Latest News

Maguire: ROI-Charting of the impact of the Iran Crisis on Energy Markets.

Since the start of the U.S. - Iran war, the repercussions are felt around the globe. U.S. gasoline prices, European gas prices and Asian 'tanker freight' rates have all risen sharply.

The interconnectedness of global energy markets is illustrated by the transmission of market jitters via?the fuel, power and shipping sectors, despite recent efforts to increase energy security and domestic energy production.

Here is a list of the key markets that have been affected since the conflict began over the weekend.

SHIPPING OUT

After the bombings last weekend and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the global tanker fleet was one of the hardest-hit sectors.

A fifth of the world's oil, fuel, and LNG passes through this well-known maritime chokepoint. As a result, virtually all energy liquid carriers have been affected by the traffic disruptions, and the scramble that followed to reroute the shipments.

The cost of chartering an extremely large crude carrier (VLCC), which was around $120,000 per day last week, has risen to over $450,000 per day since the fighting began.

China is the world's biggest oil importer. Domestic crude oil prices are also surging this week. They have risen by 31% from last Friday, compared with 12% for Brent and U.S. Crude Oil Futures during the same time period.

The supply chain chaos has not only affected China.

The fuel tanker prices from Singapore to Japan, and the U.S. and Europe also increased this week due to the tightening of energy supplies globally and the panicked mindset of all oil and fuel purchasers.

GAS & FUELS

The price of natural gas in Europe has also risen sharply this week. This is because several European countries are still heavily dependent on gas to power their industries and for electricity, but have drained local gas stocks to levels not seen for many years.

The benchmark European gas prices surged after the news broke that Qatar had halted the loading of liquefied gas, following the attack on its main gas liquefaction plants by Iranian drones at the weekend.

Prices for European gas futures have increased by almost 70% since Friday. Even prices for December 2026 are up around 40% on the expectation of a continued tightening in global gas supply while Qatar remains off-line.

Brent crude oil futures have also surged higher in the past week. Prices for May futures, which are close by, rose by around 12% since Friday. Year-end prices were up by about 3%.

The fear that shipping routes from the Middle East may remain blocked for a long time has boosted sentiment on all major oil markets. This is especially true as storage tanks in the Middle East fill up quickly and producers are forced to cut production if they cannot resume exports within a short period of time.

U.S. futures gasoline prices have also followed the same trend, despite the fact that America is a major producer and exporter of crude oil.

Fuel distributors are responding to tighter oil supplies in the world and higher logistics costs by increasing prices.

U.S. president Trump announced steps to restore "ship traffic" in the Middle East to lower energy costs for U.S. customers. This included a proposal that the U.S. Navy would escort oil tankers through Strait of Hormuz.

Energy prices will likely continue to rise in the near future, despite the fact that the U.S. and Israel are still increasing their bombing campaigns and causing more damage to the energy and logistic channels throughout the Middle East.

This means that even more steep increases in the price of power, fuel, and freight could be seen in the weeks to come on all major energy markets.

These are the opinions of the columnist, an author for.

You like this column? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X and X.

Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets 7 days a weeks.

(source: Reuters)