list Specially Designated Nationals, but acknowledged that this would be a long and complex process. On January 10, the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions on Russia's oil industry over Moscow's involvement in Ukraine and gave Gazprom a 45-day deadline to sell its NIS shares. Pancevo's annual capacity is 4.8 million tons. This covers most of the Balkan country's crude needs. Sanctions could threaten its supply via Croatia's Janaf. Reporting by Angeliki Koutantou, Daria Sito and Joe Bavier; editing by Joe Bavier
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Maguire: Texas and California extend their clean energy lead over the rest of US
Texas and California have driven U.S. clean electricity supplies to record-high levels so far in 2025. They are also building a wider lead over the remainder of the country when it comes to the share of power generated by clean energy sources. LSEG data shows that the combined clean power output of the main power systems from California and Texas reached new highs from January to August, and grew by 10% compared to the same months in the year 2024. The clean output growth in California and Texas was nearly two times as high as the total electricity generation elsewhere. Texas and California are also leading the U.S. for new installations of combined solar and battery storage capacities so far in 2025. This will likely lead to a further concentration of clean energy growth in these states. Other states could now fall further behind Texas in terms of clean and total energy generation, as federal support for new clean energy capacity is set to decline sharply. It could lead to a lopsided growth in national electricity, as states with large clean capacity footprints will outpace states who have adopted clean generation capacity more slowly over the past few years. FORGING Ahead According to LSEG, data shows that from January to August, 74% of wholesale electricity generated by the California Independent System Operator - CAISO came from clean sources. This was the highest share of clean generation ever recorded for California. It compares with a 68% share in the same months last season and a 60% percentage for the same period in 2023. Electric Reliability Council of Texas, which covers the majority of Texas, generated 46.5% of their power from clean sources between January and August. This was a record-breaking share, up from 43% in 2013 and 41% in 2023. LSEG data show that the total volume of clean energy generated by CAISO from January to August 2024 increased by 4%, to a new record of 3.8 million Megawatt Hours (MWh). ERCOT generated 6.4 million MWh between January and August, which is 14% higher than the same period the previous year. It's also a record high. This combined total of clean generation from these two states reached 10.2 million MWh. This represents a 10% increase from the previous year. The rest of the U.S. generated clean power at a rate of 39.9 millions MWh from January to August, which is also a record. However, this was only a 2.6% rise compared to the same months in 2020. Shares Expanding California and Texas have expanded their clean energy generation faster than the rest the country. Their combined share of national clean electricity generation has reached a new record of 20,4% in 2025. This share is compared to 19.3% from January to August 2024 and 19% between January and August 2023. Clean power supply in CAISO & ERCOT has grown at a rapid pace. In January to August of this year, clean power sources made up 54% of total CAISO & ERCOT power generation. Fossil fuels made up 46%. LSEG data show that the remaining U.S. power generation system is composed of a mix of 39% fossil fuel and 61% clean energy. CAISO and the ERCOT systems also built much of the U.S. new solar and battery storage over the last year. According to the data portal Cleanview, 36% of the new solar capacity and 66% new battery capacity was added. These additions place CAISO/ERCOT in a position of strength to continue outperforming other states in harnessing and deploying new clean energy, even as power operators from other states struggle with reduced federal funding for clean power. This means that Texas and California are more likely to be able to keep up with national power demand growth than other states, and this could result in a divergence of power market dynamics among ERCOT and CAISO. These are the opinions of the columnist, an author for. You like this article? Check it out Open Interest The new global financial commentary source (ROI) is your go-to for all the latest news and analysis. ROI provides data-driven, thought-provoking analysis on everything from soybeans to swap rates. The markets are changing faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on You can find us on LinkedIn.
