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Sources say Shell-led LNG Canada may approve the Phase 2 expansion as early as October.

Three people familiar with the situation said that partners in the Shell-led LNG Canada project could make a final decision about the expansion of Phase 2 as early as next month.

The expansion would add 14 million metric tonnes per annum of export capacity for liquefied gas to the Kitimat facility, British Columbia. This would effectively double the total project capacity, bringing it to 28 mtpa.

The expansion is proposed as LNG buyers in Asia are increasingly concerned about supply security due to the conflict in the Middle East, disruptions in Red Sea shipping and uncertainty regarding future flows through Strait of Hormuz.

New LNG projects are being pursued by countries that want to replace coal-burning power plants with natural gas.

LNG Canada is Canada's first LNG export terminal, and it's one of the largest private sector investments in Canada. It's a joint-venture led by Shell, and supported by Malaysian Petronas and Mitsubishi Corp.

The facility is strategically located on Canada's Pacific Coast. This allows it to have shorter shipping routes into key Asian markets, compared to US Gulf Coast exporters who must transit the Panama Canal.

"We are continuing to explore with our venture partners the pathways for a potential Phase 2 expansion." Shell said in a press release that any decision would be based on factors like affordability and competitiveness, as well as government support and stakeholder requirements.

The first phase of the project, which costs about C$40billion, is designed to create 14mtpa from two processing trains. The facility shipped its first cargo in the early part of this year, and is considered a cornerstone for?Canada's efforts to become a major LNG exporter.

LNG Canada also has the support of Indigenous communities from the region. MNT Investments LP (which represents a coalition of neighboring First Nations) signed an agreement earlier this year that gave the coalition the option of investing up to C$1billion in the Phase 2, one of the biggest Indigenous investment opportunities in Canadian energy infrastructure.

LNG Canada stated in a press release that "any potential final investment decision remains subject to LNG Canada Joint Venture Participants independently satisfying their commercial and fiscal requirements, as well as regulatory and governance requirements." We hope to make a decision on investment before the end the year.

(source: Reuters)