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INDIA RUPEE Rupee hits two week high as Fed's credibility worries compound dollar’s problems

The Indian rupee reached a new fortnightly high on Thursday. This was boosted by broader weakness in the US dollar, due to concerns about the future independence of U.S. Federal Reserve.

The rupee gained 0.4%, closing at 85.7050 U.S. dollars. This is in line with gains seen by its regional counterparts.

The dollar index dropped to its lowest level in March 2022, and last traded at 97.1. This is a 0.3% decline on the day.

The dollar's value had risen on the back of the demand for safe havens during the Iran-Israel conflict. However, the ceasefire in the region has decreased the geopolitical premium.

The prospect that President Donald Trump would appoint the next Federal Reserve chair early sparked concerns about the independence of the U.S. Central Bank.

In a recent note, MUFG Bank stated that a candidate perceived to be more willing to lower rates in accordance with President Trump's requests would strengthen the current trend of the U.S. Dollar's weakening. The dollar index has fallen over 10% this year.

The Taiwan dollar, which is the major Asian currency, led Thursday's gains with a 0.6% increase, while India’s benchmark equity indexes, the BSE Sensex, and the Nifty 50, topped regional stock gains.

A trader in a private bank reported that dollar sales by at least two major foreign banks likely made on behalf of clients who held the money, helped to boost the rupee.

The 1-year implied yield reached a peak of 2.02% in a month before reversing.

The Reserve Bank of India announced a plan to remove excess cash from banks, along with an increase in bets on the Fed's rate cut for July. This led traders to pay interest on premiums paid forward. (Reporting and editing by Vijay Kishore; Jaspreet Klra)

(source: Reuters)