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Greek F-4 crashes during air show near Athens, two pilots dead, sources say
Two officials confirmed that a Greek two-seat F-4 Phantom fighter jet crashed on Saturday during an airshow at Tanagra Air base north of Athens killing both pilots. The two pilots were confirmed dead by an official, who added that the Phantom crashed two kilometers outside of the airport. There was no report of injuries amongst the residents or passersby. ERT, a public?broadcaster, broadcast footage of the F-4 making a right turn a couple meters above ground before it crashed into a fireball. Eleven helicopters and firefighting planes were working to contain the fire which spread into the nearby forest. "We were all stunned. An eyewitness reported to ERT that the plane hadn't been in flight?for a?more than?three minutes. Loudspeakers were installed at the air base to urge people to leave the area. The F-4 took part in the annual Athens Flying Week. This event attracts military and civilian aviation teams from around the world.
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Protesters in Dover, England disrupt cross-Channel travel
Police and port authorities reported that groups of masked men protesting on roads around Dover (the main hub for ferries to France) disrupted traffic on Saturday. Social media videos posted by users showed men wearing black and balaclavas, and wearing scarves and?scarves, blocking roads at the port. Kent Police confirmed that it was "aware" of a protest currently taking place in the Port Of Dover. In a short statement, the police said that officers were present and engaged with protesters. The police didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for more information and details about the protest. The Port of Dover said that there is a "continuing public order incident" around the town of Dover, affecting all routes into and out of the port. The statement read: "We are in touch with Kent Police to understand the situation." Ferry operator P&O Ferries confirmed that its sailings are proceeding as planned. If you miss your booked departure today, we'll get you on the next available," said X.
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US Judge again blocks Postal Service’s mail-in vote restrictions
Federal Judge extended the ban on President Donald Trump’s administration from implementing new U.S. Postal Service rule that would increase the number of mail-in votes required ahead of November's congressional elections. Boston-based ?U.S. District Judge Indira Telwani issued this injunction on behalf of Democratic-led state and voting rights organizations, after one State sent out mail ballots to the elections last Friday. Talwani wrote only Congress' laws can override state authority in elections. She added that "the executive does not have inherent authority" to change voting rules. Talwani wrote that Congress never delegated voting authority to the Postal Service. The new rule of the agency "is in conflict with Congress's statute scheme and is unconstitutional." Talwani wrote that the immediate deadlines required by the Postal Service rule would cause "chaos" among groups who provide information on how to vote. The League of Women Voters, for example, "does not know whether or not to advise its members to vote via mail, despite their legal entitlement," Talwani's ruling states. The administration filed an appeal notice quickly. USPS refused to comment on this ruling but U.S. postmaster general David Steiner defended their handling of the matter. Steiner stated on Friday that "we have always acted within our legal authority" to issue a regulation to achieve these policies. However, the courts will ultimately decide this question and we will follow their determination. The White House didn't immediately respond to our request for comment. RULE ON POSTAL SERVICES FOLLOWS TRUMP'S ORDER According to the rule, the USPS must receive lists of recipients for mail ballots from the states. All outgoing and return?ballot envelops must have unique barcodes. Under the rule, the USPS may refuse to deliver any ballots that are not compliant with the new standards, or those associated with voters not appearing on the list. Talwani is an Obama appointee who issued a temporary injunction last week to stop the USPS from enforcing its rule. She was deciding whether or not to issue a more permanent injunction. The administration asked the U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday to intervene and lift a temporary order, so that the rule can take effect. Last week, the court's conservative majority of 6-3 lifted an order Talwani had issued that prevented USPS from imposing restrictions. USPS released its rule in March to implement the executive order that Trump signed after years of calling for restrictions on voting by mail. All 50 states permit some form of mail in voting. 29 states allow voters to request to vote by mail, without providing any reason. Eight other states conduct their entire election by mail. North Carolina became the first state to mail ballots in the November elections on Friday. If the rule is allowed to go into effect, it could force state officials to make changes to their systems in just a few weeks, to conform to a system critics say USPS has not yet implemented. Talwani stated that it is "implausible", that states will be able comply with this rule in time for the upcoming elections of this year, since it would require 10,000 jurisdictions redesigning their ballots, printing them, and submitting voter information to an online portal run by USPS that doesn't yet exist. The court concluded that the disenfranchisement of Plaintiff Organizations members, regardless their residence, was inevitable. The administration asked a federal court of appeals to overturn Talwani’s original restraining orders. The 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Boston had not yet acted on this request. Circuit Court of Appeals hadn't acted on this request before the Judge issued her latest ruling.
