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Maguire: Key trends in US energy and power at home and abroad

The U.S. Energy System has begun 2026 with more momentum and buzz than it's had in decades, despite all the policy whiplash.

Electricity production in the U.S. is increasing faster than most other western countries, which allows utilities to provide more power to data centres, AI applications, and other fast-growing, energy-intensive technologies that are driving the U.S. economic growth.

Overseas the U.S. will?cement its position as the world's largest and most influential crude oil and gas exporter. These commodities continue to support a vast majority?of global energy systems, and generate massive profits for the U.S. Treasury.

The strong state of the U.S. Energy Sector is a testament to President Donald Trump’s "energy dominance", which will gain even more momentum in 2018 as new energy policies are implemented.

Here are some key metrics for electricity production, fossil fuel exports and imports that will help you track the U.S. Energy Sector through 2026.

GROWTH ELECTRIC

Data from Ember shows that the total electricity generated by U.S. utilities in 2025 increased by 3% from the previous year. This is the second consecutive year where wholesale electricity output has shown a rise of 3% or more.

This electricity growth rate is compared to an average annual rate of 0.3% over the last five years. It shows that utilities have increased their generation efforts.

The increase in utility production was due to a 5% increase in the output of electricity from clean energy sources and a 1 % rise in outputs from fossil fuel power stations.

The United States has a 3% growth rate in the total supply of?utility, compared to just a 0.2% increase in the total utility electricity generated in Europe last year. Europe is still gripped by sluggish economic growth due in part because of stubbornly high energy prices.

The U.S. is on par with the global average for 2025 but falls short of China's 5% increase in utility electricity output.

The U.S. utility industry is expected to increase electricity production in 2026. This will be due to the addition of solar and battery networks, as well as a planned restart of Palisades Nuclear Plant in Michigan.

The federal government's decision to stop funding renewable energy projects could slow down the rate of growth in solar and wind power and, over time, affect the amount of electricity produced.

OIL, GAS & COAL

According to the Energy Institute, while clean power sources have gained a record-breaking share of U.S. electricity in 2025 fossil fuels will remain the mainstay of the U.S. system of energy and account for 83% of all U.S. total energy supplies.

The fossil fuels will continue to dominate the energy mix with their record production in 2025, both of crude oil and of natural gas.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, crude oil production in the United States will average 13.6 million barrels a day by 2025. Dry natural gas production will average 107.4 trillion cubic feet a day.

In 2025, coal output increased by around 5% compared to the previous year. However, the total U.S. production of coal remains below levels from a decade earlier due to the reduced use of domestic power generation.

Natural gas is the main power fuel for the U.S. It accounts for about 40% of the electricity produced and is a major source of power and heat for the industry.

In 2026, rising natural gas prices will be a result of increasing power consumption and record LNG export demand. This is expected to increase the extraction rate from gas wells.

FOSSIL EXPORTS

According to Kpler, the commodities intelligence firm, LNG was the U.S.'s energy export star in 2025. It shipped a record-breaking 252 million cubic metres.

The total LNG exports for 2025 are expected to increase by 25 percent from the previous year, with further growth anticipated in 2026 due to the addition of new liquefaction capacities along the Texas coast and the Louisiana coast.

The EIA estimates that U.S. total LNG exports will increase by 9% to 1.3 billion cubic foot per day (Bcf/d), and then reach 1.7 Bcf/d by 2027.

It is not clear what will happen to U.S. crude exports by 2026.

Exporters should have plenty of supplies, on the one hand. On the other, the robust production combined with a relatively flat domestic crude demand suggests that they will be able to meet their needs. Kpler says it is still unclear whether exporters can?ship more than the 1,38 billion barrels that they exported in 2025. They will also have to deal with increased supplies from Venezuela after the U.S. ousted Venezuelan President Maduro this month.

The U.S. coal exports are also being pressured by the declining demand for coal globally and increased competition from Indonesian, Australia, Colombian, Russia, and South Africa. All of these countries have shorter trade routes with major importers.

Even if coal exports are flat in the long run, output and consumption of coal in the power sector will likely increase in 2026.

The U.S. Energy Sector is expected to have a strong year in 2020, with continued growth in LNG, record crude oil exports and near-record production.

These are the opinions of the columnist, an author for.

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(source: Reuters)