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Japanese bonds rise after fiscal concerns push super-long yields up to records

After a volatile week in which fiscal and inflation fears drove super-long yields up to record levels, Japanese government bonds slightly recovered on Friday.

The yields on JGBs of 20-, 30-40-year terms have been increasing, fuelled by concern over the worsening fiscal situation in the country, while some political parties are advocating consumption tax reductions to counter rising prices.

Bond prices and yields are inversely related.

Data released on Friday shows that Japan's core inflation rate for consumers hit 3.5%, the highest annual pace it has seen in over two years. This puts pressure on Bank of Japan to keep raising interest rates.

The market's ability to absorb additional debt to finance the fiscal deficit of the government is diminishing.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Thursday that after the rise in yields for super-long bonds, the central bank would closely monitor the market's developments.

Mizuho analysts stated in a Friday research note that the risk of JGBs being 'indigestible" in the ultra-long-term zone still exists. "The incentive to decrease the issuance of super long bonds (thus shortening their duration) is fairly strong."

The yield on the 30-year JGB fell by 5 basis points, to 3.115%. This is a retreat from the record high of 3.185% reached on Wednesday. The yield on the 40-year JGB fell 7 basis points, to 3.6%. This is down from a record high of 3.675% reached on Thursday.

The benchmark 10-year rate fell by 1.5 basis points to 1.545%. The yields on the two and five-year bonds also fell.

Shinsuke Kajita, chief strategist at Resona Holdings, says that despite the recovery of JGBs, there are still concerns over demand for long-dated bonds.

He said, "We cannot rest easy as the auctions of 40-year bonds are scheduled to take place next week in Japan." (Reporting and editing by Mrigank Dahniwala, Sherry Jacob Phillips, and Rocky Swift)

(source: Reuters)