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Finland suspects four persons in breach of subsea cables
The Finnish police, who are investigating the damage done to two subsea cables in the Baltic Sea last year, said that four people were suspected of a crime. Prosecutors will decide whether or not charges should be brought. Finland has seized a cargo ship, Fitburg, on December 31, 'while it was en route to Israel from Russia. They suspected that the cables from Helsinki to Estonia across the Gulf of Finland had been damaged. This is one of many incidents of this nature in recent years. The police?on Saturday said that they had investigated suspected aggravated crimes, attempted aggravated crimes, and aggravated interferences with telecommunications. They were referring the case to prosecutors in order to determine if any charges should be filed. The police said in a press release that the investigation had concluded with four suspects. Three of them remain under a travel restriction. After a series of power outages, telecommunications failures, and gas pipeline disruptions since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, the Baltic Sea region has been on high alert. NATO has increased its military presence by adding aircraft, frigates, and naval drones. (Reporting and editing by Terje Solsvik, Essi Lehto)
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Norway opposes tariffs and rejects US claims about forced labour
Norway's foreign minister has rejected a U.S. assessment that the Nordic country?failed? to prevent forced labor, adding?that?the allegation?was unfounded?and shouldn?t be used?by President Donald Trump?to justify new tariffs. The Trump administration proposed Tuesday tariffs of up to 12.5% on imported goods from 60 countries including Norway after concluding that they failed to curb the?trade in products made with forced labor, an assertion that many U.S. trading partners rejected. In a statement issued late on Thursday, Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide stated that "we strongly disagree" with the U.S. authorities' assessment of Norway not doing enough to stop forced labour. The Transparency Act was the first legislation in the world to prevent forced labour from being used to supply chains. Barth Eide said that he had told the U.S. authorities about this. Experts, business groups, and some human right groups say that Trump's threat to slap new tariffs on trading partners will not do much to combat?modern slave trade -- and may even make matters worse. (Reporting and editing by Terje Solsvik, Jagoda Darlandak)
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Brokers bet on winners of various sectors as the World Cup soccer tournament kicks off
Analysts predict that the 2026 FIFA World Cup in host countries will bring billions of dollars to their economies. This will be driven by an unprecedented surge in consumption, which will boost sectors as diverse as retail, athletic wear and tourism. The tournament is set to be held from?June 11, to July 19, and will be the biggest soccer event in history. It could drive consumer spending during a period when broader demand is fragile. According to FIFA's analysis of the socioeconomic impact, which was conducted in conjunction with the World Trade Organization (WTO), the first three-nation World Cup (WC), which includes the United States, Canada, and Mexico, is expected to bolster the global GDP by approximately $41 billion. Here are the stocks and sectors that brokerages believe will benefit from this once every four years event: HOTEL OPERATORS B. Riley estimates that a total 13.1 million World Cup visitors, including both ticketed and unticketed attendees generated 21.3 million hotel room nights across all online travel platforms. Analysts say that U.S. hotel chains Marriott, Hilton, and Hyatt, as well as the online travel platforms Airbnb and Booking Holdings, as well as Expedia, are likely to benefit from this event. Marriott expects World Cup momentum to continue into the third quarter. Airbnb predicts that hosts in New York, New Jersey and Boston will earn the most money during the World Cup. Airline Tickets Goldman Sachs thinks WC could have a?net positive' effect on U.S. Airlines. Goldman stated that "June tends to be a lower season for inbound leisure travel and corporate travel, while a significant portion of the peak outbound travel season occurs after the WC has ended." The war in Iran has caused a sharp increase in the price of jet fuel, forcing U.S. airlines to raise fares, which is causing budget-conscious Americans delay or cancel their summer vacations. BEER STOCKS Jefferies estimates that more than 1 billion pints will be consumed worldwide during the holiday season. This represents a 0.3% increase in?volumes for the industry. Markets such as the U.S.A., Mexico and Brazil are expected to improve. Analysts at Jefferies said that after five years of volatile beer prices, the market should improve in 2026. The timing of the tournament is also a plus. Roughly 75% of matches will be played in the U.S. while 84% of the matches involving