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                            FAA delays flights as shutdown enters Day 31Federal Aviation Administration delayed flights on Friday at airports in Austin and Newark, as staffing issues continue to cause delays and the government shutdown enters its 31st week. The FAA reported that there were staffing problems at nine FAA facilities on Friday, and said this was likely to cause delays in flights later for Houston and Dallas airports. Flight delays averaged 61 minutes in Nashville, 50 minutes in Austin and 101 minutes in Newark. FlightAware, a tracking website for aviation, reported that 2,200 U.S. flight delays and 300 cancellations had occurred as of 12:25 p.m. ET. On Thursday, there were 1,250 canceled flights and 7,300 flight delays in the United States. Sean Duffy, the U.S. Transportation secretary, said that he expected more flight delays to occur in the next few days. Duffy told Fox News' America's Newsroom that there would be more disruptions to the airspace this weekend, and the following week. Staffing shortages in air traffic control caused delays on Thursday at Orlando, Dallas/Fort Worth, and Washington, D.C. The shutdown forced 13,000 air-traffic controllers and 50,000 Transportation Security Administration (TSA) officers to work for free. Delta Air Lines and United Airlines, Southwest Airlines, and American Airlines have all called for Congress to pass a temporary funding bill so that the government can reopen, and to continue discussions on healthcare policy disagreements. Transportation Department officials said that the shutdown caused flight delays because of air traffic controllers' absences. The airlines have repeatedly called for an end to this shutdown, citing safety concerns. The shutdown has worsened existing staffing shortages and threatens to cause widespread disruptions. Even before the shutdown, many air traffic controllers were working six-day weekends and mandatory overtime. (Reporting and editing by Andrea Ricci; David Shepardson) 
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                            Staff of the Border Force patrolling UK waters are planning a strike over payThe union that represents British Border Force employees announced on Friday, more than 120 staff members who patrol Britain's waterways in "sometimes harrowing" roles plan to go on strike on November 14, to protest pay and working conditions. Most of the UK Border Force's 10,000 staff members work in ports and airports across the UK and abroad. The website of the agency does not provide a breakdown showing how many people are employed to patrol the waters in the UK. The union representing Britain's Public and Commercial Services said that the government started a review of the issue six years ago, addressing the need for standardisation in pay and roles. However, despite long discussions the concerns of the members have not been addressed. The UK interior ministry didn't immediately respond to an inquiry about the planned stoppage of one day or the status on the review. The union stated that workers are involved in dangerous tasks such as patrolling for illegal entry or smuggling into the UK and boarding vessels to inspect them, responding to incidents including small boats with asylum seekers, and boarding vessels for inspection. The Labour Party of British Prime Minister Keir starmer, which is trailing in the polls, has promised to crush the gangs that traffic migrants into Britain via small boats. Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party, a populist party with a strong political agenda has also made illegal immigration a key issue. In a statement, PCS General Secretary Fran Heathcote stated that "this strike sends a message clear to the Home Office": We will not accept further delays or inadequate proposals. Heathcote said, "We are prepared to escalate the situation if needed." (Reporting and editing by Muvija m; Alexander Smith). 
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                            Buffett will send a letter to his children and shareholders as well as Abel's annual letter, according to WSJThe Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that Buffett's assistant said Warren Buffett would release a letter on November 10 to his children and Berkshire Hathaway's shareholders. Greg Abel, who will become Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive in February, will write Berkshire Hathaway's annual shareholder's letter. Buffett will step down from his role as chief executive officer at the end this year. He will, however, remain chairman. Abel is a vice chairman of Berkshire but has taken on additional responsibilities since Buffett announced a management change during Berkshire’s annual meeting held May 3. Buffett plans to join other directors in the audience, and not on stage, for next year's meeting. Berkshire has not responded to any requests for comment since Friday. The Omaha-based conglomerate, which will announce its third-quarter results this Saturday. Buffett's letter of November 10, to his children Susie and Howard, and to shareholders is not clear. Buffett sent letters to his family in November 2023, and again in November 2024. In these letters he discussed estate planning. He also expressed gratitude for the opportunities that the U.S. offers. He announced four donations to family charities. Howard Buffett will eventually become the non-executive Chairman of Berkshire. New York Newsroom reported the story. 