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US Judge again blocks Postal Service’s mail-in vote restrictions
On Friday, a federal judge in Boston extended a ban that prevented President Donald Trump from implementing any new?U.S. Postal Service rule would increase the number of mail-in votes required ahead of November's congressional elections. The Boston-based U.S. district judge Indira Talwani issued an injunction on behalf of Democratic-led States and voting rights groups, after the country's first state sent out its mail ballots?for the elections?on Friday. Talwani is an Obama appointee who issued a temporary injunction last week to stop the USPS from enforcing its rule. She was deciding whether or not to issue a more permanent injunction. On Thursday, the administration had asked the U.S. Supreme Court for intervention and to lift the restraining orders so that the rule could go into effect. Last week, the court's conservative majority of 6-3 lifted an order Talwani had issued that prevented USPS from imposing restrictions. USPS released its?rule in order to implement the executive order Trump signed back in March. This was after the Republican President had called for years to restrict voting via mail, and pushed the?false claims that the defeat of his 2020 presidential election to Democrat Joe Biden resulted from widespread voter fraud. All outgoing and return ballot envelopes are required to have unique barcodes. USPS may refuse to deliver any ballots that are not compliant with the new standards or those associated with voters not listed on the list. Talwani was temporarily blocked by voting rights advocates, and several Democratic-led States, last week. They argued that the rule could disenfranchise voters, and violated the U.S. Constitution which grants states the power to administer elections. The lawyers of the U.S. Department of Justice countered by stating that USPS has the authority to implement "modest" requirements for envelope design. The state election officials said that if the rule was implemented, they would still have full control over who can vote by mail. All 50 states permit some form of mail in voting. In 29 of those states, voters can?ask for a mail-in ballot without providing any reason. Eight other states conduct their entire elections by mail. North Carolina became the first state on Friday to mail ballots in the November elections. If the rule is allowed to take effect, it could force state officials to restructure their systems in just a few weeks before elections to comply with a system that critics claim USPS isn't ready to implement. Many state election offices have already printed their envelopes and votes. In a court document filed on Thursday, September 3, a USPS official stated that the 'online portal states would use to upload voter lists is not yet active. The official said that states could use the portal at some point in the week of Sept. 7. The U.S. released a whistleblower's statement on Tuesday from an anonymous federal employee. Senator Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut, a Democrat, alleged on Tuesday that USPS was rushing into implementing a 'new system created hastily that risks disrupting the delivery during the election of mail ballots. The administration asked a federal court of appeals to overturn Talwani’s first restraining orders. The 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Boston had not yet acted on this request. Circuit Court of Appeals hadn't acted on this request before the Judge issued her latest ruling.
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Panama Canal defers Neopanamax draft reduction
The Panama Canal Authority on Friday postponed further a planned reduction in the maximum draft allowed for its Neopanamax locks to '14.48 meters (47.5 feet), which was scheduled to go into effect on October 1. This decision was made due higher than expected water levels at Gatun Lake, and favorable weather forecasts. A ship's draft is the minimum depth of water it needs to be able to float. If the limit is lower, the vessel may need to carry less cargo to get through the canal. In the Neopanamax lock, a maximum draft of 48 ft (14.63 meters) will continue to be allowed. The authority didn't give a new deadline for the potential reduction, but said that it would make any future adjustments to draft?in due time. The authority delayed the move from 14.48 meters up to 14.63 meters for the Neopanamax locks until October 1. The move was accompanied by a reduction in daily transits to prepare for an El Nino-like season that is expected to lower water levels. This reverses a previous promise not limit vessel passage.
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US Senate Democrats ask Postal Service to stop work on new mail-in voting regulations
The?U.S. Postal Service was urged by lawmakers to halt the work on new mail-in voting rules. Postal Service ordered the halt to "work" on new rules for mail-in voting, Friday. In a letter to the USPS, Senator Gary Peters from Michigan and six other Democrats on the Senate's Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee wrote: "The Postal Service’s continued illegal efforts to transform itself into an electoral administration agency under the direction of President Trump risk disenfranchising American voters and threatening the integrity of the upcoming elections." On Thursday night, the Trump administration requested that the Supreme Court allow it to enforce a new USPS rule restricting the use mail-in votes. USPS didn't immediately comment. The Democratic Senators -- Peters, Richard Blumenthal, Maggie Hassan, Andy Kim, Elissa, Slotkin, and John Fetterman, all of Pennsylvania, and Ruben, Gallego, of Arizona -- warned that the "verification" system planned by USPS "could collapse the absentee voting system, and disenfranchise millions of Americans." U.S. district judge Indira Talwani issued an order temporarily prohibiting the USPS to enforce the new rule. The USPS adopted the new rule following an executive directive by the Republican President restricting mail-in votes. USPS regulations would require new standards for voter data and ballot envelopes, and could refuse delivery of any ballots that did not meet these requirements. Critics say this could lead to thousands of votes being invalidated as the election date of November 3 draws near. Republicans are in a fierce battle to "retain" control of Congress during the elections. Critics claim that restricting mail in ballots would benefit Republicans more than Democrats, since Democratic voters are traditionally more likely to mail in ballots. The new USPS rule requires that states provide the postal service with lists of voters who will be receiving mail ballots. They must also use envelopes for outgoing and return mail ballots which are approved by the agency, and have barcodes. Postal?services could refuse to send ballots that don't comply with new standards, or are associated with voters not listed on the list. Trump has cast doubts on the security of mail-in votes for years, even though evidence of voter fraud in rare. Trump has falsely claimed that widespread fraud is occurring in U.S. election, including his loss to Joe Biden as former Democratic president in 2020.