participating countries are in the beer-drinking-friendly time zones, the analysts added. Bernstein, Goldman and Jefferies believe that Corona beer maker Anheuser-Busch InBev will be the main beneficiary. Anheuser-Busch InBev is the official beer sponsor of the WC. Heineken, world's second largest brewer, will also benefit from the exposure it has in Latin America and Europe. US RETAIL AND 'SPORTSWEAR Goldman predicts that a surge of merchandise demand by fans will push sales up at Dick's Sporting Goods, and Academy Sports. Analysts said that sportswear brands like Adidas, Puma, and Nike could benefit from increased brand exposure and marketing during the World Cup. Goldman pointed out that Adidas, the official sponsor of match balls, has sponsorship deals with multiple teams. This allows it to gain global exposure at the event. FOOD, RESTAURANTS, AND DELIVERY Citi said that traditional?grocers like Albertsons and Kroger as well as larger retailers such Walmart and Target are likely to benefit during the World Cup from increased household spending. Tourism and group viewings are expected to support a rise in restaurant demand. This could lift McDonald's Pizzas, Domino's Pizzas, Wingstops, and Chipotles, as well as food distributors like Performance Food Group, US Foods, and Sysco. MEDIA AND DIGITAL ?PLATFORMS Deutsche Bank analysts stated that they expect the men's World Cup in 2026 to generate the largest US advertising revenues ever. Morgan Stanley estimated that the tournament would generate between $300 and $400 million in advertising revenue to Fox, the broadcaster of the English-language rights. Deutsche Bank pointed out that Comcast's?Telemundo which holds the Spanish-language broadcast rights is another potential beneficiary. Citi stated that internet companies like?Alphabet?s YouTube and Meta Platforms?s Instagram could benefit from an increase in user activity. BETTING OPERATORS The World Cup is expected to increase overall betting volumes, and Deutsche Bank expects Flutter Entertainment to outperform DraftKings. Macquarie predicted that global wagers would exceed $50 billion, or nearly $0.5 billion each match. This is compared to the 35 billion dollars for the previous tournament in 2022.
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Argentina recommends awarding the dredging contract to Jan de Nul, and local partners, despite US concerns
The Economy Ministry announced that the Argentine government had recommended awarding an important?dredging contract in Argentina to Belgian dredging firm Jan De Nul, and its local partner Servimagnus. Rep. Brian Mast, chairman of the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee, warned in May about the "malign influence" of China in the bid to win the major contract for Argentina. Jan De Nul, and its local partner Servimagnus, denied any Chinese ties. * The recommendation is for the concession to dredge the Parana River and maintain it, as this river carries 80%?of?the trade of the country. In a late-Thursday statement, the ministry recommended that DEME, a Belgian competitor company, be rejected. *?Jan de Nul - Servimagnus? scored 66.20 in the technical evaluation stage, compared to 42.14 points for DEME. The statement said that both firms had submitted identical tariffs and received the maximum score for the economic component. DTA Engenharia, a Brazilian company, was declared inadmissible after failing to provide the required bid-maintenance guarantees. Before a final?award, a seven-day period has been opened for formal 'challenges' to the recommendation. The ministry added: * "The awarding of the contract will end the process and bring an end to the deadlock in the construction work on the waterway." * The waterway is a 3,400-kilometer natural river transport route that runs along the Parana River and the Paraguay River. It's essential for importing soybeans to Argentina, which are used in the production of oil, meal and other products.
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UAE markets benefit despite the stalled US/Iran peace talks
The stock markets of 'the United Arab Emirates' closed higher on Friday. Dubai outperformed its regional peers despite the fading hopes of a diplomatic breakthrough between Israel and the U.S. Hezbollah, a militia backed by Iran, rejected a ceasefire on Thursday in?Lebanon and Israel announced it?wouldn't withdraw troops from the?country?undermining U.S. president Donald Trump's attempts to halt fighting?and achieve a peace?deal? with Tehran. Dubai's main index of shares rose by 0.9%, boosted by gains in the industrial and utilities sectors. Salik Company, a toll operator, increased by 1.6% while Emirates Central Cooling Systems grew 2.5%. Abu Dhabi's benchmark indices settled 0.3% higher, with the largest utility company Abu?Dhabi?National?Energy rising 6.2%. Alef Education's stock rose 1% following the?full migration to Microsoft Azure of its digital learning ecosystem with Core42's sovereign cloud capability. Brent crude was down?0.32% to $94.73 per barrel at 1232 GMT. (Reporting from Mohd. Edrees, Bengaluru. Editing by Shailesh. Kuber.)