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                            Portugal announces that the sale of TAP Airlines has cross-party supportThe government of Portugal expects that the partial privatisation process for flag carrier TAP will proceed smoothly. This is due to a rare political consensus across parties and interest shown by Europe's biggest airlines, Infrastructure Minister Miguel Pinto Luz stated on Friday. He stated that the centre-right minority government initially wanted to offer 100% of TAP but settled for 49.9% when the two major opposition parties threatened to stop any larger sale. This led to a “broad consensus” in parliament with the extreme right Chega and Socialist parties. He told a committee of parliament that "dialogue and mutual respect is always the best way for politics." To ensure transparency, the sale of the property will be reviewed and monitored by an independent commission as well as a working group within the parliament. Portugal has relaunched its long-delayed TAP privatisation in July. The aim is to sell a stake of 44.9% to a carrier that can bring global scale and competition, plus an additional 5% for TAP staff. Airlines interested in TAP are required to submit a formal "manifestation" of interest by November 21, and non-binding bids by the end the year. Lufthansa and Air France-KLM have expressed interest in purchasing TAP. British Airways and IAG, the owner of British Airways, also met with the government last year. 
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                            KLM signs two-year contract with unions of ground staffDutch airline KLM announced on Friday it had reached a deal with five unions that represent ground staff in The Netherlands for a two-year agreement that included pay increases, bonuses and improved retirement options. The Collective Labor Agreement (CLA), which is retroactive to March 1, this year and ends on February 28, 2027, will be in effect. This includes a salary increase of 3.25 percent in total as well as a one-time payment of 500 euros ($583) net in December 2025, and 250 euros in January 2026. KLM has also agreed to permanentize the 80-90-100% scheme, which allows older workers to work 90% of their working hours and still accrue full pension. "We are happy that we reached an agreement with all five unions. We have reached solid agreements with KLM on remunerations, career development and productivity. The agreement came amid ongoing labor unrest in KLM. Two major unions, FNV and CNV, had rejected the September deal with other unions and continued to organize strikes. 
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                            Tanzania opposition claims hundreds of deaths in protests against votingTanzania's main Opposition Party said that hundreds of people were killed this week in protests against elections throughout the country, while the government claimed it was restoring the order following "isolated" incidents. The United Nations has confirmed credible reports that at least ten people have been killed in protests across three cities. This is the first estimate of fatalities made public by any international body since the vote on Wednesday. The government hasn't responded to any requests for comment or released any estimates of casualties. Could not independently verify these figures. Since Wednesday, protesters have been taking to the streets in anger over the exclusion of the two main challengers to President Samia Hassan from the race. They also criticized what they called widespread repression. Police have been accused of using tear gas and firearms to disperse some protests, according to witnesses. The police have imposed a curfew overnight in Dar es Salaam's commercial capital over the last two nights, after burning down government offices and other structures. Since Wednesday, internet access has been interrupted. HIGH SECURITY PRESENCE On Friday, the military and police patrolled Dar es Salaam's streets to prevent people from moving without a valid excuse. The government has extended the order for civil servants to work from home. John Kitoka, a spokesperson of the CHADEMA Party which was banned from the elections for refusing to adhere to a code and whose leader was arrested in April for treason, said that the party has documented 700 deaths based on the accounts of health workers. He said that protests were still ongoing in several cities on Friday, but they had diminished in others due to heavy security deployment. He said: "We want the protests continue until we get our electoral reforms." Hassan faces a challenge in the unrest. He was praised for his easing of repression after taking office 2021, but has faced criticism more recently from opposition parties and activists following a series arrests and allegations of abductions. Hassan denies allegations of widespread human rights abuses. She claimed that she ordered an investigation last year into reports of abductions. However, no official findings were released. Thursday, the electoral commission announced provisional results of the election. Hassan won a majority in several constituencies. GOVERNMENT : "NORMALICY WILL RETURN" The first direct comments from her government on the unrest were made on Friday by the Foreign Affairs Ministry in a broadcasted message to diplomatic missions on state television. In the message, it was stated that "due to isolated incidents where law and order were violated, the government has increased security and taken other precautionary steps." The statement added that the security measures are temporary, but necessary. Normalcy is expected to return soon. Seif Magango, spokesperson for the U.N. Human rights office, told reporters in Geneva that there are credible reports of 10 deaths in Dar es Salaam and Shinyanga. He urged the protesters to remain peaceful and called for security forces to "refrain from excessive or unnecessary force". A Dar es Salaam local, who requested anonymity for safety, said that a family had lost a member when a protester was mistakenly shot outside a hospital. No one from the police department responded to our requests for comment. In a joint statement released on Thursday, two members of the European Parliament’s foreign affairs committee called the election a fraud, saying that it "took place in an atmosphere of intimidation and fear". The article was written by Vincent Mumo Nzilani, George Obulutsa and edited by Aaron Ross. Ros Russell and Andrew Heavens. 