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FedEx shares rise as Wall Street celebrates profits despite trade uncertainty
FedEx shares rose 5.4% on Friday in premarket trade after Wall Street was surprised by the company's impressive first-quarter results. The gains were attributed to strong domestic deliveries, cost-cutting initiatives, and a decline in international volume due to tariffs. As it works to cut billions in costs, the company has relied on cost-saving measures, such as closing facilities, parking planes and merging departments. UPS shares jumped nearly 2% just before the bell. The overall average daily volume rose by 4% during the third quarter as strong demand for summer holidays in the United States offset a drop of 3% in exports. Revenue per package climbed 2%. Daiwa Capital Markets analyst writes in a note that "key revenue growth drivers will likely be the ramping up of Amazon volume, yield increases, and absence of USPS" headwind. The peak season volume is expected to increase by mid-to high single digits. FedEx terminated its partnership with the U.S. Postal Service after two decades. Postal Service contract, which had always been a drag on profits due to high costs and low margins. Analysts who were tempered in their expectations due to global trade headwinds expected a loss of profit from the ending of "de minimis exemptions" that allowed duty-free entries for shipments below $800. FedEx instead reported a 2.2% increase in adjusted profit during the quarter ending August. J.P.Morgan analysts noted that FedEx's strong F1Q, and the issuance of an FY26 guide, was a pleasant surprise for a firm that had been hit by many headwinds. However we do note the bar set was low before the publication. The company's profit projection for fiscal 2026 was just below Wall Street expectations. FedEx is trading at 11.83 times its projected 12-month earnings, while UPS is at 12.04. Both stocks, however, are lagging behind the market due to a softening of industrial demand, and a shift towards cheaper ground shipping.
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ResInvest Group to buy Datteln 4 from Uniper as part of the government's rescue
German utility Uniper announced on Friday that it has agreed to sell Datteln 4, a 1 gigawatt coal fired power plant, to commodity traders and investment group ResInvest Group. The company said in a press release that the transaction includes not only the coal infrastructure but also the heat generation plants associated with it. On Wednesday, it was revealed that negotiations were in progress on the sale Datteln 4. This asset is the most valuable of a list of assets to be sold by the EU as part of the agreement for Berlin to bail out Uniper with 13.5 billion euros ($15.87billion) in 2022. The parties failed to disclose the purchase price. Sources familiar with the situation said that the plant could be worth around 1 billion euro, which is less than the 1.5 billion euros it cost to construct. Reporting by Paolo Laudani, Gdansk. Editing by Friederike Hines.
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LME Zinc stocks indicate tight market but physical supplies are plentiful
The London Metal Exchange has reported a decline in zinc inventories registered in their warehouses in recent months. This suggests a tightening market for the metal that is used to galvanize steel. However, industry sources claim there are plenty of supplies available on the physical market. Zinc stocks at LME warehouses are now down 75% since mid-April, to 47,825 tons. This is the lowest level of zinc stock in LME storages since May 2023. The cancellation of warrants that represent metals earmarked for shipment indicates another 16,450 tonnes are expected to leave LME warehouses. The price of zinc is likely to continue to be affected by headwinds over the next year, according StoneX analyst Natalie Scott Gray. She cited a weaker Chinese demand as well as an improved supply. However, she noted that the low stock environment would help support the price. Cash contract premiums have been impacted by concerns about LME Zinc supplies. . This week, the premium reached a record high of $41.33 per ton. The backwardation of the zinc maturity curve suggests that the market is expecting LME supply to be tight for a while. The latest quarterly survey shows that analysts are expecting a small surplus in zinc this year of 80,000 tonnes and 201.500 tons next. The global zinc demand is estimated to be around 14 million tons per year. Zinc inventories are found in warehouses monitored and controlled by the Shanghai Futures Exchange Since late June, the number of tons has more than doubled, reaching 99,315 tonnes, indicating a weakening demand in China, the world's largest consumer. Tom Price, analyst at Liberum, said that the most important factor affecting zinc prices and demand is the decline in global steel production activity in particular in China. We also remind investors that there is greater value in tracking changes in exchange inventory than in tracking the moods of the galvanisers in the zinc industry. According to the World Steel Association, global crude steel production in July was 150.1 millions tons, down 1.3% on the previous year. Chinese output fell 4%, at 79.7million tons. (Reporting and editing by David Goodman.)
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Sources say that India's regulator is still looking into more than 12 allegations against Adani.
