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Maersk will return to Red Sea route once conditions permit, CEO says
Vincent Clerc, CEO of Maersk Shipping Company, said that the company will resume its navigation through the Suez Canal and Red Sea as soon as the conditions permit. Maersk began diverting ships away from the Gulf of Aden, Red Sea and towards the southern tip of Africa after a Yemeni Houthi militant attack on one of their ships. The Houthi militants attacked the ship in solidarity with Palestinians living in Gaza. Clerc said that the company was encouraged by the progress of the Gaza peace process, which will allow for the freedom of navigation of the Bab al-Mandab Strait, linking the Gulf of Aden to the Red Sea. This was revealed in a press conference held in Egypt with the Chairman of the Suez Canal Authority, Osama Rahbie. Clerc stated that Maersk would take action to resume the East West Corridor via the Suez Canal, the Red Sea and eventually normalise the transit. Clerc said that Maersk would resume navigation via the Red Sea as soon as the conditions permit, and with safety of the crew as the top priority. The Suez Canal Authority signed a strategic agreement with Maersk during a press conference.
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Sources: Russia is weighing up how to support Russian Railways, which has a debt of $51 billion.
Two people familiar with the situation said that the Russian government is looking at different options to support Russian Railways. The company, the largest employer in the country, has accumulated a debt of 4 trillion roubles ($50.8 billion). The state-owned Russian Railways employs 700,000 workers and has seen its revenues fall amid the sharp slowdown of Russia's wartime economy. Meanwhile, debt costs are on the rise, driven by interest rates that have reached their highest levels in 20 years. Two people, who requested anonymity because the subject was sensitive, said that Moscow had been discussing ways to help the railways pay off its debt, which is mainly owed to banks of state. Sources said that these include increasing the price of cargo, increasing subsidies, reducing taxes, or even using money from the National Wealth Fund. One source said that Russian officials met in late November to discuss the current situation and will meet again in December. Requests for comments were not responded to by Russian Railways, Russian Government or the Transport Ministry. There are some ideas that haven't been discussed yet at the level of government, such as capping interest rates for Russian Railways to 9% and converting debts into stakes. This would give state banks a piece of the company. According to one source, a proposal would be to convert 400 billion Russian roubles in debt of Russian Railways into shares. Sources portrayed the measures as a "save" Russian Railways. Russian Railways operates the third longest railway network in the world after the United States of America and China. According to international standards, Russian Railways has reported revenues for 2024 of 3.3 trillion Russian roubles. Its expenditures are 2.8 trillion Russian roubles. The company's financial statement for 2025 first half reported a net debt of 3.3 billion roubles at June 30. This included 1.8 trillion of short-term loans. The debt grew by 0.7 trillion rubles in only half a calendar year. Russian Railways has been a leading indicator of the health of the Russian economy for many years. It transports oil, passengers and cargoes from the Pacific Ocean to the Black Sea and Baltic Sea. The state-dominated war-economy is a major challenge. Its struggles are a reflection of the challenges faced by too-big to fail companies that have debts with state-owned institutions. This leaves the state responsible for the debts at a time when Russia spends record amounts on its military, as the conflict in Ukraine enters its fourth year. RUSSIA SLOWS In the first two years of Vladimir Putin's presidency, from 2000 to 2008. Russia's GDP grew from $200 billion to $1.7 trillion. Currently, Russia's nominal GDP of $2.2 trillion, is about the same as it was in 2013, just before Russia annexed Crimea, and the economy will slow down sharply this coming year. The International Monetary Fund, however, has reduced its forecast for 2025 to 0.6% from 0.9%. The West claims it wants to cripple Russia’s economy in order to force the Kremlin into changing its course on Ukraine. However, Putin has stated that Russia will not bow to foreign pressure. Russian officials also claim the economy is secondary compared to the goals of the war. Putin claims that the economy performed better than anyone could have expected, despite the thousands of Western sanctions. He also says that it has remained debt-free unlike many Western countries. Despite this, he has acknowledged that there are some issues with investments and the pain caused by high interest rates. Sberbank's senior executive, who is the country's biggest lender, said that Russia's economy has been "continued cooling". Growth will be around 1% in next year, and business activity will remain weak for at least four or five quarters. $1 = 78.7500 Rubels (Additional reporting by Darya Korsunskaya and in Moscow; editing by Guy Faulconbridge, Tomaszjanowski).