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                            ITA Airways will resume flights from and to Tel Aviv on January 1, 2019.Italy's ITA Airways has announced that it will resume direct flights to Tel Aviv on January 1. This will restore connections with Rome's Fiumicino airport, the main airport. According to the statement, the company, which is part of the Lufthansa Group, will operate at first two daily routes between Tel Aviv and the rest of Europe. The route is "of strategic importance to ITA Airways, and it represents a significant move for Italy. It further strengthens the commercial, cultural, and social ties between Italy and the United States." Hamas has reached a fragile truce with Israel this month, brokered by U.S. president Donald Trump. The deal is being tested periodically by violent outbreaks, as part of the conflict that was sparked by the October 7, 2020 attack by the militants group. As a result, several airlines have suspended flights in the past two years. 
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                            Asia spot prices stable on ample stocks and tepid DemandThe Asian spot price of liquefied gas held steady in this week's market, despite a tepid global demand and healthy stocks. Average LNG price for delivery to North-east Asia in December Industry sources estimate that the price per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu) was $11.10, a slight drop from $11.20/mmBtu in the previous week. Arturo Regalado is Kpler's senior LNG analyst. He said that while Asian LNG prices were supported by higher European prices last week, this week's gains were limited by weaker Asian fundamentals. He said that he expects Asian LNG prices to remain stable next week due to the fact that weaker industrial gas demand and lower gas-fired usage in China combined with higher than average Japanese LNG inventories for December will cap any upside. The data from the Ministry of Industry shows that the LNG stocks of the major Japanese electric utilities increased to 1.97 million tonnes for the week ending October 26 compared with 1.84 million tons in October last year. Martin Senior, Argus' head of LNG prices, added that supply expectations were also confirmed this week by the cooling-down cargo declaration at the Golden Pass U.S. export terminal and Shell's announcement of the impending start of the second LNG Canada train. In Europe, S&P Global Commodity Insights estimated its daily Northwest Europe LNG Marker for cargoes to be delivered in December ex-ship at $10.126/mmBtu. This is a $0.53/mmBtu reduction from the December price at Dutch TTF hub. Spark Commodities estimated the November price to be $9.907/mmBtu. Regalado said that the abundance of LNG and pipeline supply helped to keep prices down, while the warmer weather and increased wind output also kept gas-fired generators in check. Last week, hedge funds and institutional investors began selling TTF futures, reinforcing that the bullish sentiment in the EU Gas market has collapsed, according to independent gas analyst Seb Knastle. The U.S. arbitrage for the front month to Northeast Asia via Cape of Good Hope has now been closed, and is marginally pointing towards Europe rather than Asia. However, the arbitrage through Panama remains open, according to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghanistan. He added that LNG freight rates have risen to $61,250/day in the Atlantic, and to $41,250/day in Pacific. Harikrishnan Nair, Harikrishnan Chow and Emily Chow contributed to this report. 
FOCUS-Canada's Trans Mountain bets on last-minute oil shippers on high-cost pipeline
Canada's Trans Mountain oil pipeline will rely heavily on lastminute shippers to make a profit, the corporation's financial projections reveal, clouding Ottawa's. efforts to sell the pipeline now that its C$ 34.2 billion ($ 25.04. billion) growth is ended up after years of delays. Documents submitted by Trans Mountain as part of a regulatory. dispute over its tolls reveal it could use up to eight years to. generate income unless the pipeline fills countless barrels a day. of uncommitted shipping space. Trans Mountain stated it expects the pipeline will be highly. used as Canadian production grows, but some traders and. analysts caution that will be tough offered higher tolls and. logistical constraints at the Port of Vancouver, where the. pipeline ends.
The 890,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) pipeline started service in. May and reserves 20% of its area for uncommitted, or area,. clients, who pay higher tolls than carriers with long-term. contracts. Files submitted with Canadian regulators in April reveal different. utilization circumstances for that 178,000 bpd of spot capacity.
