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Denmark's growth forecast for 2025 is slashed due to the Novo Nordisk crisis

Denmark's Economy Ministry announced on Friday that it has reduced its economic growth forecast for 2025 to 1.4%, from 3%. The ministry cited weaker prospects of pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk, and tariffs placed on Danish exports to the U.S.

The ministry stated that the pharmaceutical industry faces increasing competition on the market for weight loss products. This has lowered growth expectations.

Novo Nordisk's spokesperson declined to make any comment.

The six-million-strong Nordic nation has benefited from Novo Nordisk's rapid expansion. It is the maker of Wegovy, a weight loss drug, and Ozempic, a diabetes treatment. The economic growth of Denmark was among the best in Europe last year. This growth was largely due to Novo Nordisk which contributed one-fifth to the employment growth in the country.

Denmark is also home to major companies such as shipping group Maersk and brewer Carlsberg. Toymaker Lego, wind turbine manufacturer Vestas and toymaker Lego are all located in Denmark. The country has a highly export-oriented, sensitive economy, but it is aided by a large surplus of savings and strong public finances.

Novo Nordisk has cut its sales and operating profit estimates for the full year again this month. The company, which makes the obesity drug Wegovy, is struggling to convince investors that it can compete with the U.S. competitor Eli Lilly in the obesity drug boom. The company that employs 34,000 people in Denmark is now facing layoffs, despite having nearly doubled their total workforce over the past five years.

According to the ministry, tariffs on goods exported to the United States, Denmark’s largest export market, will also slow down growth. The ministry said that exports to the United States have seen a significant drop in the first six months of this year after a surge in the final six months of 2024.

Exports will grow only 0.9% by 2025, compared to the 4.3% forecast in May.

The ministry has increased its forecast of GDP growth for 2026 from 1.4% to 2.1%, largely due to the expectation that private and public expenditure will increase. Reporting by Soren Jeppesen in Bengaluru, Jacob GronholtPedersen in Copenhagen, and Bipasha dey, with editing by Cynthia Osterman and William Maclean

(source: Reuters)