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NATO scrambles jets following the deepest drone penetration yet into Romania
On Tuesday, Romanian and German NATO jet fighters scrambled near Romania's Ukraine border to respond to an incursion by a drone that penetrated further than ever before into Romanian airspace in what Bucharest referred to as a Russian provocation. Ionut Mosteanu, the Defence Minister, said that NATO pilots were close to shooting down the drone, which repeatedly violated the airspace of the member state, but held back out of concern for causing damage on ground. Later, drone fragments with no explosive charges were found on Romanian soil. Mosteanu stated that "we are dealing with a Russian provocation, a drone that the Romanian Army and German Eurofighters tried to shoot down." "My assumption would be that the pilots... analyzed the collateral damage potential and chose to not engage." Overnight, Russian drones struck Ukrainian ports near the border of Romania across the Danube River. The breach that Romania reported on Tuesday was the 13th violation of its airspace since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. It was not only the largest breach, but also the first one to occur during daylight rather than night. A DRONE TRACED more than 100 km INLAND The Romanian Defence Ministry said that it scrambled initially two Eurofighters, from a German air-policing operation in Romania. These aircraft tracked a drone before it returned to Ukraine in the county of Tulcea in Romania's south-east. Later, the army scrambled 2 Romanian F-16 fighters after radar revealed a second breach of airspace in the neighboring county Galati. Mosteanu reported that two more Eurofighters were sent after. The ministry stated that the planes were able to track the drone as it moved towards the county Vrancea. This county is located more than 100 kilometers inland and does not share any border with Ukraine. Residents in all three counties received a warning to seek cover. The warning was lifted later. Romania and Ukraine share a border of 650 km (400 miles). General Christopher Donahue of the U.S. Army Europe & Africa said that a new capability to shoot down drones would be deployed in Romania. "We have tested it and are in the final stages before it's used." This capability has been taught to Romanian soldiers as well as other soldiers in the alliance. I'm sure you will see it very soon on the Danube Delta. Romania has a law that allows it to shoot drones down in peacetime when lives or property is at risk. However, it hasn't fully used it. In recent months, tensions along Europe's east flank have risen after Russian drones allegedly breached NATO airspace. The latest breach occurs as U.S. officials and Ukrainian officials are holding intense talks to narrow their differences over a plan for ending the war. They have already agreed to modify an American proposal, which Kyiv and European allies viewed as a Kremlin list. (Reporting and editing by Andrew Heavens, Peter Graff and Luiza Hovet)
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CPC claims it temporarily stopped oil loadings out of Russia's Novorossiysk after a drone attack
The Caspian Pipeline Consortium said that it has temporarily halted oil loadings on its Russian Black Sea Terminal near Novorossiysk because of an overnight Ukrainian drone strike which damaged the office. It didn't provide any further details and referred to its previous statements regarding its operations, which are usually resumed once the air raid warnings have been cancelled. CPC's business operations were largely unaffected, according to a source in the industry. CPC is Kazakhstan's main export route to the global market, with the majority of volumes going to Europe and Asia. Russia contributes smaller volumes to CPC. CPC is owned by Chevron, Exxon Mobil and other major U.S. oil companies. CPC Blend oil Exports Sources claim that the November revision was to reduce production to 1.45 million barrels a day (bpd), down from 1.55 million. Officials in Russia's southern Krasnodar Region said on Telegram earlier that five residential high-rise buildings and two private residences had been damaged in the Ukrainian attack. The emergency services are bringing the fires under control. They say that falling drone debris has caused two fires. Four people have been reported as injured. In Krasnodar - the administrative hub of the region - it was also reported that drone fragments had damaged windows and destroyed buildings. A person was reported injured in a village located south of Novorossiysk. (Reporting from the bureau in Moscow, with additional reporting by Ron Bousso and Andrew Osborn in London)
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Heathrow Airport expansion plan of $64 billion chosen by UK
The government announced on Tuesday that it had chosen Heathrow Airport Limited’s plan of 49 billion pounds ($64 billion) to expand the country's largest hub over a more affordable option. After the government announced in January that it wanted to build a new Heathrow runway, they hoped the massive infrastructure project would help drive economic development. This decision ends decades of uncertainty over the future of the airport. Heathrow Airport was comparing its own plan with an alternative proposed by Arora Group. The group owns hotels and land around the airport and had estimated that it would cost 21 billion pounds, but did not include development costs. Heathrow was a "most viable option", according to the government, and it is most likely that the plan will be granted planning permission or development consent by 2029 - the end of this parliament. Heathrow Airport is owned by Ardian France, Qatar Investment Authority, and Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia. The airport estimates a 49 billion pound bill to build a new runway and relocate a section of London’s M25 orbital autobahn. Heathrow Airport, located west of London is Europe's busiest and most crowded airport. It operates at maximum capacity. Heathrow's two runways are comparable to those of Charles de Gaulle Airport in Paris, Frankfurt Airport and Schiphol Airport in Amsterdam. ($1 = 0.7620 pounds) (Reporting and editing by Andy Bruce, James Davey, and Sarah Young)
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French Development Agency lends 300 million euros to South Africa's Transnet
The French development agency has agreed that the state-owned South African logistics group Transnet will receive a loan of 300 million euros ($345.78 millions) for clean energy initiatives. Transnet is responsible for managing the rail freight network, ports and pipelines of Africa's largest economy. After years of underperformance, the South African government has been trying to revive the company. This has stifled commodity exports such as iron ore and coal. However, turnaround efforts are just beginning to bear fruit. Transnet and AFD announced in a Tuesday joint statement that loan disbursements will be linked to progress made on sustainability goals, such as Transnet's increased use of renewable energies. The statement stated that the financing would also encourage a shift away from road transport and towards rail. This includes the rehabilitation of 550 kilometers of railway as well as the modernisation port infrastructure.