In a circumstance with no spot deliveries, the pipeline would. not produce favorable equity return - earnings after. devaluation, interest and taxes are deducted - until 2031. If, as Trans Mountain projections, the pipe runs 96% complete from. next year, equity return turns favorable in 2026. This month, a Trans Mountain executive informed a little. bit of area capability is being used. Mark Maki, Trans Mountain's. primary financial officer, said area capability was important to the. business's total economics and he anticipated volumes to rise late. in the year.
But spot-shipping demand is difficult to forecast since it. depends on the fluctuating rate of Canadian oil versus other. heavy crudes in the U.S. and Asian markets, said Morningstar. analyst Stephen Ellis.
He explained Trans Mountain's long-term forecast for 96%. utilization as aggressive.
Among their biggest Achilles' heels is the reliance on. area, stated Robyn Allan, an independent economic expert who has. studied Trans Mountain's finances. Everything is based on a. very optimistic set of projections for the next 20 years.
The rival Enbridge Mainline, which takes crude to. the U.S. Midwest and eastern Canada, uses 100% spot capability. however tolls are approximately half Trans Mountain's rate. TC Energy's. Keystone pipeline to the U.S. reserves around 10% spot. capability.
One Canadian unrefined trader said area demand for Trans. Mountain would depend on how full competing pipelines are.
Canada Development Financial Investment Corporation (CDEV), the. government corporation that owns Trans Mountain, noted in May. 2023 that higher tolls might prevent consumers.
Forecast tolls for pipeline transport are higher due. to (the growth's) expense escalation and have actually lessened. competitive benefits, CDEV said.
Expenses surged throughout building and construction to nearly five times the. 2017 budget plan and triggered a reaction from dedicated carriers. consisting of Suncor Energy and Canadian Natural Resources. , who deal with higher-than-expected tolls as an outcome.
One mountainous section soared from an estimated C$ 377. million in 2017 to C$ 4.6 billion in 2023 after striking technical. troubles. Other segments travelling through City Vancouver. jumped from C$ 310 million to C$ 1.7 billion over the very same. duration.
NO HURRY TO OFFER
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government purchased Trans. Mountain in 2018 to guarantee the expansion, which has almost. tripled shipping capacity from Alberta to the Pacific coast,. proceeded.
Nevertheless Ottawa never ever intended to be the long-lasting owner and. Canada's Financing Ministry said it is preparing a sales procedure.
Spokeswoman Katherine Cuplinskas said the growth was an. important financial investment, producing revenues and well-paying. tasks.
Maki advised Ottawa not to rush the sale given unpredictabilities. over area need, the tolling conflict, and Ottawa's strategy to offer. a stake to Indigenous communities.
If you're trying to offer something, and you have. uncertainties, it's going to affect the worth someone's going to. pay for it, Maki said. Trans Mountain has obtained C$ 17 billion from the Canadian. government and has a C$ 19-billion syndicated loan facility from. commercial banks. The April financial projections show it could. pay more than C$ 1 billion in interest annually until 2032,. although that will depend on interest rates and the. corporation's future capital structure.
Morningstar's Ellis said even Trans Mountain's best-case. projections show the pipeline will just generate around 8%. return on equity by 2034, which he referred to as the minimum. appropriate level for a quality Canadian midstream property.
Trans Mountain's debt-to-EBITDA ratio, a procedure of how well. a company can cover its financial obligations, begins at 11.6 in 2025 and. remains above the normal level of 3.5 for a midstream company. up until 2040, he said.
If this was not a government-owned entity the marketplace would. have a truly hard time supporting it. Those leverage ratios are. like junk, Ellis said.
Trans Mountain stated interest payments will likely be lowered. if the corporation is recapitalized, and it is working with the. government on enhancing its funding strategy. Lots of analysts say Ottawa will need to take a discount rate on its. financial investment to make Trans Mountain appealing. Pembina Pipeline Corp, the only listed company to. openly reveal interest in buying Trans Mountain, just recently. stated there was still too much uncertainty. Native groups are. likewise awaiting more clearness.
Until the tolls are fixed, it will indeed be challenging. to move forward with the sale of the pipeline, said Stephen. Mason, CEO of Project Reconciliation, an Indigenous-led group. that wishes to bid for a stake in Trans Mountain.
(source: Reuters)