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Pentagon: US forces board a sanctioned oil tanker in the Indian Ocean
The U.S. Indo-Pacific Command announced on Friday that U.S. forces had seized the stateless sanctioned oil tanker Davina in the Indian Ocean overnight. Washington has placed a sea blockade against Iran, while Tehran has fired at ships to stop them from?sailing? through the Strait of Hormuz and entering the Middle East Gulf. In recent months, U.S. forces intercepted "multiple commercial and petroleum tankers" in the Indian Ocean. Indo-Pacific Command posted on X that "we will continue to enforce global maritime law to?disrupt illegal networks and 'interdict vessels providing materials support to Iran wherever they operate". According to data from ship tracking, the Davina is a supertanker that can carry up to 2 million barrels of crude oil. The U.S. placed sanctions on it in October 2024 because it was involved in?oil trade with Iran. Ship tracking data on MarineTraffic showed that the vessel, also known as the Lenore was last spotted on June 5, off the southern coast of Sri Lanka. Separate shipping data revealed that the vessel's?draft indicated it was almost fully?laden with an oil cargo. (Reporting and editing by Doina chiacu and Joe Bavier; Reporting and Editing by Susan Heavey, Jonathan Saul)
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Swedish court orders that seized cargo ships can be transferred to Ukraine
A Swedish court ruled on Monday that the seizure of an unidentified cargo ship in 'the Baltic Sea' was legal and that it could be sent to Ukraine where it is suspected of transporting grain illegally from Russian-occupied territory. The Swedish coast guard and police seized the Caffa in March off the southern Swedish coast, claiming it was operating under a false banner and had violated maritime and ship safety laws because of its lack of seaworthiness. According to the ruling of June 4, a lawyer for the owner Caffa Shipping Limited had challenged the seizure, and asked for the vessel's?release. The court stated that Ukraine was seeking the ship in connection with an investigation of suspected war crimes, including the removal and appropriation of property from Russian-occupied territories. Hakan Larsson, public prosecutor, said that in an email to?, "the court confirmed that the seizure was legal and that the vessel could be handed over to Ukraine." The district court ruled that the alleged conduct may constitute a crime of war under Swedish law. This cleared the way for the vessel to be transferred and the evidence it contained to the Ukrainian authorities. Larsson stated that the decision must be legally binding before any transfer of ownership can occur, and added?that owners have three week to appeal. The lawyer for Caffa?Shipping did not respond immediately to a further comment request. The police reported that the majority of the 11 crew members of the 'Caffa were Russians at the time of the seizure. According to the ship tracking service MarineTraffic, the vessel is a general cargo ship measuring 96 metres. Reporting by Jagoda darlak. Terje Solsvik, Mark Potter and Terje Slsvik edited the article.
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Greek shipping magnate: The West needs to speed up the scrapping of its shadow fleet, as dangers grow.
Western governments should accelerate the scrapping of unregulated vessels that have been sanctioned and give their operators time to dispose of them, as environmental risks are increasing daily. In recent years, the?use of so-called'shadow?fleets?or dark fleets of tankers has increased. Hundreds of tankers are transporting Iranian and Russian oil without any safety or insurance checks. Evangelos Marinakis is the founder and chairman at Greece's Capital Maritime & Trading Corp., a major ship owner with more than 285 vessels on order. He has been pushing to remove unregulated tankers in global trading. Marinakis said during the Posidonia Shipping Week in Athens that "we face environmental risks every day from dark fleet ships". He said, "We should allow dark-fleet vessels to be scrapped both in the United States of America and the European Union." Marinakis addressed the concern that proceeds from the disposal of ships would go to 'potentially sanctioned parties.' He said:?these typically amount to less profit than a single trip and scrapping would reduce the massive profits made by the shadow fleet. GMS, a leading ship recycling company based in Dubai, announced last month that it had received approval from the U.S. Government to scrap four containers ships which were subject to Iran-related sanctions. However, their seller wasn't affected by the sanctions. Marinakis stated that his group has been in contact with Washington and sent "a great deal of useful material". Marinakis declined to comment further and the U.S. Treasury didn't respond to an?ask for comment. The shipowner - who also owns the Olympiacos soccer team and Nottingham Forest soccer team - said that shadow fleet operators must be allowed to dispose of their ships in a certain time frame. Marinakis stated that if we gave them four to five months for the scrapping schedule, we would see a reduction of at least 20%-25% in "the dark fleet". He said that ship recyclers should be allowed to pay?dollars or?euros to the owners of dark fleets they are scrapping. But only for scrapping. "This is the way forward." (Reporting and additional reporting by Timothy Gardner, Editing by Tomasz Janowowski)
Global thermal coal exports and power use to strike brand-new highs in 2024: Maguire
Global exports and usage of thermal coal will reach alltime highs in 2024, in spite of the record rollout of renewable energy generation capacity throughout all major continents.
