Latest News

Aluminium prices in the US reach record levels due to tariffs and low stock

Aluminum consumers in the United States pay record prices. These are significantly higher than the import levies, transport costs, and other factors would suggest. This is because tight supplies globally exacerbate the impact of the tariffs, and the low U.S. inventory.

Aluminium is needed by industries like automotive, aerospace and packaging. Aluminum prices can have a knock-on effect on the economy, as they increase manufacturing costs, squeeze margins, and eventually drive inflation. In June, President Donald Trump increased tariffs on U.S. aluminum imports from 25% to 50% to encourage local production. Aluminium?costs have increased by 40% for U.S. customers since then, to over $5,200 per metric ton. Aside from the disruption caused by U.S. Tariffs, aluminium traders have also been monitoring other supply shortages. Prices on the London Metal Exchange have risen by more than 20% in the last year, the highest level since April 2022. This was a few months after Russia invaded Ukraine. Consumers began to shun Russian aluminium.

US ALUMINIUM STOCKS SHRINK

On the physical market in the U.S., buyers typically pay a premium plus the LME aluminium price. This premium covers costs like freight, handling and insurance.

The tax component of premium increases as the LME price goes up, because the tariff is calculated in percentage. The duty on aluminium shipments into the United States will be $1.550 at $3,100 per ton. This is up from $1.300 in June.

The Midwest aluminium premium hit a record of 96c per lb, or $2,116 per ton this week, up by 65% since June.

The premium is much higher than the costs justify. The market expects the LME to continue trending higher, said Jorge Vazquez at Harbor Aluminium, who added that the premium for a pound should be around 86c.

Last year, exporters of aluminium from the United States diverted their aluminum to Europe because the premiums did not reflect the tariffs fully. Local stocks therefore shrank.

Vazquez, Gregory Wittbecker and Wittsend Commodity Advisors estimate that U.S. aluminum stocks have fallen below 300,000 tonnes from 750,000 at the start of 2025.

"Canadian suppliers halted discretionary shipments because they were losing cash, which resulted in a decline in U.S. Wittbecker stated. The price of the shortage in physical aluminum is rising, but I am unsure how much it can rise.

Trade Data Monitor reports that the United States will import nearly four million tonnes of aluminum in 2024, with Canada accounting 70% of those shipments. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Pratima Deai)

(source: Reuters)