Two sources who have direct knowledge of the investigation said that India's market regulator continues to investigate more than 12 allegations against Adani Group, its offshore funds and securities laws. They spoke after the Securities and Exchange Board of India dismissed two allegations made by U.S. Short-seller Hindenburg Research two years ago. One was of stock manipulation and the other of non-disclosure of transactions between related parties. Adani Enterprises, the flagship company of billionaire Gautam Adani's conglomerate that includes Adani Ports and Adani Power as well as Adani Power (ADAN.NS), has consistently dismissed Hindenburg's allegations as unfounded. The government praised the dismissals of Thursday, but it did not respond immediately to questions sent via email on Friday about the ongoing investigations. SEBI's Communications Department also failed to respond immediately to comments. In 2023, the regulator began to investigate Adani Group companies after Hindenburg, now defunct accuse them of using tax havens improperly and manipulating stock prices in a report. Initial accusations led to the sale of $150 billion worth of Adani Group stocks. Since then, the stocks have recovered. Shares of all nine group companies listed on the stock exchange rose Friday as a reaction to dismissals by regulators a day before. Adani Power led the gains with a 12.7% increase. Adani Enterprises rose 6%. On Friday, a source said that certain investigations into the allegations against the Adani Group had been closed. No further action was planned. The source stated that "at least over a dozen" cases were still awaiting final orders, which would decide whether the allegations should be dismissed or penalized. Sources said that Adani Enterprises and Adani Ports had incorrectly classified certain shareholders as being public. In their financial statements for July and August, these four companies stated that the watchdog would be investigating the allegations of wrongful categorisation. Reports in April indicated that 30 Adani Group entities had applied to settle these regulatory charges. (Reporting from Mumbai by Jayshree Upadhyay and Urvi Dugar, with additional reporting in Bengaluru by Andrew Heavens).
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FedEx shares rise as Wall Street celebrates profit beating amid trade uncertainty
FedEx shares rose 5% on Friday in premarket trade as investors cheered its quarterly profit and revenue beating against the backdrop of uncertainty related to tariffs and the ending of the "de minimis exemption" on low-value shipping. FedEx's aggressive measures to cut costs, such as parking planes, shutting down facilities, and merging certain units, have helped protect profits. It has a plan to save $1 billion in this fiscal year, which ends May 2026. The performance of the company was also boosted by a 5% increase in average daily domestic volumes. Its operating margin, an important metric, rose to 6%, up from 5.2%. This showed that U.S. consumers were resilient. Analysts at J.P. Morgan said that FedEx's strong first quarter, and the issuance of an FY26 guide, was a pleasant surprise for a firm that had been impacted by a variety of challenges. United Parcel Service shares rose more than 1%. FedEx has reported an increase in adjusted profit per shares to $3.83, up from $3.60, a year ago. This surprised Wall Street analysts who had expected a decline in earnings because of the ending of the "de minimis exemptions" which allowed shipments under $800 in value to enter the U.S. without paying duty. The company reported that global tariffs including the ending of the de minimis exclusion for China and Hong Kong cut its first-quarter revenues by $150 million. This hit is expected to repeat itself each quarter in this year. Brie Carere, chief customer officer, said that trade policies, combined with other pressures for FY26, represent a $1billion headwind. While export volumes to international markets fell by 3%, the average daily volume increased by 4%. Revenue per package also increased by 2%. FedEx's stock trades at 11,83 times its projected 12-month earnings, while UPS's is 12.04. Both companies' shares are lagging the market this year due to a softening of industrial demand, and customers preferring cheaper ground shipping.
China's fast renewables rollout hits grid limits: Kemp
China's recordbreaking deployment of wind and solar capability has actually gotten worse local power imbalances, requiring the nation to idle increasing amounts of eco-friendly generation when it overwhelms local intake.
New federal government guidelines aim to decrease the quantity of sustainable generation that needs to be deserted by increasing long-distance transmission links and better coordinating generation plans throughout provinces.
Given that completion of 2018, China's overall producing capacity has increased by 1.137 billion kilowatts (kW), compound annual growth of 9%, according to data from the National Bureau of statistics (NBS).
Thermal capability, mainly from coal-fired plants but some from gas-fired generators, rose by 257 million kW or 4% per year ( China analytical yearbook, NBS, 2023).
Many capability additions, nevertheless, have originated from what the federal government calls brand-new energy sources - wind farms (277 million kW, 19% annually) and solar generators (517 million kW, 29% per year).
Increased penetration of intermittent renewables is making it more difficult to handle an across the country transmission system that was currently fighting with large local imbalances between generation and load.
The solution to variable wind and solar output is to smooth out variations across a bigger number of generators spread over much bigger locations of the nation, which will need more transmission and much better scheduling.
LONG-DISTANCE TRANSMISSION
For years, the country has actually been characterised by huge west-to-east electrical energy transfers from interior locations with surplus generation to the huge load centres on the east and south coasts.