Exports of thermal coal through the very first 11 months of 2024 are up by 9 million metric lots from the same months in 2023, per Kpler ship-tracking information, and will climb further in December as power firms stock up for the Northern hemisphere winter.
Global coal-fired power generation is up by around 2% to new highs up until now in 2024, while coal-fired power emissions are also at a record, data from energy think tank Coal programs.
The ongoing expansion in coal imports and utilize underscores the trouble of removing nonrenewable fuel sources from energy systems, and may disappoint those wishing for a peak in coal burning.
Nevertheless, environment supporters can take heart from the slowing down pace of export growth, which at only 1% marks the smallest yearly growth since 2020, when COVID-19 lockdowns triggered a. unusual contraction in worldwide energy output.
Climate watchdogs might likewise be cheered by yearly declines in. coal imports by several of the biggest coal-consuming countries,. which if duplicated next year could set off falls in coal exports. from 2025.
Below are the key countries that have actually helped lift coal. exports to tape highs in 2024, and will be the primary drivers of. coal purchases and use in the years ahead.
GROWTH MARKETS
For Indonesia, the world's leading coal exporter, 2024 will be a. banner year and mark the very first time the country has shipped. over 500 million metric tons of thermal coal, according to. Kpler.
Australia will can be found in second with around 203 million lots,. followed by Russia (94 million loads), South Africa (55 million. tons), and Colombia (50 million tons).
Simply 10 countries account for 87% of worldwide coal imports so. far in 2024: China, India, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam,. The Philippines, Malaysia, Turkey and Thailand.
And half of those purchasers will tape-record a yearly decline in. coal purchases in 2024.
Unfortunately for environment trackers, leading coal consumer China. - which accounts for 35% of all thermal coal imports - stays. in the import growth category.
China expanded imports by around 8% to a record 340 million. heaps from January 1st through the very first week of December,. according to Kpler.
China's electrical power generation from coal-fired plants. climbed 2% over the first 10 months of 2024 to a new record of. 4,838 terawatt hours, according to Ember, making 2024 the ninth. successive year of coal-fired growth in China. However, quickly increasing renewable energy production has. assisted cut coal's share of electricity generation to a record. low of 58.7% up until now in 2024, from practically 62% in 2023 and more. than 66% in 2019.
For now, China's overall coal consumption levels remain on a. increasing path even as coal's share of the generation mix declines.
But over time China's overall coal needs should likewise decline. in line with coal share, and lead to steadily diminishing coal. usage, production and imports by the nation.
Beyond China, other key development markets for coal imports and. consumption this year are across Southeast Asia, where numerous. economies have taken advantage of expanded manufacturing output and. exports, and rising local usage.
Vietnam boosted its coal imports by almost 7 million tons. ( or 24%) to a record in the very first 11 months of this year from. the very same period in 2023, and has actually raised coal-fired electrical power. production by 17%.
The Philippines and Malaysia have actually both also lifted coal. imports to tape highs this year, and have raised coal-fired. generation in line with total electricity output.
Thailand's coal imports were up nearly 5% this year,. matching a similar increase in coal-fired and overall electrical energy. generation.
CONTRACTIONS
Over the first 11 months of 2024, the second, third, 4th. and fifth largest coal importers all reduced imports compared to. the exact same months in 2023.
India, the second coal importer, cut imports by almost. 10 million lots from 2023 levels, due in big part to a climb. in domestic coal production.
South Korea cut imports by near 6 million loads, while. Japan cut coal imports by around 3.1 million loads and Taiwan cut. imports by 3.8 million lots.
Turkey, the ninth largest importer, has so far in 2024 cut. imports by around 1 million tons from the very same period in 2023.
Jointly, those nations imported around 23.5 million. tons less coal than throughout January-November in 2023.
What's more, 2024 will be the 2nd successive year when. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan will all tape lower coal imports. from the year before, as they pursue decarbonisation targets.
India's fast-growing economy is most likely to set off sporadic. revivals in coal imports going forward, as it relies on coal for. around 70% of electrical power production.
Vietnam and the Philippines are also most likely to even more. increase coal imports in the coming years as their power demand. needs surpass domestic tidy energy supply growth.
However, over the longer run, all major coal importers have. energy system decarbonisation objectives that must see coal's share. of the total energy mix fall gradually lower from around the. middle of this century.
The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a market. analyst .
(source: Reuters)