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Russia urges LNG cooperation with China as it sees potential for boosting oil exports to China
Alexander Novak, deputy prime minister of Russia in Beijing on Tuesday, said that Russia is looking to increase oil exports to China as well as to enhance cooperation with regards to the supply of liquefied gas. Since the beginning of Russia's military operation in Ukraine, in February 2022, China and India are the two largest buyers of Russian crude oil. China imports approximately 1.4 million barrels per day of Russian crude oil via sea, and about 900,000. bpd by pipeline. The United States introduced sanctions last month against Russia's largest oil producers Rosneft, and Lukoil. Russian President Vladimir Putin denounced the sanctions, calling them unfriendly and saying that they wouldn't have a significant impact on the Russian economy. He also emphasized the importance of Russia to the global marketplace. Russia's crude oil exports to China and India have remained relatively stable despite conflicting reports. Novak said at a SinoRussian Business Forum in Beijing that Russia and Chinese partners have been discussing the possibility of increasing oil exports to China. He said, "We see the prospects of increasing oil supply via pipeline routes and sea." He said that the intergovernmental agreements allow for the extension of the terms for oil supply to China via Kazakhstan for a period of 10 years, until 2033. He later met Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexian, Russian government said. "Russia is a trustworthy supplier of oil to China." "We will continue actively working on expanding energy as a major area of partnership between China and Russia," Novak said at the meeting. Russia and China have also actively cooperated in the production and export of seaborne liquefied gas. Silk Fund, a subsidiary of China's state-owned energy giant CNPC, owns 9.9% of the Novetek project. U.S. sanctions against Ukraine have slowed down the export of LNG from Russia, particularly the new Arctic LNG 2 facility, and have also significantly reduced the use by the tanker fleet to transport fuel. Receive a 10% discount It received its first LNG cargo, from the sanctioned Russian Project at the end August. This was just days before a summit between President Xi Jinping and Russian President Putin. Novak said at the forum that it was crucial to continue creating conditions for joint projects through joint efforts in the face of external challenges. Mark Heinrich/Guy Faulconbridge edited the article.
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The Gulf markets are mixed in their reactions to the US rate cuts
The major Gulf stock markets were mixed early on Tuesday, after the Federal Reserve's dovish remarks revived hopes of a U.S. interest rate cut in December. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated on Monday that the labor markets have softened enough to justify a rate cut of 25 basis points at the December meeting. However, any further easing depends on the release of economic data which was delayed due to the government shutdown. His comments follow New York Fed president John Williams' Friday comment that interest rates will likely decline "in a near-term." According to the CME FedWatch tool, investors now price in an 81% probability of a rate reduction in December. This is up from 40% last Monday. The U.S.'s monetary policy changes have an important impact on Gulf markets where the majority of currencies are pegged with the dollar. Dubai's main stock index increased 0.4%. Toll operator Salik Company gained 1.7%, while blue-chip developer Emaar Properties rose 1.1%. Dubai has approved a budget for 2026-2028 with 302.7 billion dirhams in expenditures, and 329.2 milliards dirhams in revenues. The state news agency announced this on Sunday. In Abu Dhabi the index rose by 0.2%. Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index fell 0.2% due to a drop of 1.2% in the oil giant Saudi Aramco, and a decline of 3.2% in Saudi Tadawul Group. Bloomberg News reports that Saudi Aramco has been exploring ways to raise billions of dollars by selling various assets. The oil prices, which are a major catalyst for Gulf financial markets, eased Tuesday due to concerns that the supply of oil will be greater than the demand in the coming year. This is more important than worries that Russian shipments would remain under sanctions because the talks to end Ukraine's war have not been conclusive. Qatar Islamic Bank also lost 0.7%.
