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Aramco CEO: Strait of Hormuz disruption may push recovery of oil markets into 2027.

Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser?warned? on Monday that disruptions to oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz could 'delay the return of the market to normal?until?2027.

The oil market will take longer to stabilize and rebalance the longer supply disruptions persist, even if they continue for a few weeks longer. Nasser said this to analysts during a conference call discussing the company's results for the first quarter, which were announced on Sunday. These results exceeded expectations.

If the current situation persists until mid-June 2027, Nasser said.

It has been said that the impact of the Iran War, including the closure of the Strait, is the largest?disruption of the energy market ever.

Nasser stated that the market loses around 100 million barrels per week. He added that only two to five vessels cross the Strait each day, compared to 70 during normal times.

He said that even if the Strait reopened today, it would still take months to rebalance the market.

The disruption has slowed down tanker traffic, and energy prices have risen dramatically. This has stoked fears of inflation spiraling out of control?and a possible economic recession.

RED SEA

Aramco increased exports through the East-West Pipeline to the Red Sea Port of Yanbu in order to sustain 60-70%of the crude export volume. Nasser called the pipeline "a critical lifeline" on Sunday.

Nasser stated that the company is looking for ways to increase Yanbu's export capacity of 5 million barrels per day, which currently handles mainly Arab Light or some Arab Extra Light grades. He said heavier grades were curtailed.

He said Aramco exports almost 900,000.00 bpd via?separate Western Terminals for refined Products. This is done to maximise the exports and capture higher margins. Nasser stated that this could continue as long as the?Hormuz was blocked.

Nasser has confirmed that the SAMREF refinery, a joint venture with TotalEnergies, is fully operational. The SATORP joint venture is also partially operational and there are plans to restore it fully.

He said that the Ras Tanura refinery is now fully operational, although some units are currently undergoing a turnaround. Once this is completed, they should be back in operation.

Nasser forecasted a'very robust return of demand growth when normal shipping and commerce resume.

"I would not call it demand destruction. "I would call it demand-rationing,"? he said about the current market.

Nasser stated that if needed, Aramco could reach its maximum sustainable capacity of 12 million barrels per day of crude oil in less than 3 weeks.

Reports have stated that Saudi Arabia has cut its output by 2,000,000 bpd since Iran blocked Hormuz. This normally accounts for a fifth or more of the world's supply. Yousef SABA (Reporting; Editing by Bernadette B. Baum, Paul Simao, and Jason Neely).

(source: Reuters)