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Norway will help Russians stuck in Arctic after ship seize, says government
Norway's foreign ministry said on Friday that it would provide the necessary assistance to Russians in the Arctic Svalbard Islands following the arrest of a ship carrying passengers and supplies to the archipelago. The Norwegian court ordered this week the seizure of the Professor Molchanov Cruise Ship in Svalbard on behalf of an Ukrainian company involved in legal disputes, leaving its passengers and crew stranded and leading Moscow accuse Norway "piracy". Norway's Foreign Ministry said that they were complying with their international obligations by protecting Russian citizens in Svalbard. Statistics Norway reports that the town of Barentsburg is where the ship is docked. It is one of two Russian settlements in Svalbard, with a total of 392 residents. The ministry said that Russian companies receive regular'sanctions relief' to allow them to import food and other essential goods to the islands. According to Cruisemapper's website, the 71-metre-long Professor Molchanov has 32 crew members and 52 passengers. It also features a bar, a sauna, a library and two restaurants. The vessel is used both for commercial cruises and scientific expeditions. The seizure of the assets was ordered by a court on behalf Naftogaz - a Ukrainian energy company - which is seeking to enforce a compensation award of $4.22 billion for 'assets Moscow took in 2014 when it annexed Crimea. Russia plans to appeal this ruling.
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What is Ukraine's SBU Security Agency?
On Friday, Russia launched a drone at the Security Service of Ukraine's (SBU) headquarters in central Kyiv. Ukrainian authorities called it the latest in a series of war escalations. The following are key facts about the organization. What is the?SBU? SBU is an enigmatic and powerful organisation which emerged from the Ukrainian branch KGB of Soviet times when Ukraine became independent in 1991. The SBU has broad powers over matters of domestic security. It has been involved in combat since the Russian invasion of 2022, and it is now investigating war crimes, countering a cyberattack, conducting counterintelligence, and catching Russian agents. Alpha special forces have also conducted drone attacks against Russian military hardware in the field as well as on oil refineries and other military installations deep within Russia. They've also used sea drones against tankers transporting Russian oil. Authors of 'Operation Spiderweb' It has claimed to have carried out some spectacular wartime operations against Russia. For example, it used a truck bomb to attack Russia's bridge into the occupied Ukrainian peninsula Crimea in 2022. Last year, the organization masterminded a sophisticated '2025 drone strike, codenamed Spiderweb. It targeted a number of Russian strategic air-bombers deep within Russia. It is widely regarded as being a key player in the covert campaign to assassinate senior Russian military figures and others who are blamed by Ukraine as having committed war crimes. Russia has called these killings terrorist attacks. Who is in charge of the?SBU? According to President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the agency is headed by Oleksandr Pklad. His office was the target of the drone which hit the SBU headquarters in Kyiv last Friday. Poklad was not hurt, according to the agency. He was appointed in July. How big is the SBU? During the war, the SBU grew in size. The SBU's size is secret, but the maximum number of employees it can have in wartime is 41,000. The figure is probably in the same ballpark. Last year, the legislative cap was raised from its previous threshold of 31,000 personnel during wartime. BITTER RIVALRY WITH MILITARY INTELLIGENCE The 'SBU' has had a long-standing rivalry with Ukraine's military spy agency, the Main Intelligence Directorate. This week, a dispute between the two organisations escalated into a shooting in Kyiv that left several military intelligence officers injured. Zelenskiy ordered an investigation to determine what happened.
The Hormuz gas shock did not break Europe's market. Martin Vladimirov, Borbala Toth and the time might
The?market for natural gas in Europe has, at least thus far, passed the Hormuz test. The U.S. and Iran peace agreement suggests that the worst shock is over, even though flows may only recover gradually. This should calm supply concerns and focus attention on the pressures that will shape the market over the next few decades.