Maguire: UK's final coal plant shut down bodes well for US Liquefied Natural Gas exports
The United States exporters who are involved in the liquefied gas industry (LNG) will likely be pleased with the closure of the United Kingdom's last coal-fired plant, since this move secures the long-term demand for gas by the world’s sixth largest economy.
The UK has made significant progress in achieving its energy transition and pollution targets by closing the coal-fired plant of 2,000 megawatts (MW) in Nottinghamshire.
The UK will need to increase gas imports in the future, even though power companies continue to deploy renewables and other forms clean power output.
It's great news for LNG exporters from the U.S. They are the largest suppliers in the world of super-chilled fuel, and they are aiming to grow into European markets that are more accessible and less expensive than distant Asian buyers.
GAS DEFICIT
According to the 2024 Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy, UK gas consumption is higher than domestic gas production.
The UK will have a gas shortage of just over 29 billion cubic metres in 2023. This is the same as the gas production of Kazakhstan which was the world's 24th largest producer last year.
According to UK government statistics, Norway has historically provided a majority (41%) of UK gas imports via pipeline.
Over the last decade, however, a combination of pipeline capacity limitations and a desire to improve UK energy safety has led to a steady increase in UK LNG imports.
Importing LNG allows power firms to store more gas in the UK and act as a hedge for price and supply volatility caused by a heavy reliance on a small number of pipeline suppliers.
According to the Energy Institute, UK LNG imports will increase by 171% between 2018 and 2023 from 7.2 billion cubic metres (BCM) up to 19.4 BCM.
This growth was greater than that of Europe overall over this period. In volume terms, the United Kingdom ranked second only behind France as an LNG importer in Europe between 2018 and 2023.
US BOOM
The surge in UK LNG demand coincided with the efforts of U.S. exporters to expand their LNG sales outside Asia.
In the period 2008-2018, around 64% (or 63%) of U.S. exports of LNG was shipped to Asian countries such as Japan and China.
These countries are regarded as long-term markets for growth in natural gas and are therefore natural targets for all LNG suppliers.
Due to the longer travel times, U.S. sellers have a serious competitive disadvantage when it comes to serving Asian markets compared to Australia or Qatar.
According to LSEG, a trip from the U.S. East Coast down to Southern China can take up to 35 days.
This is almost four times as long as the route from Australia, and two times longer from Qatar. The U.S. vessels will be stranded on these routes for much longer than their competitors.
On European routes, the freight economics has flipped.
The journey time from Cove Point, on the U.S. East Coast, to Grain LNG's import terminal in the U.K. is approximately 11 days.
This is compared to the nearly 20-day delivery time from Qatar, and the 30-day delivery time from Australia. U.S. LNG ships can therefore offer more rapid schedules for deliveries and lower freight rates than their competitors.
In 2022 and 2023, when Europe's energy markets were booming after Russia's invasion in Ukraine, many buyers were willing to pay top dollar to ensure regular and fast LNG deliveries to avoid power outages.
CAPTIVE
U.S. Exporters have taken full advantage of the surge in European LNG demand in 2022-2023. They more than doubled shipments in 2022, reaching a record-breaking 52.5 million metric tonnes, and increased sales by an additional 8 percent in 2023.
Kpler data show that the pace of sales into Europe in 2024 has decreased by 22%. This is a blow for the short-haul routes from the U.S.
The sales to the United Kingdom have fallen by approximately 60% this year, the lowest level since 2021.
The U.S. LNG industry is fortunate that a 43% increase in LNG imports out of Asia has compensated for the volume lost to Europe and has driven overall LNG exports up to a record high this year.
The increased shipments to Asia are accompanied by longer journeys and longer turnarounds before ships can be reloaded.
The U.S. exporters of LNG will now be looking forward to a recovery in UK LNG demand. This could help avoid any power supply problems following the closure of the coal plant, and also fuel new growth in one the most lucrative U.S. trade routes for LNG.
(source: Reuters)