Ten provincial-level locations in the east and south (Liaoning,. Hebei, Beijing, Tianjin, Shandong, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Zhejiang,. Fujian and Guangdong) accounted for 50% of nationwide intake. however just 40% of generation in 2022.
By contrast, six remote and sparsely populated northern and. western locations (Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Shanxi, Shaanxi, Gansu. and Ningxia) represented 18% of intake but 25% of. generation.
Chartbook: China local electrical energy transfers
In reaction, China's State Grid Corporation has constructed. a network of ultra-high voltage transmission lines to move power. thousands of kilometres from surplus areas in the west and north. to deficit areas in the east and south.
While doing so, China has ended up being the world leader in. ultra-high voltage transmission to move electricity over long. distances while minimising line losses, and is exporting its. know-how worldwide.
INNER ASIA'S ENERGY ABUNDANCE
China's northern and western locations are a few of the least. populated and poorest parts of the nation, but abundant in energy. resources, generally coal and now progressively gas and. renewables.
The north and west contains the nation's essential. coal deposits and has become a significant centre of pit-head. generation, with some electrical power utilized in your area by heavy. market, and the rest transmitted east and south.
Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Shaanxi and Xinjiang alone accounted. for 81% of coal mine production and 25% of all thermal. generation in 2022, according to information from the NBS.
In a peculiarity of fate, the dry and windswept northern and. western plains and deserts are likewise the best sites for giant. wind farms and solar parks.
Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Shaanxi and Xinjiang together with. neighbouring Gansu, Ningxia and Qinghai represented 42% of all. wind and solar generation in 2015.
But the addition of a lot wind and solar generation in a. region already saturated with coal-fired power threatens to. overwhelm the transmission system.
During peak durations of wind and solar generation, there is. not enough population and industry in these areas to soak up all. the output, and not enough long-distance transmission capacity. to move the surplus east and south.
MORE TRANSMISSION AND PREPARATION
In 2016, the nationwide utilisation rate for new energy. sources was up to a record low of 84%, prompting the main. government to introduce a Clean Energy Absorption Action Strategy to. minimize the waste of eco-friendly resources.
The strategy focused on improvements in regional distribution,. long-distance inter-provincial transmission, and energy trading. to decrease the curtailment of brand-new energy generation.
By 2023, the utilisation rate for wind power had actually climbed to. a remarkable 97.3% and solar had reached 98%, according to the. state-run news firm Xinhua.
With quick implementation of eco-friendly capacity, however, the. problem of abandonment is reappearing, with wind utilisation. down to 96.1% and solar down to 96% in the very first 5 months of. 2024.
Sliding utilisation has prompted an alert from the National. New Energy Intake Monitoring and Early Caution Center. ( Solving the discomfort points and difficulties of brand-new energy. consumption, Xinhua, July 1, 2024).
The action is likely to be comparable, with renewed emphasis. on integrating renewables at local level and more transmission. capacity to move surplus power across provincial limits.
In the last 2 years, main federal government policy statements. have actually consistently focused on the requirement for better coordination of. transmission and generation in between provinces.
DEVELOPING A TRULY NATIONAL SYSTEM
In an indication of the importance attached to the issue, the. Communist Celebration's Politburo held a group research study session on brand-new. energy innovation and energy security on Feb. 29, 2024.
The session, combining leading central and regional. leaders, consisted of a conversation on enhancing the grid's capability. capability to incorporate, disperse and regulate clean energy.
President Xi Jinping stressed requirement for coordinated. advancement of the energy sector ( Xi stresses high-quality. advancement of brand-new energy, CPC International Department, March. 2, 2024).
In many methods, China's long-distance UVDC transmission system. is an amazing engineering achievement, likely to be copied. in other parts of the world as increasingly more renewables are. connected to grids.
It has enabled a remarkable penetration of periodic. renewables, along with hydroelectric generation, into the. nationwide power system while keeping or enhancing. reliability.
As an outcome, wind and solar producers supplied 15% of all. generation in the very first 5 months of 2024, up from 7% in the. exact same duration in 2019.
In some ways, nevertheless, China is still struggling to create a. genuinely integrated across the country system from fragmented. provincial-level energies that pursue their own top priorities.
If government strategies to achieve even greater renewables. penetration are to be achieved, there will have to be much. better links and more coordination in between various types of. generators and throughout far wider areas.
John Kemp is a market expert. The views expressed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.
(source: Reuters)