As a result of the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, the Strait of Hormuz was closed to nearly all trade in liquefied gas. This pushed gas prices in Asia and Europe sharply higher.
Although the Strait of Hormuz is expected to be reopened under 'the deal,' tanker operators warn that transit could take several weeks, and LNG producer QatarEnergy reported that Iranian attacks had wiped out up to 17% its capacity over a period of five years.
Since the beginning of the conflict, on February 28, the average European price per megawatt-hour (MWh) has risen by approximately 10 euros or 31%. The gas bill of the 27 countries in the European Union has risen by 48% during this crisis.
The shock of the gas crisis has not shaken Europe's market. The European gas market was able to plug the hole created by Hormuz with abundant U.S. supplies and higher volumes from Algeria and Nigeria.
The system is not fragmented in to competing zones. No major infrastructure bottlenecks occurred, and the price increases were roughly equal in all member states. Pipelines, terminals for LNG and interconnectors have helped maintain market stability under extreme stress. It does not mean that the shock was without pain, of course. According to preliminary LSEG figures, Russian LNG imports increased by roughly 17% between January and May, even though Europe is seeking to cut energy ties with Moscow because of its invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
Overall, Europe's system of gas supply proved resilient, even when compared to the magnitude of the shock. It also appears capable of taking on more. We simulated a shock that was more severe, combining an Hormuz style disruption with a complete ban on Russian gas.
This scenario would see European gas prices rise only by 0.4-0.8 euro per MWh for Western Europe, and 1.1-1.4% in Central and Eastern Europe. That's about 7% more than the increase since Hormuz ended.
The modest increase is due to Europe's ability, through new LNG regasification facilities in the Baltic Sea, Adriatic Sea and Aegean seas, to replace most Russian volumes. The CEE region's expanded interconnector infrastructure and some reductions in demand helped to limit supply bottlenecks.
It seems that the fears of future supply shortages on the continent, especially among those who oppose the complete phaseout Russian gas, may be exaggerated. Demand is the greater risk, with a much bleaker outlook.
Demand destruction is expected to occur in Europe over the next few decades.
This is the conclusion of the 'joint modeling assessment' recently completed by the Center for the Study of Democracy and the Regional Centre for Energy Policy Research. The EU's energy outlook for 2040 was assessed under three scenarios - current trends, rapid carbonisation and greater reliance upon gas as a transition fuel.
Unsurprisingly, the slope of the curve is dependent on global gas prices.
We expect European wholesale prices to average around 25 euros per megawatt-hour (MWh) - approximately 50% lower than the Iran shock levels. This is supported by an abundant global LNG supply. Gas-fired power plants would still be competitive at those prices. Coal would be phased-out faster and industrial users would continue to use gas as they waited for low-carbon alternatives.
We estimate that the total EU gas consumption will still drop by 30% between 2030 and 2040 to 2,700 Terawatt-hours per year. This is due to efficiency gains in residential sectors, as well as rapid electrification of industrial segments, where electricity would likely replace natural gas for heating.
If current trends are maintained, the average European gas price would be closer to 35 Euros. Gas will likely continue to?play a significant role in the balancing of power markets.
Its economics will likely become less attractive for buildings and industries, where the higher prices would increase incentives to electrify. The annual gas consumption will fall to 2,300 TWh.
In the scenario of accelerated decarbonisation, tighter global LNG markets coupled with geopolitical disruptions will push gas prices to 65 euros. Gas consumption is expected to fall rapidly in almost all sectors at these levels and reach around 1,700 TWh, roughly half of the demand level predicted by the most optimistic scenario.
In such an environment, it is likely that power systems would rely more on renewables, new nuclear plants, and batteries, while electric heating in buildings will become the norm. The European industry will also be under increasing pressure to reduce consumption, electrify wherever possible, and improve efficiency.
CONCENTRATED SUPPLY
Europe's options on the supply side may be limited in time. Qatar, the second largest LNG exporter in the world, is likely to direct a greater share of its LNG sales towards Asian buyers due to the rapidly rising energy demands of the region.
In all of our scenarios, U.S. LNG will dominate the European LNG market. U.S. volumes currently account for around 60% of all European LNG imports. We expect this share to reach 80% in 2030 if Europe completely phases out Russian gas.
Our high-price scenario seems more realistic as a result of this dependency, along with the increased risk from a fragmented market.
These are just scenarios based on assumptions which may or may not come true.
These findings, however, challenge a widely held assumption in Europe's debate on energy: that gas could be used as a cheap transitional fuel over decades. LNG prices may remain high due to global competition and geopolitical disruptions. This could accelerate Europe's move away from gas, regardless of its policy goals.
The gas story in Europe may be defined by gradual erosion, rather than a sudden collapse.
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(source: Reuters)