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Mexico's economic boost was not achieved by the World Cup

Mexico's economy is sluggish due to weak investment, uncertainty about the USMCA review and a lack of confidence in the World Cup.

Mexico hosted 13 of the 104 matches in this tournament. It is expected to end on Sunday, after more than a months worth of matches played across Canada, United States and Mexico. It fell short of the ambitious tourism targets set by officials to boost gross domestic product (GDP), a figure that contracted in the first three months.

Humberto Calzada is the chief economist at Rankia.

Calzada said the tournament is only a temporary stimulus to an economy that the government expects will grow between 1,8% and 2,8% this year compared with analysts' predictions of 1.1%.

The impact of the World Cup was localised. Banorte has lowered its estimate for the World Cup's contribution to GDP from up to 0.62%.

Banamex estimated the total economic impact as $2 billion, which is about 0.1% GDP and less that half of the $5.6 Billion Mexico received from remittances alone in May.

Deloitte estimated that the competition would create 100,000 temporary jobs. This is 10% less than their previous estimate. BBVA's household consumption indicator dropped 0.2% in June, despite a 16.5% increase in entertainment. Spending on hotels was down 10.5%, and restaurant spending down 4.9%.

Benefits were not evenly distributed across Mexico City, Guadalajara and Monterrey, the three?host cities. Mexican Restaurant Association reported that half of its establishments had a worse performance than usual due to the low hotel occupancy in Mexico City and protests.

The data on air travel was also mixed. In June, passenger traffic increased slightly in Guadalajara, Monterrey and Mexico City but declined at the main airport.

Analysts claim that the USMCA will provide greater trade certainty for Mexico.

The IMF has recently reduced Mexico's growth projection to 1.2%, from 1.6%, due to companies holding back investments ahead of the review of the trade agreement and the economy's contraction by 0.6% during the first quarter. Reporting by Noe Turres Editing By Christian Radnedge

(source: Reuters)