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CANADA-CRUDE-Canadian crude at 18-month low versus WTI as Venezuelan turmoil rattles market

Investors digested the U.S. dollar's impact on the price of West Texas Intermediate futures, which is the benchmark for North American crude oil. The deal between President Donald Trump and Venezuelan oil producers to import up $2 billion in Venezuelan crude is now the largest discount for 18 months.

WCS for Hardisty, Alberta delivery in February settled at $14.45 per barrel below U.S. benchmark WTI, said brokerage CalRock. This compares to $13.80 a day earlier. This was the largest discount Canadian heavy crude settled at since early July 2024.

Over the long term, an increase in Venezuelan barrels may compete with Canadian heavy oil of similar quality in the US Gulf Coast.

This threat has caused the oil sands sector in Canada to be spooked. Cenovus Energy, and Canadian Natural Resources are down respectively 5.5% and 8.8% year-to date.

Analysts believe that there is the 'potential of further WCS weakness in the months ahead if Venezuela can?rapidly ramp up its oil production. Canada is partially protected by its size, infrastructure and rule-of law advantage. On Wednesday, global oil prices fell for a second straight session. This was the day that Energy Secretary Chris Wright said the U.S. must control Venezuela's revenue and oil sales indefinitely to help stabilize the economy.

(source: Reuters)