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As Valentine's Day flowers arrive, the US trucking industry shows signs of a recovery.

David Armellini, owner of a Florida trucking firm, is paying an extra 20% for each additional driver he hires to transport fresh-cut Valentine's Day Flowers to wholesale florists and grocery distribution centers across the country.

If sellers pass on the increased cost, it could result in a slight increase in price for a bouquet at this weekend. Armellini believes that it could be an indication of the end of the U.S.'s longest and deepest trucking slump. Shippers across the United States are paying more to truck flowers, ?fresh ?produce, and other temperature-sensitive cargo, after deep cold this winter hiked demand for the temperature-controlled trucks called reefers needed to protect them from extreme temperatures. According to industry experts, job cuts caused by trucking company bankruptcy and increased immigration checkpoints has also led to a reduction in the number of drivers.

Where have all the trucks disappeared? "Where have all the trucks gone?"

Rates for Refrigerated Trucks JUMP

DAT data revealed that the average January spot rate for moving goods in a refrigerator trailer was $2.81 per miles, an increase of 10% from the previous year and the highest since December 2022 when the pandemic boom in trucking ended. Since April 2022, reefer contract rates were higher than spot rates, but they reached parity in the month of January, signaling a balance between supply and demand. Croke reported that the average increase in off-contract rates for routes departing from Miami, which is the main port of entry for Valentine's Day Flowers, was 40% last week. Around 90% of Valentine's Day Flowers sold in the U.S. are shipped from Ecuador and Colombia, to Miami International Airport. This typically generates around 4,500 chilled truckloads?in the weeks leading up until February 14.

Over the past three years, more trucks than there were loads to be carried, lowered rates and erased profits. Armellini said that the trend is changing.

"We are starting to see larger?shippers wanting to submit full-year offers, which is an indication that they have seen the market turn. They are locking in prices because they expect them to rise," said Armellini who relies primarily on contracts.

Some trucking executives and industry analysts say the strength of the'reefer market may only last a short time once the weather is back to normal. They also point out that the trucking industry as a whole still suffers from low demand by domestic manufacturers and builders.

Avery Vise is the vice president for trucking at FTR Transportation Intelligence.

DRIVER CRACKDOWN, BITTER COLD

The recent Arctic blast boosted the demand for reefers, as shippers of cosmetics, beverages and latex painted used them to shield their cargo from freezing. This left fewer trucks and driver to haul Valentine's Day Flowers.

The trucks are also known as refrigerated reefers, but they can keep the cargo warm even when temperatures outside plummet.

"The driver pool this year is more selective or picky than last," said Carlos Oramas CEO of Florida's Gems group, which grows flowers and imports them for the?U.S. Grocers Kroger, Wegmans and Walmart.

Oramas says that flower shippers are planning ahead to meet their special needs, and they have experienced marginal, but not disruptive, rate increases.

The cold weather has reduced the availability of drivers at a time that trucking companies are failing and there is a federal crackdown against immigrant driver.

FTR estimates that there are currently 3.5 million heavy-duty truckers in the U.S. This is down by 110,000 from the peak of the industry in early 2023.

Truck drivers are included in the Trump administration's crackdown on immigration, which includes efforts to enforce English language proficiency and commercial license?requirements.

Texas, Oklahoma Wyoming, and Florida are among the states that have the strictest enforcement.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection said it did not have any information on the number detained drivers. CBP is part of Homeland Security and does not share this information.

Some drivers are afraid to work

Some 'drivers' have been discouraged to work because their colleagues are swept away.

Attorneys advise drivers with valid work permit to limit their travel or to stay off the roads to avoid being detained,? said Mannirmal Kaur senior federal policy manager of the Sikh Coalition. The coalition estimates that there are approximately 150,000 Sikhs drivers in the U.S.

A California independent long-haul trucker who asked to remain anonymous for fear of repercussions said that increased enforcement has led him to stop driving outside his state.

"We can't go because we are afraid of ICE," he stated, referring specifically to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), which is overseen by the Department of Homeland Security.

Armellini, who is based in Florida, said that he supports efforts to remove unsafe or unqualified motorists from the road. He also believes he stands to gain from the crackdown on regulations. His company, which has about 150 trucks in the U.S. and operates all over the country, hasn't lost any drivers as a result of the crackdown.

He said that he received a number of calls from California shippers asking us to transport loads to Florida because many of their carriers would not go to Florida any longer.

(source: Reuters)