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The yen is also rising in the morning bid for Europe

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets.

The summer is officially over. Buckle up!

Carry trades are starting to fail as the markets expect a path of rate increases from the Bank of Japan.

The?Japanese?currency?traded as much as 1 percent firmer at 152.89. This is its highest since February. Just weeks after it hit a four-decade low, the U.S. government and Japanese authorities intervened to stabilize the currency.

The yen was also boosted by data released on Wednesday showing that Japan's economy expanded faster than originally estimated from the previous quarter in the April-June period. These figures, along with the real wage growth numbers, confirmed expectations that the Bank?of?Japan would continue to hike interest rates from next week until well into next.

The currency gains weighed on the jittery stock markets. The Nikkei was up 0.3%, and MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan was 0.5% higher. This was led by the 2.3% increase in South Korea shares, which is a competitor with Japan for memory chip production. S&P 500 E-mini Futures were down 0.1%.

Investor confidence was boosted by a faster pace of Chinese exports in August compared to the previous month. Imports rose as well, although less than expected. On Tuesday, copper prices reached a new record high as fears of a shortage of supplies grew.

Early European trading saw pan-regional futures up 0.1%. German DAX Futures were also 0.1% higher. FTSE Futures were flat.

The Middle East is still ambiguous about the future of maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the assurances given by U.S. president Donald Trump in June.

Iran has threatened to wage "economic war" against the United States and fired a missile at U.S. ships, pushing Brent crude up 0.4%, or $97.49. This is the third day that Brent crude has been creeping towards the $100 per barrel mark, which the benchmark oil price has not reached since May.

Trump may have been better off referring to May 1, the day many countries outside the U.S. observe the labour movement. Remember to not wear white after Labor Day, in keeping with the frazzled spirit that pervades our times.

The following are key developments that may influence the markets on Tuesday.

Earnings of the company

Casey's General Stores and GameStop Corp

Economic Events

Germany: exports, imports and trade balance for July

France: current account and trade balance July

(source: Reuters)